Sigma Olomouc vs Karviná: match statistics
Sigma Olomouc displays excellent home form with a 58% win rate and an impressive 75% clean sheet rate at their own stadium. The hosts are in outstanding shape, winning four of their last five overall matches (PPG 2.6), which contrasts with the dismal run of Karviná, who have lost four of their last five fixtures (PPG 0.6). Karviná struggles in away matches, conceding an average of 1.83 goals per game and managing a mere 8% clean sheet rate, while Sigma concedes an average of only 0.33 goals at home. The goal difference (+7 vs -3) and the xG advantage (1.43 vs 1.07 at home for Sigma compared to 1.72 vs 1.84 away for Karviná) further support the scenario of a home win. A draw remains a viable option due to the evenly matched average ball possession (51% for both teams) and the unpredictability of football, yet all key indicators point to a triumph for Sigma Olomouc.
Sigma Olomouc vs Karviná: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sigma Olomouc played Karviná in First League (Czechia). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Sigma Olomouc: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Karviná: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sigma Olomouc scores 1.04 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Karviná scores 1.44 and concedes 1.68. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sigma Olomouc 32%, Karviná 64%. Over 2.5: Sigma Olomouc 32%, Karviná 68%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Karviná has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.32. Sigma Olomouc: 11.1 shots per match, Karviná: 15.0.
Match halves
Sigma Olomouc: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.44. Karviná: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Sigma Olomouc: 31-45+ (6 goals). Karviná: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sigma Olomouc displays excellent home form with a 58% win rate and an impressive 75% clean sheet rate at their own stadium. The hosts are in outstanding shape, winning four of their last five overall matches (PPG 2.6), which contrasts with the dismal run of Karviná, who have lost four of their last five fixtures (PPG 0.6). Karviná struggles in away matches, conceding an average of 1.83 goals per game and managing a mere 8% clean sheet rate, while Sigma concedes an average of only 0.33 goals at home. The goal difference (+7 vs -3) and the xG advantage (1.43 vs 1.07 at home for Sigma compared to 1.72 vs 1.84 away for Karviná) further support the scenario of a home win. A draw remains a viable option due to the evenly matched average ball possession (51% for both teams) and the unpredictability of football, yet all key indicators point to a triumph for Sigma Olomouc.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sigma Olomouc | Karviná | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karviná is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.04 goals / match - Sigma Olomouc · 1.44 goals / match - Karviná
Sigma Olomouc is 83% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Sigma Olomouc · 1.68 goals / match - Karviná
Sigma Olomouc scores in 60% of matches (15 of 25 matches), while Karviná keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 matches).
Karviná scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Sigma Olomouc keeps a clean sheet in 40% (10 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sigma Olomouc
Over / Under - Karviná
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sigma Olomouc is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Sigma Olomouc · 1.16 pts / match - Karviná
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sigma Olomouc - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Karviná - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sigma Olomouc
Karviná
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Sigma Olomouc | Liga | Karviná | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.96 | 2.55 | ▲ 3.12 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 48% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 45% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 30% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 72% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sigma Olomouc 0 - 1 - 0 Karviná. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sigma Olomouc vs Karviná?
The First League match finished Sigma Olomouc 2:2 Karviná. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sigma Olomouc vs Karviná?
Sigma Olomouc score 1.04 goals per game on average and Karviná 1.44. The First League average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Sigma Olomouc's matches and 64% of Karviná's.
What form are Sigma Olomouc and Karviná in?
Over the last 5 games Sigma Olomouc have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Karviná 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sigma Olomouc vs Karviná?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.