Simba vs Coastal Union: match statistics
Simba vs Coastal Union: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Simba played Coastal Union in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match was played on 2 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Simba: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Coastal Union: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Simba scores 1.69 and concedes 0.46 goals per match. Coastal Union scores 0.75 and concedes 1.13. League average: 1.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Simba 31%, Coastal Union 38%. Over 2.5: Simba 46%, Coastal Union 25%. League level: BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Simba has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.13. Simba: 8.0 shots per match, Coastal Union: 5.6.
Match halves
Simba: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 0.77. Coastal Union: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.19.
Goals by minute
Simba: 76-90+ (6 goals). Coastal Union: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 1.92 goals per match, BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Simba is the favorite: at home they score on average 2.14 goals and concede only 0.43, have a 71% home win rate and 71% clean sheets at home with a +12 goal differential. Coastal Union away average is 0.56 goals scored and 1.33 conceded, they fail to score in 78% of away matches with a conversion rate of just 8%. In the last 5 matches both teams scored 6 goals each, but Simba conceded only 2 and averages 1.8 points per game versus Coastal’s 7 goals conceded and 1.0 points per game. Simba also creates more high-quality chances: home xG 1.74 vs away xG 1.06, they attempt more shots (9.83 vs 7) and more on target (4.33 vs 2.22) while holding 58% possession vs 44%. Considering Simba’s superior defense (0.43 goals conceded per home game), higher efficiency (20% conversion vs 8%) and Coastal’s high percentage of matches without scoring (78%), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - No. Coastal Union average just 0.56 goals on the road and their season BTTS rate is only 22%. Simba have scored 22 and conceded only 6 this season (0.86 conceded on average), and conceded just 2 goals in their last 5 matches (0.4 avg), indicating strong defensive form at home. Although Simba’s season BTTS is 57% and their attacking xG is 1.29 versus Coastal’s xG against of 1.53, Coastal’s low conversion rate of 8% and only 12 goals this season reduce the likelihood of the visitors scoring. Additionally, the league has a low BTTS of 32% and a high clean sheet rate of 84%, which statistically favors No Goal outcomes; therefore I estimate BTTS No at 62% and Yes at 38%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals: 1.41 for Simba and 1.21 for Coastal (total 2.62). I calculated these as xG averages: (Simba xG_for 1.29 + Coastal xG_against 1.53)/2 = 1.41 and (Coastal xG_for 1.06 + Simba xG_against 1.35)/2 = 1.21. A Poisson model for total xG = 2.62 yields ~73.7% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) and ~48.7% probability of at least 3 goals (Over 2.5), making Over 1.5 the strongest signal. Seasonally Simba has 71% of matches over 1.5, Coastal 56%; Simba has 22 goals for and 6 against this season (avg 1.0 scored and 0.86 conceded at home), while Coastal have 12 for and 18 against (0.56 scored and 1.33 conceded away). The share of matches over 2.5 is low (Simba 14%, Coastal 33%), which places Over 2.5 around a coin flip (≈49% over vs 51% under), whereas Over 3.5 seasonally is 0%/11% and modelled at ~27%, indicating a high probability of Under 3.5. I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the best line because the combined xG of 2.62, season rates of 71% vs 56%, and Simba’s higher conversion rate 14% vs 8% provide the most reliable signal for at least 2 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Simba has a clear home advantage: they led at the break in 50% of their home matches and averaged 0.83 goals by half-time while conceding only 0.33, whereas Coastal Union led HT in just 11% of away games and averaged 0.33 goals by half-time. Additionally, Simba’s xG is 1.29 versus the visitors’ 1.06, and the home side’s shot conversion is 14% compared with 8% for the opponents, indicating superior attacking quality for Simba. Seasonally, Simba scores 1.0 goal per home match and collects 1.29 points per home game, while Coastal Union score 0.56 per match and have 0.67 PPG away with 56% of away games lost, so the visitors clearly struggle. The first half also favors Simba — 83% of their home fixtures featured at least one goal by half-time and the hosts have a clean sheet at HT in 67% of cases, increasing the likelihood of a lead at the break and control of the match. Based on these figures, the strongest scenario is Simba leading at half-time and winning at full-time (HT/FT 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Simba | Coastal Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Simba is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Simba · 1 pts / match - Coastal Union
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Simba is 125% better for: goals scored per match.
1.69 goals / match - Simba · 0.75 goals / match - Coastal Union
Simba is 146% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.46 goals / match - Simba · 1.13 goals / match - Coastal Union
Simba scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Coastal Union keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Coastal Union scores in 50% of matches (8 of 16 matches), while Simba keeps a clean sheet in 62% (8 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Simba
Over / Under - Coastal Union
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Simba is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.08 pts / match - Simba · 1.31 pts / match - Coastal Union
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Simba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Coastal Union - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Simba
Coastal Union
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Simba | Liga | Coastal Union | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.15 | 1.92 | • 1.88 |
| Both teams scored | • 31% | 32% | ▲ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 46% | 31% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 62% | 42% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 51% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 69% | 59% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- SimbaGoalSuleiman Mwalim Mussa
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Simba vs Coastal Union?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Simba 2:0 Coastal Union. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Simba vs Coastal Union?
Simba score 1.69 goals per game on average and Coastal Union 0.75. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 1.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Simba's matches and 38% of Coastal Union's.
What form are Simba and Coastal Union in?
Over the last 5 games Simba have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Coastal Union 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Simba vs Coastal Union?
The statistical background for Simba vs Coastal Union — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.