Simba vs Dodoma Jiji: match statistics
Simba vs Dodoma Jiji: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Simba played Dodoma Jiji in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match was played on 24 May 2026. Venue: Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Simba: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Dodoma Jiji: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Simba scores 1.83 and concedes 0.43 goals per match. Dodoma Jiji scores 0.96 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Simba 30%, Dodoma Jiji 33%. Over 2.5: Simba 52%, Dodoma Jiji 38%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Simba has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.15. Simba: 9.4 shots per match, Dodoma Jiji: 5.7.
Match halves
Simba: half-time lead 61%, second-half goals 0.74. Dodoma Jiji: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Simba: 31-45+ (11 goals). Dodoma Jiji: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 2.11 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Simba is the clear favorite: they sit 2nd with 15 wins and 42 goals this season, and at home they average 2.18 goals per game and win 73% of home matches. In the last 5 games Simba scored 12 goals (2.4 per game) and averages 2.6 points per match, while Dodoma Jiji has 5 goals in the last 5 (1.0 per game) and 1.8 points per match. Offensively the hosts register 10.9 shots and 4.4 on target per home game with a conversion rate of 19%, whereas the visitors away average 7.5 shots, 2.5 on target and a 7% conversion, which significantly limits their attacking efficiency. Defensively Simba concedes only 0.45 goals per home game and keeps 73% clean sheets with average xG against 0.76 and xG for 1.66, while Dodoma concedes 1.18 goals away, has xG against 1.39 and xG for 1.22 and fails to score in 45% of away matches. Considering the advantage in quality of chances (xG 1.66 vs 1.22), shooting efficiency (19% vs 7%), higher number of shots on target (4.4 vs 2.5) and better form (Simba 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5), I predict a home win and estimate the probabilities at about 78% for Simba, 12% for a draw and 10% for Dodoma.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS rates are low: Simba 31% and Dodoma Jiji 36%, both below the league level of 34%, providing a baseline signal against BTTS - Yes. Simba has conceded only 10 goals this season and has 54% clean sheets (conceding 0.85 goals per match on average), while Dodoma has conceded 24 goals and has 36% clean sheets, increasing the likelihood that at least the home side will keep a clean sheet. In the last 5 matches Simba scored 12 goals (2.4 per match) with an average xG of 1.84, while Dodoma scored 5 goals (1.0 per match) with xG 1.26; Dodoma’s recent xG against is 1.8, meaning they allow scoring opportunities more often. Simba also has better shot conversion 16% versus Dodoma’s 7% and 2.83 shots on target per match versus 2.5 for the visitors; the league averages 2.1 goals per match and a very high clean sheet rate of 80%, and Over 2.5 + BTTS combinations are rare (home 15%, away 27%). Based on this I assign 70% to 'No' and 30% to 'Yes' as the most probable and data-consistent forecast.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Simba averages 1.23 goals at home over the season, but in the last 5 matches they have scored 2.4 goals on average and their recent xG is 1.84, indicating an uptick in attacking form. Dodoma Jiji averages 0.64 goals away this season, has scored 1.0 goal on average in the last 5 matches, and their xG_for in the last 5 is 1.26, which together yields a realistic expectation of about 1.05 goals for the visitors. Combining Simba’s offensive xG (1.84) with Dodoma’s defensive xG (1.8 in the last 5) and accounting for Simba’s higher finishing rate of 16% versus Dodoma’s 7% produces a forecast of 1.85 goals for Simba and 1.05 for the visitors, i.e. a total of 2.90 goals. With that projection the model assigns roughly a 79% probability for Over 1.5, about 55% for Over 2.5 and about 33% for Over 3.5, which aligns with Simba’s season Over 1.5 rate of 69% and recent form (Over 2.5 in 80% of the last 5). For these reasons I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Simba demonstrates a clear advantage at the break: they led at half-time in 6 matches this season (50%) and in 4 of the last 5 fixtures (80%), scoring an average of 0.67 goals by half-time versus 0.3 for Dodoma Jiji. Over the whole season Simba wins 46% of matches and averages 1.77 points per game, while Dodoma has only an 18% win rate and 0.91 points per game, favoring the home side for the Full-Time result. Although xG shows 1.11 for Simba and 1.22 for Dodoma, the hosts convert chances more efficiently due to a much better shot conversion rate (16% vs 7%) and a higher average of shots on target (2.83 vs 2.5), so created opportunities are turned into goals more effectively. Additionally, league and goal statistics indicate a low-scoring tendency: 80% of league matches finish with a clean sheet, Simba keep a clean sheet in 54% of matches and have a clean sheet at half-time in 83% of cases, increasing the likelihood of maintaining their lead. On this basis the most likely scenario is Simba leading at Half-Time and the home side winning Full-Time (1/1), with significantly lower probabilities for a draw or a guest turnaround (e.g. X/X 14%, 1/X 12%, 1/2 3%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Simba | Dodoma Jiji | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Simba is 44% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Simba · 1.8 pts / match - Dodoma Jiji
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Simba is 91% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Simba · 0.96 goals / match - Dodoma Jiji
Simba is 133% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.43 goals / match - Simba · 1 goals / match - Dodoma Jiji
Simba scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Dodoma Jiji keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 matches).
Dodoma Jiji scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while Simba keeps a clean sheet in 65% (15 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Simba
Over / Under - Dodoma Jiji
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Simba is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.22 pts / match - Simba · 1.46 pts / match - Dodoma Jiji
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Simba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 61% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dodoma Jiji - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Simba
Dodoma Jiji
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Simba | Liga | Dodoma Jiji | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.26 | 2.11 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 35% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 38% | • 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 65% | 40% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 65% | 62% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Simba 0 - 1 - 0 Dodoma Jiji. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Simba vs Dodoma Jiji?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Simba 1:0 Dodoma Jiji. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Simba vs Dodoma Jiji?
Simba score 1.83 goals per game on average and Dodoma Jiji 0.96. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Simba's matches and 33% of Dodoma Jiji's.
What form are Simba and Dodoma Jiji in?
Over the last 5 games Simba have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Dodoma Jiji 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Simba vs Dodoma Jiji?
The statistical background for Simba vs Dodoma Jiji — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.