Simba vs Young Africans: match statistics
Simba vs Young Africans: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Simba played Young Africans in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Simba: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Young Africans: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Simba scores 1.67 and concedes 0.39 goals per match. Young Africans scores 2.39 and concedes 0.17. League average: 1.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Simba 28%, Young Africans 17%. Over 2.5: Simba 44%, Young Africans 50%. League level: BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Young Africans has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.58. Simba: 8.1 shots per match, Young Africans: 9.3.
Match halves
Simba: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.72. Young Africans: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.28.
Goals by minute
Simba: 31-45+ (7 goals). Young Africans: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 1.99 goals per match, BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (Simba): at home they have a 75% win rate, average 2.13 goals scored and only 0.38 conceded per match with 75% clean sheets, providing a strong home advantage. Young Africans are league leaders with 43 goals this season versus Simba’s 30 and have scored 13 goals in the last 5 matches against Simba’s 8, but they average only 1.13 goals on the road and fail to score in 38% of away matches. Simba generate at home 11 shots and 4.57 on target with an 18% conversion and xG 1.78, while the visitors away average 9.86 shots, 4.0 on target, 12% conversion and xG 1.5, indicating a home advantage in chance quality and finishing. Both teams are in form (3 wins in the last 5 and an average of 2.2 points per game in that run), yet Young Africans’ away defence is extremely strong (0.13 goals conceded and 88% clean sheets), which increases the risk of a low-scoring game or a draw. Considering Simba’s better home efficiency and higher chance volume, I assign 50% probability to the home side, 30% to a draw and 20% to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The primary signals argue against BTTS: seasonal BTTS rates are 20% for Simba and 13% for Young Africans, and in the last 5 matches both teams have BTTS at 20%. Both sides record very high clean sheet rates — 80% (Simba) and 88% (Young Africans) — with average goals conceded 0.2 and 0.13, indicating matches often finish without one team scoring. Although xG is 1.94 for Simba and 1.5 for Young Africans, actual figures show a disparity: Simba has a seasonal average of 3.4 goals scored, 7.14 shots on target and a 26% conversion rate, meaning when goals occur they are more often on Simba’s side than shared. Additionally, the league has a low BTTS level of 32% and a high clean sheet rate of 84%, while 50% of Simba’s matches are over 2.5 without BTTS, which reinforces a single-scorer scenario. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at around 15% and recommend a “No” (85%) bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Average xG implies roughly 1.48 goals for Simba (attacking xG 1.94 vs opponent defence 1.01) and 1.25 for Young Africans (attacking xG 1.50 vs Simba defence 0.99), totaling ~2.73 expected goals. A Poisson model with lambda=2.73 yields over 1.5 ≈76%, over 2.5 ≈51% and over 3.5 ≈29%, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5. Additionally, Simba at home averages 3.4 goals per game, records 7.14 shots on target and 26% conversion rate, and has 70% of home matches over 2.5 goals, which increases the likelihood of the hosts scoring. Low BTTS figures (20% for home, 13% for away) suggest most goals may come from Simba, so Over 1.5 offers the best risk-to-reward profile.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Simba holds a clear statistical advantage: the hosts score an average of 3.4 goals per home match versus 1.13 for Young Africans, have a higher xG (1.94 vs 1.50) and more shots on target (7.14 vs 4.0), indicating a more effective home offense. At half-time Simba led in 5 home matches (56%) and score an average of 1.44 goals by the break, while Young Africans average 0.63 goals by half-time, so the most likely scenario is Simba holding a lead after 45 minutes. Young Africans do have a 100% clean sheet rate at half-time on the road (seasonCSPercentageHT_away = 100%), but with a low conversion rate of 12% and only 4.0 shots on target their ability to produce an early breakthrough is limited. Simba additionally display very good efficiency (conversion rate 26%) and many late goals (11 goals in minutes 76–90 and 7 in 61–75), which increases the likelihood of maintaining or extending a lead. Therefore I indicate 1/1 as the strongest signal (I assign it 44%), and I assess the total probability of a Simba win in regulation at about 66% (the sum of the 1/1 and X/1 scenarios).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Simba | Young Africans | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.51 | 0.58 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Young Africans is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Simba · 2.39 goals / match - Young Africans
Young Africans is 129% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.39 goals / match - Simba · 0.17 goals / match - Young Africans
Simba scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Young Africans keeps a clean sheet in 83% (15 of 18 matches).
Young Africans scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Simba keeps a clean sheet in 67% (12 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Simba
Over / Under - Young Africans
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Simba is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.11 pts / match - Simba · 1.89 pts / match - Young Africans
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Simba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Young Africans - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +8 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Simba
Young Africans
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Simba | Liga | Young Africans | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.06 | 1.99 | ▲ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 28% | 33% | ▼ 17% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 35% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 42% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 53% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | • 61% | 60% | ▲ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Young AfricansGoalPrince Dube
- Young AfricansGoalBakari Nondo
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Simba 0 - 1 - 0 Young Africans. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Simba vs Young Africans?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Simba 2:2 Young Africans. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Simba vs Young Africans?
Simba score 1.67 goals per game on average and Young Africans 2.39. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 1.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 28% of Simba's matches and 17% of Young Africans's.
What form are Simba and Young Africans in?
Over the last 5 games Simba have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Young Africans 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Simba vs Young Africans?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Simba vs Young Africans: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.