Sint-Truiden vs KAA Gent: match statistics
Sint-Truiden vs KAA Gent: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sint-Truiden played KAA Gent in Pro League (Belgium). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Sint-Truiden: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. KAA Gent: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sint-Truiden scores 1.51 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. KAA Gent scores 1.41 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sint-Truiden 54%, KAA Gent 57%. Over 2.5: Sint-Truiden 54%, KAA Gent 51%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Sint-Truiden has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.44. Sint-Truiden: 13.8 shots per match, KAA Gent: 12.8.
Match halves
Sint-Truiden: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.86. KAA Gent: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Sint-Truiden: 76-90+ (18 goals). KAA Gent: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Pro League: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sint-Truiden is the favorite in this matchup: at home they average 1.56 goals scored and 1.22 conceded, with a home xG of 1.74 versus xG against 1.37. KAA Gent away averages 1.28 goals scored and 1.67 conceded, with xG 1.31 and xG against 1.77, and in the last 5 matches they have scored only 1 goal (0.2 per match) and have not recorded a win. The difference in chance creation favors Sint: the hosts average 15.22 shots and 4.94 on target at home versus Gent’s 10.94 and 4.56, with possession 55% vs 47%. Additionally, Sint have only 11% of home matches without a goal compared to Gent’s 33% and a 67% home win rate versus the visitors’ 28% away win rate. Considering the 2.0 points per match averaged by the hosts in the last 5 games versus 0.6 points for Gent and the advantage in xG and chance creation, I forecast a Sint-Truiden victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal stats favor BTTS: Sint‑Truiden has BTTS in 53% of matches, KAA Gent in 61%, and the league average is 55%. xG and chance metrics also indicate both teams create opportunities — hosts have xG 1.57 with 14.47 shots and 3.89 on target on average, while visitors have xG 1.31 and 4.56 on target with xG against them 1.77. However, a key caveat is Gent’s poor attacking form: only 1 goal in the last 5 matches (avg. 0.2) and BTTS in just 20% of the last 5, and seasonally they failed to score in 33% of fixtures. Sint‑Truiden scored 8 goals in the last 5 (avg. 1.6) and have a seasonal scoring average of 1.53, while Gent concedes 1.67 on average, so the hosts have realistic scoring potential. Considering the higher seasonal BTTS indicators (combined 57% average) and that xG suggests chances for both sides despite Gent’s recent slump, I tip BTTS "Yes" with moderate confidence: 58% for YES, 42% for NO.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and recent form I estimate expected goals: Sint‑Truiden 1.65 and KAA Gent 1.01, totaling ~2.66 goals; calculations used home xG 1.57 vs xG conceded by visitors 1.77 and away xG 1.31 vs xG conceded by hosts 1.40, adjusted for last 5 matches (Sint‑Truiden 8 goals in 5, Gent 1 goal in 5). Both teams have high season over 1.5 rates: 84% (Sint‑Truiden) and 78% (Gent), supporting at least 2 goals in the match. A Poisson model with mean 2.66 yields probability of over 1.5 ≈75%, over 2.5 ≈50% and over 3.5 ≈27%, so the strongest signal is over 1.5. Additionally, the home side averages 14.47 shots and 3.89 on target per match, while Gent have poor recent finishing (1 goal in 5), so although over 2.5 remains possible (~50%), I recommend backing over 1.5 as the most reliable option (under risk ≈25%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Sint‑Truiden shows superior form: in the last 5 matches the hosts have a 60% win rate (3 of 5), while KAA Gent has not won in that period (0% of 5). However, draws dominate at the break — the hosts were level at half-time in 80% of their last 5 fixtures (4 of 5), and the average first‑half goals in those five matches is only 0.2 for both teams, which favors an X at half-time. In second halves Sint‑Truiden performs markedly better: over the last 5 matches the hosts averaged 1.8 goals after the break versus 0.2 for the visitors, so a turnaround in favour of the hosts after half‑time is possible. Season‑long metrics confirm the hosts’ advantage — higher attacking xG 1.57 vs 1.31, lower conceded xG 1.40 vs 1.77 and a better home points average 1.53 vs 1.11 increase the probability of a Sint‑Truiden win; therefore the recommendation is HT/FT X/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sint-Truiden | KAA Gent | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sint-Truiden is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Sint-Truiden · 0.6 pts / match - KAA Gent
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sint-Truiden is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.51 goals / match - Sint-Truiden · 1.41 goals / match - KAA Gent
Sint-Truiden is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Sint-Truiden · 1.38 goals / match - KAA Gent
Sint-Truiden scores in 76% of matches (28 of 37 matches), while KAA Gent keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 37 matches).
KAA Gent scores in 73% of matches (27 of 37 matches), while Sint-Truiden keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sint-Truiden
Over / Under - KAA Gent
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sint-Truiden is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Sint-Truiden · 1.24 pts / match - KAA Gent
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sint-Truiden - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
KAA Gent - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sint-Truiden
KAA Gent
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Sint-Truiden | Liga | KAA Gent | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.65 | 2.66 | ▲ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | • 54% | 54% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 49% | ▲ 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Sint-Truiden 2 - 1 - 0 KAA Gent. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sint-Truiden vs KAA Gent?
The Pro League match finished Sint-Truiden 1:1 KAA Gent. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sint-Truiden and KAA Gent?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Sint-Truiden won 2, KAA Gent won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sint-Truiden vs KAA Gent?
Sint-Truiden score 1.51 goals per game on average and KAA Gent 1.41. The Pro League average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Sint-Truiden's matches and 57% of KAA Gent's.
What form are Sint-Truiden and KAA Gent in?
Over the last 5 games Sint-Truiden have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and KAA Gent 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sint-Truiden vs KAA Gent?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.