Sint-Truiden vs KV Mechelen: match statistics
Sint-Truiden vs KV Mechelen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sint-Truiden played KV Mechelen in Pro League (Belgium). The match was played on 24 May 2026. Venue: Stayen Stadion. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Sint-Truiden: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. KV Mechelen: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sint-Truiden scores 1.49 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. KV Mechelen scores 1.23 and concedes 1.49. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sint-Truiden 56%, KV Mechelen 64%. Over 2.5: Sint-Truiden 54%, KV Mechelen 46%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Sint-Truiden has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.20. Sint-Truiden: 13.8 shots per match, KV Mechelen: 9.9.
Match halves
Sint-Truiden: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.87. KV Mechelen: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Sint-Truiden: 76-90+ (19 goals). KV Mechelen: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Pro League: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Prediction: home win (1) — Sint-Truiden holds a clear edge in chance quality, with home xG of 1.74 versus KV Mechelen's 1.16. The home side averages 15.26 shots and 4.89 on target per home match with 56% possession, while the visitors average 9.11 shots and 3.63 on target away with 50% possession, translating into more opportunities for Sint-Truiden. Defensively, hosts concede 1.21 goals per home game and record 32% clean sheets, whereas Mechelen concede 1.74 away and have 21% clean sheets; in the last 5 matches Sint-Truiden scored 8 goals and averaged 1.4 points, while Mechelen scored 6 goals and averaged 1.0 point. Mechelen’s only clear advantage is a higher conversion rate (14% vs 10%), meaning the visitors are more efficient with fewer shots, but in the last 5 games the visitors conceded 11 goals versus 8 for the hosts, and over the season Mechelen have 58 goals conceded compared to Sint-Truiden’s 46. Considering a 63% home win rate in home matches versus Mechelen’s 32% away win rate and the xG and shot advantage, I assess the odds as: home win 65%, draw 20%, away win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS (Both Teams To Score) scenario appears more likely, as season rates are 65% for Sint-Truiden and 63% for KV Mechelen, both above the league average of 55%. In the last 5 matches Sint-Truiden has BTTS 80% and Mechelen 60%, with average goals in those five games of 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded for Sint and 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded for Mechelen, indicating both teams regularly concede. xG also supports this picture: xG for Sint is 1.25 versus 1.16 for Mechelen, with xG against of 1.71 and 1.72 respectively, plus averages of 10.6 and 9.11 shots and 3.5 and 3.63 shots on target per match provide real scoring opportunities. Clean sheets are rare (25% and 21% on the season), and season average goals conceded of 1.25 and 1.74 confirm defensive vulnerability, so I pick BTTS - Yes with an estimated probability of 75% versus 25% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Strong signal for Over 1.5: this season Sint‑Truiden have Over 1.5 in 70% of matches and KV Mechelen in 79%, averaging ~74–75%, which provides robust support for Over 1.5. Both teams frequently record BTTS: Sint‑Truiden 65% and Mechelen 63%, while clean sheets occur in only 25% and 21% of cases, increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides. xG is 1.25 for the home side and 1.16 for the visitors, with xG against around 1.71–1.72; the home team’s last 5 matches show xG 1.61 and 8 goals scored, so I project 1.35 goals for Sint‑Truiden and 1.20 for Mechelen, totaling 2.55. Season-long Over 2.5 is 40% for Sint and 53% for Mechelen (avg ~47%), but in the last 5 matches these values are 60% and 80%, so I give Over 2.5 a slight edge at 52% versus 48% for Under 2.5. Over 3.5 remains less likely: seasonally 25%/42% (avg ~34%), and with an expected 2.55 goals I forecast Under 3.5 at 69% probability.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the home side led in 10 matches this season (50%), collecting 37 points at the break, an average of 1.85 points per match at half-time. In first halves Sint‑Truiden scores on average 0.60 goals and concedes only 0.25, while Mechelen averages 0.63 goals scored and 0.79 conceded by half-time. Over full matches the home team has an xG of 1.25 versus 1.16 for the visitors, and Mechelen concedes on average 1.74 goals per game this season compared with 1.25 conceded by Sint‑Truiden, which supports a home advantage and a higher likelihood of maintaining a lead. Both teams score in 65% (home) and 63% (away) of their matches season-wide, but goals by half are uncommon (10% and 21% respectively), and given the better recent form of the hosts (40% wins in last 5 vs 20% for the visitors), the strongest signal from the data points to the 1/1 scenario (lead at the break and home win).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sint-Truiden | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sint-Truiden is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Sint-Truiden · 1 pts / match - KV Mechelen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sint-Truiden is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.49 goals / match - Sint-Truiden · 1.23 goals / match - KV Mechelen
Sint-Truiden is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Sint-Truiden · 1.49 goals / match - KV Mechelen
Sint-Truiden scores in 77% of matches (30 of 39 matches), while KV Mechelen keeps a clean sheet in 23% (9 of 39 matches).
KV Mechelen scores in 85% of matches (33 of 39 matches), while Sint-Truiden keeps a clean sheet in 23% (9 of 39 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sint-Truiden
Over / Under - KV Mechelen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KV Mechelen is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Sint-Truiden · 1.54 pts / match - KV Mechelen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sint-Truiden - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KV Mechelen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sint-Truiden
KV Mechelen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Sint-Truiden | Liga | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.67 | 2.66 | • 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 54% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 49% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 27% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 71% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Sint-TruidenSubstitutionOn: Jo CoppensOff: Matt Lendfers
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Sint-Truiden 3 - 0 - 0 KV Mechelen. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sint-Truiden vs KV Mechelen?
The Pro League match finished Sint-Truiden 3:0 KV Mechelen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sint-Truiden and KV Mechelen?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Sint-Truiden won 3, KV Mechelen won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sint-Truiden vs KV Mechelen?
Sint-Truiden score 1.49 goals per game on average and KV Mechelen 1.23. The Pro League average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Sint-Truiden's matches and 64% of KV Mechelen's.
What form are Sint-Truiden and KV Mechelen in?
Over the last 5 games Sint-Truiden have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and KV Mechelen 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sint-Truiden vs KV Mechelen?
The statistical background for Sint-Truiden vs KV Mechelen — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.