Sion vs Vaduz: match statistics

Sion have a clear home advantage: they won their only home game so far, scoring 3 goals and keeping a clean sheet. The hosts create significantly more danger, averaging 18 shots and 7 on target per match, compared with Vaduz’s 11 shots and 3 on target away from home. The difference is also reflected in chance quality: Sion’s average xG stands at 2.05, while Vaduz allow opponents an xG as high as 2.38. The visitors have lost both league matches and concede an average of 2 goals per game away from home, without recording a clean sheet. Although Vaduz have won 3 of their last 5 matches overall and scored 12 goals during that period, Sion’s superior home organisation supports a home win.

The strongest argument in favor of BTTS - Yes is the fact that, this season, both Sion and Vaduz have seen both teams score in 100% of their matches, with neither side recording a clean sheet. Sion score an average of 2.0 goals but concede as many as 3.0, while Vaduz score 1.0 goal and allow their opponents 2.0 goals. Their current attacking form is even stronger: over the last five matches, the teams have averaged 2.6 and 2.4 goals respectively, with xG figures of 2.07 and 1.66. The defences continue to concede chances, as the average xG allowed over their last five appearances stands at 1.41 for Sion and 1.51 for Vaduz. Although the BTTS rate across the last five matches for both teams is 60%, the attacking profile of the game and the weak defences clearly point towards a goal for each team.

Sion have averaged 2.6 goals scored over their last five matches, while Vaduz have averaged 2.4, indicating strong attacking potential from both sides. During this period, the hosts created chances worth an average of 2.07 xG, while Vaduz recorded 1.66 xG; at the same time, their opponents generated 1.41 and 1.51 xG, respectively. At least 3 goals were scored in 4 of each team’s last 5 matches, while the league averages 3.5 goals per game and 75% of matches have featured a minimum of three goals. Additionally, both teams have scored and conceded in every match so far this season, which reduces the likelihood of a tight match. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 3.40 goals provides a very substantial margin above this line.

Vaduz have a slightly better current run: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and average 1.8 points per game, compared with Sion’s 2 wins and 1.6 points. The visitors start matches more strongly, having led at the break in 60% of their last five outings, compared with just 40% for Sion; additionally, Vaduz concede an average of 0.6 goals before half-time, compared with 0.8 for the hosts. Sion create more chances, as reflected by their average xG of 1.62 and 16 shots, but their defence allows opponents an xG as high as 2.66, clearly above Vaduz’s 2.38. Both teams have scored in every match so far this season, while Vaduz have averaged 1.4 goals after the break in their last five games. Therefore, the most likely outcome is an HT/FT 2/2, with the visitors leading at half-time and securing the win at full-time.