Siracusa vs Casertana: match statistics
Casertana demonstrates a clearly better form than Siracusa, as evidenced by the points per match ratio in the last 5 games (1.4 vs. 0.4). The home side is in terrible form with three losses and two draws in their last five matches, failing to win a single one. Siracusa has only a 36% win rate at home with a 43% loss rate, while Casertana shows identical away statistics (36% wins) but a much better overall form. The key factor is Casertana's advantage in offensive efficiency (42 goals this season vs. 31) and the visitors' better defense, confirmed by a 29% clean sheet rate away. Despite the hosts' slight xG advantage in home matches (1.64 vs. the visitors' 1.42 xG), the current form and overall team quality point towards a Casertana victory.
Siracusa vs Casertana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Siracusa play Casertana in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match date is 1 March 2026 at 12:30. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Siracusa: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Casertana: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Siracusa scores 1.26 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Casertana scores 1.45 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Siracusa 63%, Casertana 53%. Over 2.5: Siracusa 55%, Casertana 47%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Siracusa has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.33. Siracusa: 12.3 shots per match, Casertana: 10.2.
Match halves
Siracusa: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74. Casertana: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.66.
Goals by minute
Siracusa: 76-90+ (13 goals). Casertana: 31-45+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Casertana demonstrates a clearly better form than Siracusa, as evidenced by the points per match ratio in the last 5 games (1.4 vs. 0.4). The home side is in terrible form with three losses and two draws in their last five matches, failing to win a single one. Siracusa has only a 36% win rate at home with a 43% loss rate, while Casertana shows identical away statistics (36% wins) but a much better overall form. The key factor is Casertana's advantage in offensive efficiency (42 goals this season vs. 31) and the visitors' better defense, confirmed by a 29% clean sheet rate away. Despite the hosts' slight xG advantage in home matches (1.64 vs. the visitors' 1.42 xG), the current form and overall team quality point towards a Casertana victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Siracusa | Casertana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Casertana is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Siracusa · 2 pts / match - Casertana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Casertana is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Siracusa · 1.45 goals / match - Casertana
Casertana is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Siracusa · 1.16 goals / match - Casertana
Siracusa scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Casertana keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).
Casertana scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Siracusa keeps a clean sheet in 5% (2 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Siracusa
Over / Under — Casertana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Casertana is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Siracusa · 1.58 pts / match - Casertana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Siracusa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Casertana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Siracusa
Casertana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Siracusa | Liga | Casertana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.76 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 51% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 46% | • 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 28% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 67% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Siracusa 0 - 0 - 1 Casertana. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Siracusa vs Casertana?
The Serie C Group C match finished Siracusa 4:0 Casertana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Siracusa vs Casertana?
Siracusa score 1.26 goals per game on average and Casertana 1.45. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Siracusa's matches and 53% of Casertana's.
What form are Siracusa and Casertana in?
Over the last 5 games Siracusa have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Casertana 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Siracusa vs Casertana?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Siracusa vs Casertana: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.