Siracusa vs Salernitana: match statistics
Salernitana presents decidedly better form this season with 11 victories and just 3 losses overall, while Siracusa has only 5 wins against 11 defeats. The visitors show high efficiency on the road with 56% wins and an average of 1.33 goals per match, which, combined with a solid conversion rate of 11%, gives them an offensive advantage. Siracusa, despite winning 40% of home games, has poor recent form with only 1.2 points per match in the last 5 fixtures and a mere 10% clean sheets in home matches. Salernitana records 1.6 points per match in the last five games and a higher xG value (1.55 vs 1.78 for the hosts), suggesting stability. The difference in goal difference (+3 for Siracusa in home matches vs -1 for Salernitana on the road) does not compensate for the visitors' overall advantage in quality of play and consistency of results.
Siracusa vs Salernitana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Siracusa played Salernitana in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Siracusa: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Salernitana: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Siracusa scores 1.16 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Salernitana scores 1.42 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Siracusa 58%, Salernitana 68%. Over 2.5: Siracusa 58%, Salernitana 58%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Salernitana has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.58. Siracusa: 13.0 shots per match, Salernitana: 13.5.
Match halves
Siracusa: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.63. Salernitana: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Siracusa: 0-15 (5 goals). Salernitana: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Salernitana presents decidedly better form this season with 11 victories and just 3 losses overall, while Siracusa has only 5 wins against 11 defeats. The visitors show high efficiency on the road with 56% wins and an average of 1.33 goals per match, which, combined with a solid conversion rate of 11%, gives them an offensive advantage. Siracusa, despite winning 40% of home games, has poor recent form with only 1.2 points per match in the last 5 fixtures and a mere 10% clean sheets in home matches. Salernitana records 1.6 points per match in the last five games and a higher xG value (1.55 vs 1.78 for the hosts), suggesting stability. The difference in goal difference (+3 for Siracusa in home matches vs -1 for Salernitana on the road) does not compensate for the visitors' overall advantage in quality of play and consistency of results.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Siracusa | Salernitana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Salernitana is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Siracusa · 1.6 pts / match - Salernitana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Salernitana is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.16 goals / match - Siracusa · 1.42 goals / match - Salernitana
Salernitana is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Siracusa · 1.21 goals / match - Salernitana
Siracusa scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Salernitana keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Salernitana scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Siracusa keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Siracusa
Over / Under - Salernitana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Siracusa is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Siracusa · 1.16 pts / match - Salernitana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Siracusa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Salernitana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Siracusa
Salernitana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Siracusa | Liga | Salernitana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.68 | 2.58 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 54% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 51% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 68% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 79% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- SiracusaGoalSebastiano Di Paolo Vlad
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Siracusa 0 - 0 - 1 Salernitana. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Siracusa vs Salernitana?
The Serie C Group C match finished Siracusa 3:1 Salernitana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Siracusa vs Salernitana?
Siracusa score 1.16 goals per game on average and Salernitana 1.42. The Serie C Group C average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Siracusa's matches and 68% of Salernitana's.
What form are Siracusa and Salernitana in?
Over the last 5 games Siracusa have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Salernitana 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Siracusa vs Salernitana?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.