Sweden - AllsvenskanStudenternas IPData current as of 26 October 2026

Sirius vs AIK: match statistics

Sirius
1 : 2half-time 1:2
AIK

Sirius vs AIK: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sirius played AIK in Allsvenskan (Sweden). The match was played on 24 October 2026. Venue: Studenternas IP. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Sirius: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. AIK: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sirius scores 2.29 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. AIK scores 1.58 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.92 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sirius 58%, AIK 71%. Over 2.5: Sirius 71%, AIK 67%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Sirius has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.55. Sirius: 14.5 shots per match, AIK: 14.0.

Match halves

Sirius: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 1.13. AIK: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.96.

Goals by minute

Sirius: 31-45+ (11 goals). AIK: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Allsvenskan: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

League leaders Sirius have won 4 of their last 5 matches, conceding just 3 goals in the process, while ninth-placed AIK are winless in their last five and have conceded as many as 15 goals. At home, Sirius average 2.25 goals and 5.67 shots on target per match, compared with AIK’s 1.58 goals and 4 shots on target away from home. The hosts also have the edge in chance quality: their average home xG is 1.77, against AIK’s 1.29 away from home, while AIK’s away xG against stands at 1.72. However, the visitors can pick up points on the road—they have won 42% of such matches and drawn the same percentage—so a draw remains a significant possibility. Nevertheless, AIK’s recent defensive struggles and Sirius’ greater attacking efficiency at home point towards a home win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS has landed in 58% of Sirius matches and 83% of AIK matches, compared with a league average of 52%, pointing towards goals for both teams. Sirius score an average of 1.58 goals at home and generate an xG of 1.81, while AIK have conceded as many as 3.0 goals per match on average over their last 5 games. The visitors also score an average of 1.58 goals away from home, while Sirius concede an average of 2.25 goals there, giving AIK good reason to find the net. Caution is warranted, however, as Sirius conceded just 0.6 goals per match across their last 5 games, with BTTS landing in 40% of those matches. Even so, AIK have recorded BTTS in each of their last 5 games, so a goal for both sides remains the more likely outcome.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

At least two goals were scored in 83% of matches involving either team, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal. Sirius average 1.58 goals, with an xG of 1.81; AIK also average 1.58 goals, facing a home defence that concedes an average of 2.25 goals. In their last five matches, AIK conceded 15 goals, or 3.0 per game, while Sirius conceded just 0.6 per game over the same period. Over 2.5 goals landed in 67% of matches for each team, but Sirius's stronger recent defensive record makes the 1.5 line the clearer value.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: AIK were level at the break in 10 of their 12 matches this season and in 4 of their last 5, although Sirius were level at half-time in only 4 of 12 matches. The case for a home win at full-time is supported by a clear difference in form: Sirius have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while AIK have failed to win any. Over this period, the visitors conceded an average of 3.0 goals per match, compared with 0.6 for Sirius; after half-time, AIK conceded an average of 2.6 goals, while Sirius scored 1.0. However, caution is warranted, as AIK have averaged 1.67 points per match this season, compared with Sirius' 1.17. Despite that season-long advantage, AIK's frequent half-time draws and recent defensive struggles point to an X/1 scenario.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

1 : 2
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
SiriusAIK
23Shots11
SiriusAIK
4Shots on target4
SiriusAIK
2.13xG1.14
SiriusAIK
12Corners1
SiriusAIK
56Dangerous attacks21
SiriusAIK
11Fouls14
SiriusAIK
1Cards2
SiriusAIK

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.29Goals scored / match1.58
SiriusAIK
1.25Goals conceded / match1.75
SiriusAIK
48%Average possession54%
SiriusAIK
5.58Shots on target / match4.88
SiriusAIK

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.54Shots per match14.04
SiriusAIK
5.58Shots on target4.88
SiriusAIK
15.8%Shot conversion11.3%
SiriusAIK
48%Possession54%
SiriusAIK
1.65xG for1.55
SiriusAIK
1.48xG against1.72
SiriusAIK

Shooting quality

Sirius: AttackingAIK: Attacking
SiriusAIK
Accuracy (shots on target)38%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sirius is 550% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Sirius · 0.4 pts / match - AIK

Sirius
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
71% W17% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-4-3
2.29 pts / match · goal difference +25
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-2
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
DLLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
AIK
LDLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
38% W29% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-7-8
1.42 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-5-2
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.92Opponent xG: 1.79BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sirius is 45% better for: goals scored per match.

2.29 goals / match - Sirius · 1.58 goals / match - AIK

Sirius is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.25 goals / match - Sirius · 1.75 goals / match - AIK

Sirius scoring profile: very strong

Sirius scores in 92% of matches (22 of 24 matches), while AIK keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).

AIK scoring profile: very strong

AIK scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Sirius keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).

55Goals scored (season)38
SiriusAIK
30Goals conceded (season)42
SiriusAIK
3.54Average goals in match3.33
SiriusAIK
8Goals scored (last 5)10
SiriusAIK
3Goals conceded (last 5)15
SiriusAIK

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal79%
SiriusAIK
83%2 goals50%
SiriusAIK
42%3 goals17%
SiriusAIK
13%4 goals8%
SiriusAIK

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal83%
SiriusAIK
38%2 goals46%
SiriusAIK
13%3 goals25%
SiriusAIK
8%4 goals13%
SiriusAIK

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time38%
SiriusAIK
4%BTTS in both halves13%
SiriusAIK
42%Scored in both halves25%
SiriusAIK

BTTS and goal count

58%Min. 3 goals and BTTS58%
SiriusAIK
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
SiriusAIK
40%BTTS - last 5100%
SiriusAIK

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
SiriusAIK
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
SiriusAIK
29%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
SiriusAIK

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
SiriusAIK
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
SiriusAIK
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
SiriusAIK

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sirius is 81% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.96 pts / match - Sirius · 1.08 pts / match - AIK

Sirius - half-time state
58% leading21% draw21% trailing
AIK - half-time state
17% leading58% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.96Points per match (1st half)1.08
SiriusAIK
1.17Goals scored (1st half)0.63
SiriusAIK
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
SiriusAIK
1.67Average goals (1st half)1.38
SiriusAIK
63%Clean sheet before half-time50%
SiriusAIK
33%No goal before half-time46%
SiriusAIK

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per match (2nd half)1.21
SiriusAIK
1.13Goals scored (2nd half)0.96
SiriusAIK
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)1
SiriusAIK
1.88Average goals (2nd half)1.96
SiriusAIK
58%Clean sheet after half-time42%
SiriusAIK
33%No goal after half-time50%
SiriusAIK

Sirius - second-half results

46% W38% D17% L
47
Half-time points
28
Half-time goals
+16
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.96
PPG before half-time
Lead holding122%

Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

AIK - second-half results

25% W46% D29% L
26
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding224%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sirius - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.20
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
AIK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.40
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.42.6
Average goals in match1.04.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1-6
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sirius
ScoredConceded
10
1
0-15
7
6
16-30
11
5
31-45
6
7
46-60
11
2
61-75
10
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

AIK
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
6
7
16-30
6
5
31-45
6
6
46-60
6
9
61-75
11
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.44
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
118%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-22%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
73%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sirius

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.87
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.64
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

AIK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Allsvenskan).

Teams vs league

SiriusLigaAIK
Average goals in match▲ 3.542.92▲ 3.33
Both teams scored▲ 58%52%▲ 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 71%53%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▲ 33%26%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%68%• 67%
Goal after half-time• 79%80%▼ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.92
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / match
1.31
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. AIKYellow cardStanley Wilson
  2. AIKGoalJohan Hove
  3. AIKSubstitutionOn: Lukas BergquistOff: Stanley Wilson
  4. SiriusSubstitutionOn: Otso LiimattaOff: Bror Åke Andersson
  5. AIKSubstitutionOn: Linus CarlstrandOff: Sixten Gustafsson
  6. SiriusYellow cardMohamed Soumah
  7. AIKYellow cardEskil Smidesang Edh
  8. SiriusSubstitutionOn: Simon SandbergOff: Melker Heier
  9. AIKSubstitutionOn: Erik Linus Mikael JäretegOff: Taha Ayari

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Sirius 2 - 0 - 1 AIK. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.

AIK
0 : 3
Sirius
Sirius
0 : 1
AIK
AIK
1 : 3
Sirius

FAQ

What was the result of Sirius vs AIK?

The Allsvenskan match finished Sirius 1:2 AIK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Sirius and AIK?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Sirius won 2, AIK won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Sirius vs AIK?

Sirius score 2.29 goals per game on average and AIK 1.58. The Allsvenskan average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Sirius's matches and 71% of AIK's.

What form are Sirius and AIK in?

Over the last 5 games Sirius have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and AIK 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sirius vs AIK?

The statistical background for Sirius vs AIK — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.