Široki Brijeg vs Velež: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched game between teams in similar form. Široki Brijeg is in 5th place and has a 40% win rate at home, but their recent form is poor (1 win in the last 5 matches, PPG 1.0). Velež from 4th place shows better current form (2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches, PPG 1.8), but away from home they win only 40% of games and fail to score in as many as 40% of matches. A key factor is Velež's advantage in possession (51% vs 47%) and better shooting accuracy (15% vs 10%), but their lower away xG (1.13 vs 1.36 of the hosts) suggests difficulties in creating chances. Both teams concede an average of 1.3 goals per game, which suggests an open game, but Velež's current form (unbeaten run) and the hosts' poorer form point to a draw as the most likely outcome.
Široki Brijeg vs Velež: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Široki Brijeg played Velež in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Široki Brijeg: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Velež: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Široki Brijeg scores 1.05 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Velež scores 0.95 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Široki Brijeg 60%, Velež 40%. Over 2.5: Široki Brijeg 45%, Velež 35%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Velež has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.17. Široki Brijeg: 9.3 shots per match, Velež: 10.5.
Match halves
Široki Brijeg: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.40. Velež: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Široki Brijeg: 0-15 (5 goals). Velež: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League of Bosnia: 2.19 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched game between teams in similar form. Široki Brijeg is in 5th place and has a 40% win rate at home, but their recent form is poor (1 win in the last 5 matches, PPG 1.0). Velež from 4th place shows better current form (2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches, PPG 1.8), but away from home they win only 40% of games and fail to score in as many as 40% of matches. A key factor is Velež's advantage in possession (51% vs 47%) and better shooting accuracy (15% vs 10%), but their lower away xG (1.13 vs 1.36 of the hosts) suggests difficulties in creating chances. Both teams concede an average of 1.3 goals per game, which suggests an open game, but Velež's current form (unbeaten run) and the hosts' poorer form point to a draw as the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Široki Brijeg | Velež | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Velež is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Široki Brijeg · 1.8 pts / match - Velež
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Široki Brijeg is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Široki Brijeg · 0.95 goals / match - Velež
Velež is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Široki Brijeg · 0.95 goals / match - Velež
Široki Brijeg scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Velež keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
Velež scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Široki Brijeg keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Široki Brijeg
Over / Under - Velež
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Široki Brijeg is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Široki Brijeg · 1.1 pts / match - Velež
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Široki Brijeg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Velež - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Široki Brijeg
Velež
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).
Teams vs league
| Široki Brijeg | Liga | Velež | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.30 | 2.19 | ▼ 1.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 41% | • 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 38% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | • 35% | 36% | • 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 60% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 71% | • 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Široki Brijeg 0 - 0 - 2 Velež. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Široki Brijeg vs Velež?
The Premier League of Bosnia match finished Široki Brijeg 1:0 Velež. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Široki Brijeg and Velež?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Široki Brijeg won 0, Velež won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Široki Brijeg vs Velež?
Široki Brijeg score 1.05 goals per game on average and Velež 0.95. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Široki Brijeg's matches and 40% of Velež's.
What form are Široki Brijeg and Velež in?
Over the last 5 games Široki Brijeg have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Velež 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Široki Brijeg vs Velež?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Široki Brijeg vs Velež: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.