Siwelele vs Magesi: match statistics
Siwelele vs Magesi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Siwelele played Magesi in Premier Soccer League (South Africa). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Siwelele: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Magesi: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Siwelele scores 0.75 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. Magesi scores 0.82 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Siwelele 25%, Magesi 43%. Over 2.5: Siwelele 11%, Magesi 39%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Magesi has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.29. Siwelele: 9.8 shots per match, Magesi: 11.3.
Match halves
Siwelele: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.29. Magesi: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Siwelele: 16-30 (7 goals). Magesi: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Soccer League: 2.06 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Siwelele (9th) enjoy a significant home defensive advantage: they concede on average 0.5 goals per home match and keep a clean sheet in 57% of home games, while Magesi (16th) concede 1.36 goals away and have only 29% clean sheets. Offensively Siwelele average 0.93 goals per home match with an average xG of 1.28 and 3.36 shots on target, and their shot conversion is around 10%; Magesi away manage only 0.36 goals per game, xG 1.11, 2 shots on target and a 4% conversion. The visitors have not recorded a single away win (0 wins) and fail to score in 64% of away matches, whereas the hosts fail to score in only 36% of their home games. In the last 5 matches Siwelele have scored 8 goals and averaged 1.2 points per game, while Magesi scored 7 goals and 0.8 points with 11 goals conceded by the visitors versus 9 conceded by the hosts. Given the superior quality of chances (3.36 vs 2 shots on target), higher conversion (10% vs 4%) and a clear defensive edge (0.5 vs 1.36), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assign a higher probability to the 'No' scenario due to Magesi's weak offense: their season away goals average is only 0.36, they average 2.0 shots on target per match and have a shot conversion rate of 4%, which significantly limits their chances of scoring. Siwelele score 1.29 goals at home on average, have a season BTTS rate of 50% and concede 1.64 goals per match, while keeping a clean sheet in only 14% of games — the home side can concede but that does not guarantee the opponent will score. On the other hand, Magesi's xG is 1.11, so they theoretically create chances (xG 1.11 vs actual 0.36), and in the last 5 matches the visitors have BTTS 60% and average 1.4 goals scored, which gives a moderate signal that they can find the net. However, the visitors' low shots on target (2.0) and very low conversion (4%), combined with a league BTTS level of 40% and a high clean sheet rate of 73%, favor the 'No' outcome. Therefore I assess the probability as 62% for 'No' and 38% for 'BTTS - Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate total xG at 2.70: Siwelele 1.54 (1.61 xG from the home attack and 1.47 xG conceded by Magesi) and Magesi 1.16 (1.11 offensive xG and 1.21 xG conceded by the hosts). The Poisson distribution for λ=2.70 yields about 75% probability for Over 1.5, ~51% for Over 2.5 and ~29% for Over 3.5. Additionally, Siwelele at home has 93% of matches with over 1.5 goals, 4.29 shots on target and 100% of matches with at least one goal, while Magesi averages only 0.36 goals away, 2.0 shots on target and a 4% conversion. Magesi concedes on average 1.36 goals per match and has 29% clean sheets, which increases the likelihood of goals from the hosts. Based on this I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal: 75% vs 25% for Under; the 2.5 line is much less clear (51%/49%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Siwelele possess a clear offensive advantage: they average 1.29 goals per match (0.50 in the first half and 0.79 after the break), while Magesi record 0.36 (0.29 at the break, 0.07 after the break). The difference is confirmed by xG and chance quality — home xG 1.61 versus away 1.11, 4.29 shots on target vs 2.0 and shot conversion 9% vs 4%, which supports maintaining or increasing the lead. Although a draw at the break is the most frequent outcome (our estimates around 52%), Siwelele dominate the second half: they have gained 21 points after the break and won the second half in 43% of cases, whereas Magesi have 7 points and 0% second-half wins. As a result the model indicates the highest single probability for the 1/1 HT/FT scenario (about 30%); the next strongest signals are X/1 ~27% and X/X ~23%, therefore I recommend 1/1. A final away win is unlikely (~10% in total), which further strengthens the pick for the home team to win after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Siwelele | Magesi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Siwelele is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Siwelele · 0.8 pts / match - Magesi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Magesi is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Siwelele · 0.82 goals / match - Magesi
Siwelele is 61% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.93 goals / match - Siwelele · 1.5 goals / match - Magesi
Siwelele scores in 46% of matches (13 of 28 matches), while Magesi keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
Magesi scores in 50% of matches (14 of 28 matches), while Siwelele keeps a clean sheet in 46% (13 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Siwelele
Over / Under - Magesi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Siwelele is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Siwelele · 0.89 pts / match - Magesi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Siwelele - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 25%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Magesi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Siwelele
Magesi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Siwelele | Liga | Magesi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.68 | 2.06 | ▲ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 40% | ▲ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 11% | 32% | ▲ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 37% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 61% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 54% | 70% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Siwelele 0 - 0 - 1 Magesi. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Siwelele vs Magesi?
The Premier Soccer League match finished Siwelele 1:0 Magesi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Siwelele vs Magesi?
Siwelele score 0.75 goals per game on average and Magesi 0.82. The Premier Soccer League average is 2.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Siwelele's matches and 43% of Magesi's.
What form are Siwelele and Magesi in?
Over the last 5 games Siwelele have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Magesi 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Siwelele vs Magesi?
The statistical background for Siwelele vs Magesi — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.