SJ Earthquakes vs Austin: match statistics
SJ Earthquakes vs Austin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
SJ Earthquakes played Austin in MLS (United States). The match was played on 23 April 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
SJ Earthquakes: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Austin: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
SJ Earthquakes scores 2.13 and concedes 0.38 goals per match. Austin scores 1.38 and concedes 1.75. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: SJ Earthquakes 25%, Austin 75%. Over 2.5: SJ Earthquakes 50%, Austin 75%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
SJ Earthquakes has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.28. SJ Earthquakes: 14.1 shots per match, Austin: 10.9.
Match halves
SJ Earthquakes: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.13. Austin: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
SJ Earthquakes: 31-45+ (6 goals). Austin: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
SJ Earthquakes are clear favorites: in their last five matches they have 5 wins (13 scored, 2 conceded), while Austin in their last 5 matches has not won (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses) and conceded 9 goals. The hosts average 2.0 goals per home match (17 goals this season) and have an average xG of 2.01 per match, whereas Austin generate only 0.98 xG on the road and average 1.75 goals. Defensively the advantage for SJ is significant: they concede 0.25 goals per home match on average and have 75% of matches with a clean sheet, while Austin concede 2.5 goals away and have 0% clean sheets. The difference in chance quality is confirmed by shots — Earthquakes average 19.25 shots and 7 on target per home match, Austin only 9 shots and 3 on target, despite their shot conversion being 19%. Based on the xG advantage (2.01 vs 0.98), dominant form and the hosts’ solid defense, I forecast a SJ Earthquakes win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes at 72% (No 28%) because Austin has a season BTTS of 100% and BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, indicating the visitors consistently both score and concede. Austin averages 1.75 goals per game this season and 1.4 in the last 5, while conceding 2.5 seasonally and 1.8 in the last 5; they have 14 goals conceded this season and xG_against 2.66, signaling defensive vulnerability. San Jose at home produces xG_for 1.57 and has averaged 2.6 goals in the last 5 (13 goals in 5 matches); seasonally they have 17 scored and only 3 conceded with 50% clean sheets, so the hosts are likely to score. Although San Jose concedes just 0.4 goals on average in the last 5, Austin posts a shot conversion rate of 19% with an average of 3 on-target shots, so they can convert limited chances. Given Austin’s 100% season BTTS, the visitors’ high xG_against (2.66) and San Jose’s offensive form (2.6 goals in last 5), the Both Teams To Score scenario looks stronger.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model projects 2.12 expected goals for SJ (xG_for 1.57 vs xG_against_Austin 2.66) and 1.07 for Austin (xG_for 0.98 vs xG_against_SJ 1.16), totaling 3.19 goals. At this mean, a Poisson distribution implies roughly an 83% chance of Over 1.5 and about 62% for Over 2.5 (probability of >=3 goals ~62%). The last 5 matches confirm an attacking profile: SJ averages 2.6 scored and 0.4 conceded (13:2 in the last 5), Austin averages 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded in their last 5, and the combined average in those games is 4.0 goals. Seasonal indicators further support the Over signal: Austin has 100% of matches Over 2.5 and 100% BTTS, while SJ has 50% BTTS and 50% Over 2.5. Therefore the strongest and most probable play is Over 1.5; Over 2.5 also has value but is less certain.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Scenario 1/1 (home team leads at half-time and wins at full-time) is the most likely outcome, because San Jose led at the break in 60% of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.4 goals by half-time while conceding just 0.2, which gives them a clear advantage in the first half. Their average xG is 1.57 versus Austin’s 0.98, and their average on-target shots are 5.25 versus 3.0, confirming they create more chances; Austin meanwhile concedes an average of 2.5 goals per game and has an xG against of 2.66, which weakens their defence. Austin have kept no clean sheets this season (0% clean sheets) and have 100% of matches with both teams scoring, so the visitors will likely score, but season-long and last-5 form do not support an Austin win. Considering the home side’s form (last 5 matches: 5 wins) and the advantage in xG and shots, the HT/FT outcome of the home team leading at the break and winning the match is the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| SJ Earthquakes | Austin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
SJ Earthquakes is 300% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - SJ Earthquakes · 0.6 pts / match - Austin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
SJ Earthquakes is 54% better for: goals scored per match.
2.13 goals / match - SJ Earthquakes · 1.38 goals / match - Austin
SJ Earthquakes is 361% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.38 goals / match - SJ Earthquakes · 1.75 goals / match - Austin
SJ Earthquakes scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Austin keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Austin scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while SJ Earthquakes keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - SJ Earthquakes
Over / Under - Austin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
SJ Earthquakes is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.88 pts / match - SJ Earthquakes · 1.13 pts / match - Austin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
SJ Earthquakes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 88%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Austin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
SJ Earthquakes
Austin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| SJ Earthquakes | Liga | Austin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 3.24 | ▼ 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 58% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 63% | 24% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- SJ EarthquakesYellow cardEarl Edwards Jr.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of SJ Earthquakes vs Austin?
The MLS match finished SJ Earthquakes 5:1 Austin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before SJ Earthquakes vs Austin?
SJ Earthquakes score 2.13 goals per game on average and Austin 1.38. The MLS average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 25% of SJ Earthquakes's matches and 75% of Austin's.
What form are SJ Earthquakes and Austin in?
Over the last 5 games SJ Earthquakes have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Austin 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for SJ Earthquakes vs Austin?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for SJ Earthquakes vs Austin: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.