United States - MLSPayPal ParkData current as of 15 October 2026

SJ Earthquakes vs Nashville SC: match statistics

Reasoning:

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SJ Earthquakes vs Nashville SC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

SJ Earthquakes play Nashville SC in MLS (United States). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: PayPal Park.

Current form

SJ Earthquakes: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Nashville SC: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

SJ Earthquakes scores 1.79 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Nashville SC scores 2.11 and concedes 0.79. League average: 3.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: SJ Earthquakes 64%, Nashville SC 46%. Over 2.5: SJ Earthquakes 57%, Nashville SC 61%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

SJ Earthquakes has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.50. SJ Earthquakes: 13.5 shots per match, Nashville SC: 13.0.

Match halves

SJ Earthquakes: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.86. Nashville SC: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.18.

Goals by minute

SJ Earthquakes: 0-15 (12 goals). Nashville SC: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.25)
(3.80)
(1.98)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
1.79Goals scored / match2.11
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
1.43Goals conceded / match0.79
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
49%Average possession54%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
5.14Shots on target / match5.14
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.46Shots per match12.96
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
5.14Shots on target5.14
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
13.3%Shot conversion16.3%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
49%Possession54%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
1.52xG for1.5
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
1.44xG against1.24
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

Shooting quality

SJ Earthquakes: Efficient finishingNashville SC: Efficient finishing
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
Accuracy (shots on target)38%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

SJ Earthquakes is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - SJ Earthquakes · 2 pts / match - Nashville SC

SJ Earthquakes
WWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
46% W25% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-7-8
1.64 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-5
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Nashville SC
LDWWW
Season result split
68% W21% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
19-6-3
2.25 pts / match · goal difference +37
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-5-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.97Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nashville SC is 18% better for: goals scored per match.

1.79 goals / match - SJ Earthquakes · 2.11 goals / match - Nashville SC

Nashville SC is 81% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.43 goals / match - SJ Earthquakes · 0.79 goals / match - Nashville SC

SJ Earthquakes scoring profile: strong

SJ Earthquakes scores in 86% of matches (24 of 28 matches), while Nashville SC keeps a clean sheet in 46% (13 of 28 matches).

Nashville SC scoring profile: very strong

Nashville SC scores in 82% of matches (23 of 28 matches), while SJ Earthquakes keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).

50Goals scored (season)59
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
40Goals conceded (season)22
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
3.21Average goals in match2.89
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
10Goals scored (last 5)12
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
6Goals conceded (last 5)5
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal82%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
50%2 goals64%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
32%3 goals39%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
7%4 goals21%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal54%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
32%2 goals25%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
21%3 goals0%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
11%4 goals0%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time21%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
11%BTTS in both halves11%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
25%Scored in both halves50%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

BTTS and goal count

46%Min. 3 goals and BTTS46%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
80%BTTS - last 560%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
46%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time54%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nashville SC is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - SJ Earthquakes · 1.93 pts / match - Nashville SC

SJ Earthquakes - half-time state
39% leading32% draw29% trailing
Nashville SC - half-time state
50% leading43% draw7% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.93
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
0.93Goals scored (1st half)0.93
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.32
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
1.61Average goals (1st half)1.25
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
46%Clean sheet before half-time71%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
39%No goal before half-time39%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)1.96
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)1.18
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.46
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
1.61Average goals (2nd half)1.64
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
50%Clean sheet after half-time64%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
50%No goal after half-time29%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

SJ Earthquakes - second-half results

32% W32% D36% L
42
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding118%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nashville SC - second-half results

54% W36% D11% L
54
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+17
Goal difference (1st half)
55
Second-half points
+20
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding136%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 68%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

SJ Earthquakes - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match1.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match2.01.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7
Nashville SC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.60
Goals scored / match1.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+5+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

SJ Earthquakes
ScoredConceded
12
7
0-15
6
6
16-30
8
6
31-45
10
7
46-60
5
3
61-75
9
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Nashville SC
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
11
5
16-30
9
3
31-45
9
3
46-60
8
6
61-75
16
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.06
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

SJ Earthquakes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.56
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Nashville SC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.61
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
151%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
43%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

SJ EarthquakesLigaNashville SC
Average goals in match• 3.213.26▼ 2.89
Both teams scored• 64%64%▼ 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 57%64%▼ 61%
Clean sheets▲ 25%20%▲ 46%
Goal before half-time▲ 86%78%▼ 68%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%82%• 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.26
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.85
Home goals / match
1.40
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

FAQ

When do SJ Earthquakes and Nashville SC play?

SJ Earthquakes face Nashville SC on 18 October 2026 in MLS at PayPal Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before SJ Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?

SJ Earthquakes score 1.79 goals per game on average and Nashville SC 2.11. The MLS average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 64% of SJ Earthquakes's matches and 46% of Nashville SC's.

What form are SJ Earthquakes and Nashville SC in?

Over the last 5 games SJ Earthquakes have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Nashville SC 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for SJ Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?

The statistical background for SJ Earthquakes vs Nashville SC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.