SJ Earthquakes vs San Diego: match statistics
SJ Earthquakes vs San Diego: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
SJ Earthquakes played San Diego in MLS (United States). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
SJ Earthquakes: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. San Diego: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
SJ Earthquakes scores 1.40 and concedes 0.20 goals per match. San Diego scores 2.60 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: SJ Earthquakes 0%, San Diego 40%. Over 2.5: SJ Earthquakes 20%, San Diego 60%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
SJ Earthquakes has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.34. SJ Earthquakes: 13.4 shots per match, San Diego: 11.0.
Match halves
SJ Earthquakes: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 0.60. San Diego: half-time lead 80%, second-half goals 1.20.
Goals by minute
SJ Earthquakes: 31-45+ (3 goals). San Diego: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win. SJ Earthquakes have a 4-1-0 record in their last 5 matches (form 'wwwlw') and average 2.4 points per game; at home they have won 4 of 5 (Win% 67) with a goals record of 7–1 (avg 1.67 scored, 0.33 conceded). Their home xG is 1.84 versus opponent xG 0.78, and they average 17.67 shots per game (6 on target), indicating a clear edge in chance creation. San Diego away posts 66% possession and scores 2.0 goals per game with 10 attempts (20% conversion), but have conceded 11 goals in their last five matches and concede 1.5 goals per away match on average. Considering the xG advantage (1.84–1.24), lower average goals conceded by the home side (0.33–1.5) and SJ’s superior recent form (2.4 vs 1.6 average points in the last 5), I favor the home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
SJ Earthquakes on the season average 3.0 goals scored and 0.67 conceded, have 67% clean sheets and a season BTTS of 33%, while in the last 5 matches BTTS was 0% with an average of 0.2 goals conceded. San Diego on the season records 2.0 goals and 1.5 conceded, has a season BTTS of 50%, and in the last 5 matches had 60% BTTS, averaging 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded. xG shows similar attacking potential (SJ 1.4 xG vs San Diego 1.24 xG) and comparable xG against (1.12 vs 1.13), but actual goal figures favor the home defense (0.67 vs 1.5 conceded). The hosts also have better shot conversion 26% with 6.33 shots on target vs 20% and 4.5 for the visitors, which increases the likelihood that SJ will dominate and keep a clean sheet. Based on this, the stronger signal is No BTTS — I forecast 70% probability for "No" and 30% for "Yes", because SJ's high clean sheet rate dominates (67% season and 0% in last 5) versus a less convincing San Diego defense.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.27 goals for SJ Earthquakes and 1.18 for San Diego (total 2.45), calculated as the average of home xG (1.40) and away xG conceded (1.13) and vice versa. The home side scores 3.0 goals on average at home and has 100% of matches over 1.5 goals this season; in the last 5 matches they averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.2 conceded, indicating solid defensive form. San Diego score 2.0 goals on average away but have conceded 11 goals in their last 5 matches (2.2 avg) and their recent xG against is 1.8, which increases the likelihood of goals for the home team. Additionally, SJ averages 6.33 shots on target with a 26% conversion rate versus 4.5 and 20% for San Diego, which boosts the real value of their xG and supports the over 1.5 outcome. Considering the expected total of 2.45 goals, the league average of 3.03, and seasonal over 2.5 shares of 67% for the home team and 50% for the away team, I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (86% chance), rate Over 2.5 as moderate (58%) and Over 3.5 as low (29%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
SJ Earthquakes are the favorites: they have a 67% win rate this season and average 2.33 points per home match, and in the last 5 games they have won 80% (4 of 5) versus San Diego’s 40% in their last 5. The hosts have led at the break in 67% of matches this season and in 60% of their last 5, averaging 1.33 goals at half-time while conceding only 0.33, giving them a tangible advantage by half-time. The quality of chances also favors SJ: xG 1.40 vs 1.24, shots on target 6.33 vs 4.5 and conversion 26% vs 20%, and in the second half the hosts average 1.67 goals (4 goals in minutes 46–60) while San Diego have 0.5 second-half goals and concede on average 1.0. The combination of these numbers presents the strongest signal for the hosts to lead at the break and to win after 90 minutes (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| SJ Earthquakes | San Diego | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 51% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
SJ Earthquakes is 9% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - SJ Earthquakes · 2.2 pts / match - San Diego
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
San Diego is 86% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - SJ Earthquakes · 2.6 goals / match - San Diego
SJ Earthquakes is 400% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.2 goals / match - SJ Earthquakes · 1 goals / match - San Diego
SJ Earthquakes scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while San Diego keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
San Diego scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while SJ Earthquakes keeps a clean sheet in 80% (4 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - SJ Earthquakes
Over / Under - San Diego
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
San Diego is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - SJ Earthquakes · 2.6 pts / match - San Diego
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
SJ Earthquakes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
San Diego - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 80% of matches and wins 60%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
SJ Earthquakes
San Diego
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| SJ Earthquakes | Liga | San Diego | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.60 | 3.10 | ▲ 3.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 52% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 62% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 80% | 27% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 72% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 83% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of SJ Earthquakes vs San Diego?
The MLS match finished SJ Earthquakes 3:0 San Diego. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before SJ Earthquakes vs San Diego?
SJ Earthquakes score 1.40 goals per game on average and San Diego 2.60. The MLS average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 0% of SJ Earthquakes's matches and 40% of San Diego's.
What form are SJ Earthquakes and San Diego in?
Over the last 5 games SJ Earthquakes have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and San Diego 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for SJ Earthquakes vs San Diego?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for SJ Earthquakes vs San Diego: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.