SJK vs Ilves: match statistics
SJK vs Ilves: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
SJK played Ilves in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
SJK: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match. Ilves: 0-1-3, 0.25 points/match.
Goal statistics
SJK scores 1.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Ilves scores 1.50 and concedes 2.50. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: SJK 25%, Ilves 100%. Over 2.5: SJK 50%, Ilves 100%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
SJK has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.26. SJK: 11.5 shots per match, Ilves: 10.8.
Match halves
SJK: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Ilves: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
SJK: 46-60 (2 goals). Ilves: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
SJK has a clear home advantage: at home they average 2.0 goals per game, 15 shots with 5 on target and an average xG of 1.8, while Ilves away averages 1.67 goals, 9.67 shots (3.33 on target) and xG 1.1. The home defense is markedly more compact — SJK concedes only 0.5 goals per game at home and records 50% clean sheets, whereas Ilves concedes 2.33 goals per game away and has 0% clean sheets. Form confirms SJK’s edge: in the last 5 matches the hosts scored 16 goals and have a 3-1-1 record (averaging 2.0 points per game), while Ilves scored 8 goals and lost 4 of 5 matches, averaging 0.2 points per game. The difference in quality of chances (xG 1.8 vs 1.1) and the higher volume of shots and shots on target (15 vs 9.67 and 5 vs 3.33) favor the hosts in chance creation. Based on this, I back an SJK win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have season BTTS at 100% (SJK 100% and Ilves 100%), versus a league average BTTS of 54%, providing a strong signal for both teams to score. SJK averages 3.2 goals in the last 5 matches (16 goals in 5) with recent xG 2.29, while Ilves averages 1.6 goals (8 goals) with xG 1.21, so the home side is creating significantly more chances. Seasonally SJK concedes 3.0 goals on average, Ilves 2.33, and Ilves conceded 13 goals in the last 5 (2.6 avg), which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Additionally SJK averages 14.0 shots and 5.0 on target versus Ilves 9.67 and 3.33, with Ilves conversion 17% vs SJK 7%, so even with fewer opportunities Ilves displays higher efficiency. Considering 100% seasonal BTTS, 100% of matches over 2.5 for both, and form and xG, I tip BTTS - Yes as most likely (approx. 90% vs 10%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined expected goals from the last 5 matches are 2.29 (SJK) + 1.21 (Ilves) = 3.50 xG, and SJK scored 16 goals in those 5 games (avg 3.2) while Ilves scored 8 (avg 1.6) and conceded 13 (avg 2.6). Both teams have 100% of this season’s matches with both teams scoring (BTTS 100%) and 100% of matches over 2.5 goals, which strongly supports the over market. SJK generates more chances (avg 14 shots and 5 on target per match vs 9.67 and 3.33 for Ilves) and has a higher season xG (1.74 vs 1.10), while Ilves compensates with higher finishing efficiency (17% vs 7%), so even with fewer shots they can still convert. The league averages 2.42 goals per match, and our expected 3.50 goals is materially above that, increasing the probability of Over 2.5 goals and also providing a reasonable chance for Over 3.5. Considering the combined xG of 3.50, season-long Over 2.5 and BTTS rates, and SJK’s form, the strongest data-backed play is Over 2.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 because SJK led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches (60%) and also has a 60% win rate in those five games, whereas Ilves has 0% wins in the last 5 and led at the break in only 1 of 5 (20%). SJK posts a higher home xG of 1.74 versus Ilves’s 1.10 and averages 14 shots (5 on target) compared to Ilves’s 9.67 shots (3.33 on target), indicating superior chance creation and goal opportunities before half-time. In the last 5 matches hosts averaged 2.0 goals by half-time versus Ilves’s 0.8, and Ilves concedes an average of 1.6 goals by half-time, all of which increases the likelihood of SJK leading after 45 minutes. Although both teams have a season-long BTTS of 100% (both score in every match), SJK’s HT form, higher xG and shot superiority make 1/1 the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| SJK | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
SJK is 300% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - SJK · 0.25 pts / match - Ilves
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ilves is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - SJK · 1.5 goals / match - Ilves
SJK is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - SJK · 2.5 goals / match - Ilves
SJK scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
Ilves scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while SJK keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - SJK
Over / Under - Ilves
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ilves is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - SJK · 1 pts / match - Ilves
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
SJK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ilves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 25% |
| No goal | 50% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
SJK
Ilves
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| SJK | Liga | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.50 | 2.42 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 54% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 27% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 73% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): SJK 2 - 2 - 0 Ilves. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of SJK vs Ilves?
The Veikkausliiga match finished SJK 1:1 Ilves. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between SJK and Ilves?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches SJK won 2, Ilves won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before SJK vs Ilves?
SJK score 1.00 goals per game on average and Ilves 1.50. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 25% of SJK's matches and 100% of Ilves's.
What form are SJK and Ilves in?
Over the last 5 games SJK have a 1-1-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ilves 0-1-3 (0.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for SJK vs Ilves?
The statistical background for SJK vs Ilves — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.