SK Poltava vs Karpaty: match statistics
SK Poltava are displaying a disastrous form, sitting 16th in the table with a mere 11% home win rate and a streak of five consecutive defeats. The hosts score an average of only 0.67 goals per home match while conceding 2.11, resulting in a -13 goal difference. Karpaty, despite their recent dip in form, boast significantly better away statistics: a 33% win rate, 1.11 goals scored per match, and an impressive 44% clean sheets. The visitors' advantage in xG (1.4 vs 0.9), shots on target (4.67 vs 2.22), and ball possession (49% vs 45%) further confirms their superiority. Given SK Poltava's dismal form and Karpaty's more stable quality, an away win is the most likely scenario for this fixture.
SK Poltava vs Karpaty: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
SK Poltava played Karpaty in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The match was played on 13 March 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
SK Poltava: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Karpaty: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
SK Poltava scores 0.84 and concedes 2.47 goals per match. Karpaty scores 1.11 and concedes 1.37. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: SK Poltava 58%, Karpaty 47%. Over 2.5: SK Poltava 68%, Karpaty 37%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Karpaty has higher xG: 1.65 vs 0.96. SK Poltava: 8.5 shots per match, Karpaty: 14.1.
Match halves
SK Poltava: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.37. Karpaty: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
SK Poltava: 31-45+ (4 goals). Karpaty: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ukrainian Premier League: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
SK Poltava are displaying a disastrous form, sitting 16th in the table with a mere 11% home win rate and a streak of five consecutive defeats. The hosts score an average of only 0.67 goals per home match while conceding 2.11, resulting in a -13 goal difference. Karpaty, despite their recent dip in form, boast significantly better away statistics: a 33% win rate, 1.11 goals scored per match, and an impressive 44% clean sheets. The visitors' advantage in xG (1.4 vs 0.9), shots on target (4.67 vs 2.22), and ball possession (49% vs 45%) further confirms their superiority. Given SK Poltava's dismal form and Karpaty's more stable quality, an away win is the most likely scenario for this fixture.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| SK Poltava | Karpaty | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karpaty is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
0.84 goals / match - SK Poltava · 1.11 goals / match - Karpaty
Karpaty is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.47 goals / match - SK Poltava · 1.37 goals / match - Karpaty
SK Poltava scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Karpaty keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Karpaty scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while SK Poltava keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - SK Poltava
Over / Under - Karpaty
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Karpaty is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - SK Poltava · 1.16 pts / match - Karpaty
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
SK Poltava - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Karpaty - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
SK Poltava
Karpaty
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| SK Poltava | Liga | Karpaty | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.32 | 2.57 | • 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 43% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 48% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 34% | ▼ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 95% | 71% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 75% | • 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: SK Poltava 0 - 1 - 0 Karpaty. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of SK Poltava vs Karpaty?
The Ukrainian Premier League match finished SK Poltava 0:4 Karpaty. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before SK Poltava vs Karpaty?
SK Poltava score 0.84 goals per game on average and Karpaty 1.11. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 58% of SK Poltava's matches and 47% of Karpaty's.
What form are SK Poltava and Karpaty in?
Over the last 5 games SK Poltava have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Karpaty 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for SK Poltava vs Karpaty?
The statistical background for SK Poltava vs Karpaty — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.