Skanste vs Super Nova II: match statistics
Skanste vs Super Nova II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Skanste played Super Nova II in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Skanste: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match. Super Nova II: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match.
Goal statistics
Skanste scores 2.33 and concedes 2.33 goals per match. Super Nova II scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Skanste 67%, Super Nova II 100%. Over 2.5: Skanste 100%, Super Nova II 67%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 74%.
xG, shots and style
Skanste has higher xG: 1.05 vs 0.95. Skanste: 4.3 shots per match, Super Nova II: 4.0.
Match halves
Skanste: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00. Super Nova II: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Skanste: 0-15 (6 goals). Super Nova II: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.52 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 74%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Skanste has lost 100% of home matches and concedes an average of 2.0 goals per game, while Super Nova II are unbeaten away (0% defeats) and concede 1.0 goal per game on average. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 13 and conceded 12, whereas the visitors have scored 3 and conceded 2, indicating Skanste’s recent games are open and high-scoring. Skanste averages 9 shots and 3 on target per home game with an 11% conversion rate, while Super Nova II average 8 shots and 2 on target with a 13% conversion, so the hosts create more opportunities but convert slightly less efficiently. The xG differential is 1.26 xG for the hosts at home versus 1.05 xG for the visitors away, yet the visitors have a higher xG against (1.9), suggesting Super Nova II concede many chances but maintain a solid points return (1.67 points per game in the last 5 vs 1.2 for Skanste). Given Skanste’s entirely negative home record and the visitors’ stable, draw-prone away performances, the most likely outcome I predict is a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have BTTS 100% this season (Skanste 100% and Super Nova II 100%), which is the strongest signal that matches end with goals at both ends. In the last 5 matches BTTS is 60% for Skanste and 67% for Super Nova II, while the league average BTTS is 62%, confirming the tendency both at team and league level. Skanste averages 5.0 shots with 2.0 on target and has a 40% conversion, translating to 2.5 goals per match; Super Nova II produces 8.0 shots with 2.0 on target and a 13% conversion, yielding on average 1.0 goal, so both sides generate goal-scoring opportunities. Additionally, both teams have 0% clean sheets, and recent xG figures show Skanste with 2.06 xG per match and 2.05 xG against in the last 5, while Super Nova II has 0.95 xG per match and 1.76 xG against, indicating defensive gaps that favor goals at both ends. Based on this, I forecast BTTS - Yes as more likely with an estimated probability of 82% versus 18% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I forecast a strong probability for Over 1.5 (98%) because both teams have Over1.5 in 100% of their matches this season and the league averages 3.62 goals per game. Expected goals are calculated from the last 5 matches: xG Skanste = 2.06 and xG against Super Nova II = 1.76, giving Skanste an expected 1.91; xG Super Nova II = 0.95 and xG against Skanste = 2.05 give the visitors 1.50, total = 3.41 goals. Additionally, Skanste averages 5.0 shots with a 40% conversion (about 2.0 goals), while Super Nova II averages 8.0 shots with a 13% accuracy (about 1.04 goals), which confirms a greater scoring potential for the home side. For the 2.5 line I rate Over 2.5 at 74% – Skanste has Over2.5 in 100% of their last 5 matches, Super Nova II 33%, and the league shows Over2.5 in 76% of fixtures, so Over2.5 is likely. I assess Over 3.5 at around 42% (Skanste has 50% seasonally for Over3.5, Super Nova II 0%, and the expected total 3.41 is slightly below 3.5), therefore the strongest play is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Skanste led at half-time in 2 of 2 matches (leadingAtHT_home 2.0, leadingAtHTPercentage_home 100.0), averaging 1.0 goal in the first half and conceding none (scoredAVGHT_home 1.0, concededAVGHT_home 0.0). Over the season the home side average 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Super Nova II average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded (seasonScoredAVG_home 2.5, seasonConcededAVG_home 1.0; seasonScoredAVG_away 1.0, seasonConcededAVG_away 1.0). Skanste have a 100% win rate so far (winPercentage_home 100.0) versus 0% wins and 100% draws for the visitors (winPercentage_away 0.0, drawPercentage_away 100.0), which strongly supports maintaining the lead at the break and a Full-Time victory for the hosts. Although the hosts’ xG is lower (0.84 vs 1.05), the home side’s high shot conversion rate of 40.0% versus 13.0% for the visitors means Skanste convert chances into goals more often; therefore the most likely scenario is 1/1 (lead at the break and win at Full-Time by Skanste).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Skanste | Super Nova II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.75 | 2.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Super Nova II is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Skanste · 2.33 pts / match - Super Nova II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Skanste is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
2.33 goals / match - Skanste · 2 goals / match - Super Nova II
Super Nova II is 133% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.33 goals / match - Skanste · 1 goals / match - Super Nova II
Skanste scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Super Nova II keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
Super Nova II scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Skanste keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Skanste
Over / Under - Super Nova II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Super Nova II is 248% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / match - Skanste · 2.33 pts / match - Super Nova II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Skanste - second-half results
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Super Nova II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 33% |
| No goal | 67% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.33 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 33% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Skanste
Super Nova II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Skanste | Liga | Super Nova II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.67 | 3.52 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Skanste vs Super Nova II?
The 1. Liga match finished Skanste 1:1 Super Nova II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Skanste vs Super Nova II?
Skanste score 2.33 goals per game on average and Super Nova II 2.00. The 1. Liga average is 3.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 74% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Skanste's matches and 100% of Super Nova II's.
What form are Skanste and Super Nova II in?
Over the last 5 games Skanste have a 1-0-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Super Nova II 2-1-0 (2.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Skanste vs Super Nova II?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Skanste vs Super Nova II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.