SKRA Częstochowa vs Zagłębie Lubin II: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a very even chance for both teams. SKRA Częstochowa shows solid home form with a 55% win rate at home and an average of 2.27 goals per match, yet their defense raises concerns – they concede an average of 1.64 goals per game. Zagłębie Lubin II, despite playing away, boasts a better seasonal goal difference (55 goals scored) and an advantage in ball possession (69%). Both teams have identical form in their last five matches (2 points per game) and similar xG metrics, suggesting comparable offensive potential. Zagłębie's high draw rate away from home (45%), coupled with the even quality of both sides, argues for a share of the points. We anticipate an open, high-scoring encounter ending in a draw.
SKRA Częstochowa vs Zagłębie Lubin II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
SKRA Częstochowa played Zagłębie Lubin II in 3 Liga Group 3 (Poland). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
SKRA Częstochowa: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Zagłębie Lubin II: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
SKRA Częstochowa scores 1.96 and concedes 1.78 goals per match. Zagłębie Lubin II scores 2.50 and concedes 1.64. League average: 3.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: SKRA Częstochowa 78%, Zagłębie Lubin II 64%. Over 2.5: SKRA Częstochowa 70%, Zagłębie Lubin II 73%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Zagłębie Lubin II has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.56. SKRA Częstochowa: 11.5 shots per match, Zagłębie Lubin II: 12.3.
Match halves
SKRA Częstochowa: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.22. Zagłębie Lubin II: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.32.
Goals by minute
SKRA Częstochowa: 0-15 (37 goals). Zagłębie Lubin II: 0-15 (44 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 3: 3.29 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a very even chance for both teams. SKRA Częstochowa shows solid home form with a 55% win rate at home and an average of 2.27 goals per match, yet their defense raises concerns – they concede an average of 1.64 goals per game. Zagłębie Lubin II, despite playing away, boasts a better seasonal goal difference (55 goals scored) and an advantage in ball possession (69%). Both teams have identical form in their last five matches (2 points per game) and similar xG metrics, suggesting comparable offensive potential. Zagłębie's high draw rate away from home (45%), coupled with the even quality of both sides, argues for a share of the points. We anticipate an open, high-scoring encounter ending in a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data strongly supports BTTS: both teams have 64% of matches with goals from both sides, and goal averages are high (SKRA 3.0 scored and 1.73 conceded; Zagłębie II 2.0 scored and 1.55 conceded). Creation metrics also suggest goals from both sides (xG: 1.98 vs 1.72), and defenses are not stable, as evidenced by low clean sheet rates (27% each). SKRA generates numerous chances (16.18 shots and 6.73 on target per match), increasing the likelihood they score even against an improved visiting defense. Conversely, in their last 5 matches, SKRA concedes an average of 2.4 goals, so Zagłębie II has favorable conditions to find the net despite their recently better GA (0.8). The only notable deterrent for BTTS is the low BTTS rate for the visitors in last5 (20%), but the overall profile of both teams and the high league-wide BTTS propensity (61%) still point to 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal model indicates a high-scoring game: total expected goals are 3.10 (1.68 for Skra and 1.42 for Zagłębie II), which is close to the league average of 3.26. Skra has a very high goal output this season (3.0 goals scored per match) while also conceding a lot (1.73), and Zagłębie II also scores regularly (2.0) with 1.55 goals conceded. Season-long market data supports a scenario with at least 2 goals: Skra has 100% of matches over 1.5, and Zagłębie II 73%, with BTTS at 64% for both teams. High chance volumes (shots: 16.18 vs 12.43; on target: 6.73 vs 5.43) and solid xG (1.98 and 1.72) increase the reliability of the goal forecast. Therefore, the strongest play is over 1.5, as it combines the highest probability with season-long data confirming the frequent hitting of this line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for HT is a draw: Skra has a 100% rate of matches drawn at half-time, and Zagłębie II also very frequently draws at the break (83%), with low first-half goal averages (AVGHT 1.0 vs 0.83). Over the full match, the quality and offensive potential advantage lies with Skra (PPG 2.18 and win% 73% with 3.0 goals/match, along with higher average shots and shots on target). At the same time, Zagłębie II's profile suggests they can "hold the score" and perform stronger in the second half (ppg_2hg 1.83, gd_2hg +4, conceded_2hg_avg 0.33), which increases the risks of X/X and X/2. In the last 5 matches, Zagłębie II has significantly improved its defense (0.8 goals conceded/match), but Skra continues to deliver points (2.0 PPG), tipping the scale in favor of the hosts by the end. Given the frequent half-time draw and Skra's higher baseline strength over the season, the most likely outcome is a draw at half-time and a Skra win at full-time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| SKRA Częstochowa | Zagłębie Lubin II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.51 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zagłębie Lubin II is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.96 goals / match - SKRA Częstochowa · 2.5 goals / match - Zagłębie Lubin II
Zagłębie Lubin II is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.78 goals / match - SKRA Częstochowa · 1.64 goals / match - Zagłębie Lubin II
SKRA Częstochowa scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Zagłębie Lubin II keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
Zagłębie Lubin II scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while SKRA Częstochowa keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - SKRA Częstochowa
Over / Under - Zagłębie Lubin II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
SKRA Częstochowa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Zagłębie Lubin II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (37 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (35). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (44 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (29). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
SKRA Częstochowa
Zagłębie Lubin II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 3).
Teams vs league
| SKRA Częstochowa | Liga | Zagłębie Lubin II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.74 | 3.29 | ▲ 4.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 62% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 66% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 22% | 32% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 13% | 34% | ▼ 32% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: SKRA Częstochowa 1 - 0 - 0 Zagłębie Lubin II. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of SKRA Częstochowa vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
The 3 Liga Group 3 match finished SKRA Częstochowa 3:0 Zagłębie Lubin II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before SKRA Częstochowa vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
SKRA Częstochowa score 1.96 goals per game on average and Zagłębie Lubin II 2.50. The 3 Liga Group 3 average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 78% of SKRA Częstochowa's matches and 64% of Zagłębie Lubin II's.
What form are SKRA Częstochowa and Zagłębie Lubin II in?
Over the last 5 games SKRA Częstochowa have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Zagłębie Lubin II 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for SKRA Częstochowa vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
The statistical background for SKRA Częstochowa vs Zagłębie Lubin II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.