Śląsk Wrocław vs Lech Poznań: match statistics
Śląsk Wrocław vs Lech Poznań: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Śląsk Wrocław played Lech Poznań in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Tarczyński Arena. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Śląsk Wrocław: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Lech Poznań: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Śląsk Wrocław scores 1.22 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Lech Poznań scores 2.13 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Śląsk Wrocław 89%, Lech Poznań 63%. Over 2.5: Śląsk Wrocław 78%, Lech Poznań 75%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Lech Poznań has higher xG: 2.05 vs 1.47. Śląsk Wrocław: 12.3 shots per match, Lech Poznań: 19.0.
Match halves
Śląsk Wrocław: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.89. Lech Poznań: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Śląsk Wrocław: 76-90+ (7 goals). Lech Poznań: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lech Poznań sit 3rd and have won 6 of their 8 matches this season, while 15th-placed Śląsk Wrocław have managed just 1 win in 9 games. In their last five matches, the visitors have won 3 times and scored 9 goals, compared with one win and 6 goals for the hosts. Away from home, Lech average 2 goals and 5,67 shots on target per match, versus Śląsk’s 1,5 goals and 4,25 shots on target at home; Lech also have a slightly higher xG, at 1,75 to 1,62. However, Lech’s away defensive record gives the hosts a chance: they concede an average of 1,67 goals on the road and have kept no clean sheets in those matches. Despite this, the visitors’ superior results and attacking efficiency point to a Lech win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes landed in 100% of Lech's away matches and 40% of Śląsk's home matches, so the full-season data is inconclusive. However, the case for a home goal is supported by Śląsk's average of 2.2 goals at home, compared with Lech's 1.67 goals conceded away. Lech average 2.0 goals scored away, while Śląsk conceded an average of 1.6 goals in their last 5 matches, with opponents recording an xG of 2.04. The risk to BTTS - Yes is Śląsk's 60% clean-sheet rate at home, although both teams have recently conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match. Therefore, the scenario in which both teams score has a moderate edge over BTTS - No, which wins if at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Śląsk score an average of 2.2 goals at home and generate an xG of 2.23, while Lech concede an average of 1.67 goals away from home. The visitors also have attacking potential, averaging 2.0 goals away, although Śląsk concede just 0.4 goals per home match. Over the last five matches for both teams, the 2.5-goal line has been surpassed in 80% of cases, and Lech’s away matches have featured at least two goals in 100% of cases. A projected total of 3.25 goals supports Over 1.5 goals; this line offers a stronger signal than higher thresholds, particularly given Śląsk’s solid home defence.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time followed by a Śląsk win appears to be the most likely outcome: the hosts were level at the break in 4 of their 5 home matches and averaged 1.4 goals in the second half. This outcome is also supported by the fact that Śląsk did not concede after the break in any of those 5 matches, while Lech conceded an average of 1.33 goals in second halves away from home. The hosts won the second half in 80% of their home matches, whereas the visitors lost it in 67% of their away games. However, the pick is not clear-cut, as Lech led at the break in all 3 away matches and have won 3 of their last 5 matches overall, compared with just 1 win for Śląsk. Even so, Lech’s away scoring rate after the break of just 0.33 goals per match, together with Śląsk’s advantage in average home xG (2.23 versus Lech’s 1.75 away), points to a home win at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Śląsk Wrocław | Lech Poznań | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lech Poznań is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Śląsk Wrocław · 2.4 pts / match - Lech Poznań
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lech Poznań is 75% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Śląsk Wrocław · 2.13 goals / match - Lech Poznań
Lech Poznań is 90% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Śląsk Wrocław · 0.88 goals / match - Lech Poznań
Śląsk Wrocław scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Lech Poznań keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
Lech Poznań scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Śląsk Wrocław keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Śląsk Wrocław
Over / Under - Lech Poznań
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lech Poznań is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Śląsk Wrocław · 2 pts / match - Lech Poznań
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Śląsk Wrocław - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lech Poznań - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Śląsk Wrocław
Lech Poznań
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Śląsk Wrocław | Liga | Lech Poznań | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.89 | 2.98 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 89% | 65% | ▼ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 62% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 22% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 69% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 85% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Śląsk Wrocław vs Lech Poznań?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Śląsk Wrocław 1:4 Lech Poznań. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Śląsk Wrocław vs Lech Poznań?
Śląsk Wrocław score 1.22 goals per game on average and Lech Poznań 2.13. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 89% of Śląsk Wrocław's matches and 63% of Lech Poznań's.
What form are Śląsk Wrocław and Lech Poznań in?
Over the last 5 games Śląsk Wrocław have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Lech Poznań 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Śląsk Wrocław vs Lech Poznań?
The statistical background for Śląsk Wrocław vs Lech Poznań — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.