Śląsk Wrocław vs Pogoń Siedlce: match statistics
Śląsk Wrocław vs Pogoń Siedlce: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Śląsk Wrocław played Pogoń Siedlce in 1. Liga (Poland). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Śląsk Wrocław: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Pogoń Siedlce: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Śląsk Wrocław scores 1.92 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. Pogoń Siedlce scores 1.04 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Śląsk Wrocław 85%, Pogoń Siedlce 54%. Over 2.5: Śląsk Wrocław 77%, Pogoń Siedlce 38%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Śląsk Wrocław has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.34. Śląsk Wrocław: 13.1 shots per match, Pogoń Siedlce: 11.0.
Match halves
Śląsk Wrocław: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.81. Pogoń Siedlce: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Śląsk Wrocław: 31-45+ (11 goals). Pogoń Siedlce: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Śląsk Wrocław has a clear advantage at home: they score an average of 2.08 goals per match at home with 14.92 shots and 6 on target, and record a 67% home win rate. In the last 5 matches Śląsk scored 11 goals and won 3 of 5, averaging 2 points per match in that period. Pogoń Siedlce perform worse away — 1.00 goal per match, 10.92 shots and 2.85 on target, 31% of away games without a goal and only 4 goals and 1 win in their last 5 fixtures. The quality gap in chances is also visible in xG: Śląsk has xG 1.86 versus Pogoń’s xG 1.26, and Pogoń concedes 1.68 xG to opponents away while Śląsk concedes 1.29 xG at home. Considering the 47-goal difference in goals scored and the league positions (4 vs 14), better form (Śląsk 2 pts per match in the last 5 vs Pogoń 1 pt) and higher shot efficiency, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 54% (Śląsk 54%, Pogoń 54%), while the league average is 67%, indicating the league generally favors BTTS more than their seasonal figures. In the last 5 matches Śląsk recorded BTTS in 80% of games and averaged 2.2 goals scored with 1.4 conceded, while Pogoń had 60% BTTS and averaged 0.8 scored with 1.4 conceded, so the hosts' recent form significantly increases the chance of Goal/Goal. Season xG is 1.41 for Śląsk and 1.26 for Pogoń with xG against of 1.63 and 1.68 respectively, showing both teams create offensive chances while being exposed to conceding. Additionally Śląsk averages 4.08 shots on target versus Pogoń's 2.85, and clean sheets occur in only 31% and 23% of home and away matches, which raises the probability of goals from both sides. Considering the 54% season BTTS, the pronounced recent forms (80%/60%), high xG against (1.63/1.68) and home advantage in the league of 21%–23%, I assess BTTS - Yes at 68% vs No at 32%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Śląsk scores an average of 1.08 goals per match this season with xG 1.41, while Pogoń averages 1.00 goal with xG 1.26; both teams concede over 1.0 goals (Śląsk 1.08, Pogoń 1.23), which creates goal-scoring space. Using the teams' average xG (Śląsk xG_for 1.41 vs Pogoń xG_against 1.68 and Pogoń xG_for 1.26 vs Śląsk xG_against 1.63) I project 1.55 goals for Śląsk and 1.45 for Pogoń, totalling 3.00 goals. At this total the probability of Over 1.5 is about 80%, Over 2.5 about 58%, and Over 3.5 about 35%, which confirms an over signal. Additionally, in the last 5 matches Śląsk scored 11 goals (2.2 avg) and had 80% of games Over 2.5, while Pogoń had 4 goals in their last 5 (0.8 avg), increasing the home side’s attacking pressure. Therefore the strongest signal is an Over line at 1.5 — season-long Over1.5 is 69% for Śląsk and 77% for Pogoń, and the xG model gives a combined 3.00 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I rate HT/FT 1/1 as the most likely scenario. In the last five matches Śląsk won 60% of games and averaged 2.2 goals per match, while Pogoń has a 20% win rate and 0.8 goals on average over that period. At half-time Śląsk led in 60% of those five matches and averages 1.4 goals by the break, whereas Pogoń has registered 0.0 goals at half-time in their last five, which is a strong signal for the home side to hold a lead after 45 minutes. Śląsk also posts higher xG (1.41 vs 1.26) and more on-target shots (4.08 vs 2.85), and scores more in second halves on average (1.31 vs Pogoń’s 1.15), increasing the likelihood they will maintain the lead. Although the hosts have led at half-time in only 15% of matches across the whole season, the edge in recent form and xG/shot metrics provides the strongest signal for a Śląsk victory from HT through Full-Time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Śląsk Wrocław | Pogoń Siedlce | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Śląsk Wrocław is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Śląsk Wrocław · 1 pts / match - Pogoń Siedlce
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Śląsk Wrocław is 85% better for: goals scored per match.
1.92 goals / match - Śląsk Wrocław · 1.04 goals / match - Pogoń Siedlce
Pogoń Siedlce is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.54 goals / match - Śląsk Wrocław · 1.15 goals / match - Pogoń Siedlce
Śląsk Wrocław scores in 96% of matches (25 of 26 matches), while Pogoń Siedlce keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
Pogoń Siedlce scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Śląsk Wrocław keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Śląsk Wrocław
Over / Under - Pogoń Siedlce
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Śląsk Wrocław is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Śląsk Wrocław · 1.15 pts / match - Pogoń Siedlce
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Śląsk Wrocław - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Pogoń Siedlce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +6 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Śląsk Wrocław
Pogoń Siedlce
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Śląsk Wrocław | Liga | Pogoń Siedlce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.46 | 2.99 | ▼ 2.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 85% | 67% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 61% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 19% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 74% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 80% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Śląsk Wrocław 1 - 0 - 0 Pogoń Siedlce. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Śląsk Wrocław vs Pogoń Siedlce?
The 1. Liga match finished Śląsk Wrocław 1:0 Pogoń Siedlce. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Śląsk Wrocław vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Śląsk Wrocław score 1.92 goals per game on average and Pogoń Siedlce 1.04. The 1. Liga average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 85% of Śląsk Wrocław's matches and 54% of Pogoń Siedlce's.
What form are Śląsk Wrocław and Pogoń Siedlce in?
Over the last 5 games Śląsk Wrocław have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Pogoń Siedlce 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Śląsk Wrocław vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Śląsk Wrocław vs Pogoń Siedlce: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.