Slaven Koprivnica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: match statistics

Slaven Koprivnica are clearly in better form: they have collected 10 points from their last 5 matches, recording 3 wins and a draw, while Lokomotiva have won only 2 of those fixtures and lost 3. At home, the hosts create more danger, averaging 14 shots and 6 on target per match, compared with Lokomotiva’s 9 shots and just 2 on target away from home. The difference is also reflected in the quality of chances: Slaven’s average xG stands at 1.67, while the visitors’ is only 1.05, alongside Lokomotiva’s high xG conceded of 2.56. Neither defence is fully reliable, with Slaven conceding an average of 2 goals at home and Lokomotiva 2.25 away, having kept no clean sheets on the road. Home advantage and significantly greater attacking activity point towards a home win, although Slaven’s vulnerability at the back gives the visitors a realistic chance to respond.

The signal for both sides to score is strengthened by the fact that Slaven have recorded BTTS - Yes in 100% of their matches this season, while Lokomotiva have reached 80% in their last five fixtures. The hosts have scored an average of 2.4 goals and conceded 2.0 in their last five matches, whereas the visitors have scored 1.6 goals and conceded the same average of 2.0. Lokomotiva have yet to keep a clean sheet, and Slaven also have 0% of matches without conceding, which clearly increases the chances of both teams finding the net. Slaven allow opponents an average of 1.85 xG in their last five matches, while Lokomotiva's defence permits as much as 2.40 xG, making it particularly likely that the hosts will respond to a potential goal from the visitors. The risk for BTTS - Yes is Lokomotiva's weaker full-season attacking output, averaging 1.0 goal, but their current offensive form supports the Yes option.

The match profile clearly favors goals: in their last 5 matches, Slaven averaged 2.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Lokomotiva recorded 1.6 and 2.0, respectively. Both teams had 80% of their matches in this period finish with at least three goals, while the league average stands at a high 3.29 goals per match. The hosts create an average of 1.52 xG, while the visitors’ defense allows opponents 2.40 xG, significantly boosting Slaven’s attacking outlook. Additionally, neither team has kept a clean sheet in the current-season data, making Over 1.5 the safest choice with a projected total of 3.35 goals.

Slaven Koprivnica have won all of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 3.0 goals and conceding just 1.0, while Lokomotiva have lost 75% of their away fixtures and conceded 2.25 goals per match. The hosts have been particularly strong in the opening half: they held a lead at the break in 100% of their home matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored before half-time and conceding none. Lokomotiva led at half-time in only 25% of their away games, while their defence conceded three goals between the 16th and 30th minutes in just four matches. Recent form also favours Slaven, who have won three of their last five matches, compared with Lokomotiva’s two wins and three defeats. After the break, the visitors concede an average of 1.5 goals away from home and score only 0.25, making a Slaven lead at half-time followed by a home win the most consistent HT/FT scenario: 1/1.