Slavia Praha vs Sparta Praha: match statistics
Slavia Praha vs Sparta Praha: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Slavia Praha played Sparta Praha in First League (Czechia). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Slavia Praha: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Sparta Praha: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Slavia Praha scores 2.10 and concedes 0.77 goals per match. Sparta Praha scores 2.00 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Slavia Praha 58%, Sparta Praha 58%. Over 2.5: Slavia Praha 55%, Sparta Praha 61%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Slavia Praha has higher xG: 2.06 vs 1.81. Slavia Praha: 17.9 shots per match, Sparta Praha: 15.3.
Match halves
Slavia Praha: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.16. Sparta Praha: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.16.
Goals by minute
Slavia Praha: 16-30 (12 goals). Sparta Praha: 61-75 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Favorite is Slavia: they sit 1st in the table with a 22-8-1 record this season, while Sparta are 2nd at 20-6-5. At home Slavia average 2.33 goals per game and generate xG 2.34 with 20.67 shots and 7.4 shots on target per match, whereas Sparta away average 1.47 goals, xG 1.54, 12.73 shots and 4.73 on target. Defensively Slavia concede only 0.67 goals at home (xG against 1.05) versus Sparta conceding 0.8 on the road (xG against 1.17), with both teams keeping clean sheets in 53% of matches. Short-term form favors Sparta (4 wins in last 5 and 2.4 pts/match vs Slavia’s 3 wins and 2.0 pts/match), but Slavia hold a clearer advantage in shot volume, xG and home goal difference (+25 versus Sparta’s +10 away) and a lower share of matches without a goal scored (13% vs 20%). On that basis I give the hosts the better chances.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal for BTTS - Yes comes from Slavia: the hosts score on average 2.5 goals per match this season (xG 2.07), have not had a single match without a goal at home (0% FTS) and their home BTTS rate is 75%. Sparta gives mixed signals — seasonally they score 1.47 goals away and have 62 goals in the season, but concede only 0.8 goals on average away, have 53% clean sheets and their season BTTS is 40%, with only 20% in the last 5 matches. The last 5 matches show Slavia with xG 2.05 and 7 goals scored, and Sparta with 1.58 xG and 8 goals scored, which suggests both teams are capable of scoring despite Sparta’s solid defense. Considering this, I place greater weight on Slavia’s attacking strength and assess BTTS probability at 70% for Yes and 30% for No, therefore I recommend the 'yes' bet as the best pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Slavia averages 2.50 goals scored at home (xG 2.07), while Sparta averages 1.47 goals away (xG 1.54); adjusting for xG conceded to the opponent (Sparta xG against 1.17, Slavia xG against 1.09) yields expected ~1.62 goals for Slavia and ~1.31 for Sparta, total 2.93. Seasonally Slavia has 94% of home matches over 1.5 goals, Sparta 73%, and matches involving these teams finished over 0.5 goals in 100% and 87% of cases respectively, confirming a tendency for scoring. With aggregate λ=2.93 the Poisson distribution gives about a 79% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) and about 56% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5), while Over 3.5 is only around 33% probability. Additionally Slavia scores in both halves in 69% of home games, and BTTS is 75% for Slavia seasonally and 40% for Sparta, further supporting at least two goals. Therefore the strongest and most reliable signal from the data is the Over 1.5 (over) play — highest probability (79%) with relatively low under risk.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Data show Sparta frequently led at the break in recent matches: in 4 of 5 games (80%), with average first-half goals of 0.94 for Slavia and 0.73 for Sparta, while Sparta concedes only 0.2 goals on average by half-time. At the same time Slavia is the favorite for the final result — winning 75% of home matches, scoring 2.5 goals per game versus Sparta’s 1.47 and posting higher xG (2.07 vs 1.54), indicating better-quality chances. After the break Slavia is markedly more dangerous: they score 1.56 goals on average in the second half and win the second half 75% of the time, whereas Sparta scores 0.73 after the break and wins only 40% of second halves, which favors Slavia’s comebacks. Additionally Slavia have scored 10 goals in minutes 76–90 versus Sparta’s 3 in that interval, increasing the likelihood of a late turnaround; therefore the scenario Sparta leading at half-time but losing after full-time (2/1) receives the highest probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Slavia Praha | Sparta Praha | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sparta Praha is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Slavia Praha · 2.4 pts / match - Sparta Praha
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Slavia Praha is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
2.1 goals / match - Slavia Praha · 2 goals / match - Sparta Praha
Slavia Praha is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.77 goals / match - Slavia Praha · 1.06 goals / match - Sparta Praha
Slavia Praha scores in 90% of matches (28 of 31 matches), while Sparta Praha keeps a clean sheet in 39% (12 of 31 matches).
Sparta Praha scores in 90% of matches (28 of 31 matches), while Slavia Praha keeps a clean sheet in 42% (13 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Slavia Praha
Over / Under - Sparta Praha
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Slavia Praha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sparta Praha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Slavia Praha | Liga | Sparta Praha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.87 | 2.59 | ▲ 3.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 50% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 47% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 29% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 74% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Slavia Praha 1 - 1 - 0 Sparta Praha. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Slavia Praha vs Sparta Praha?
The First League match finished Slavia Praha 3:2 Sparta Praha. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Slavia Praha and Sparta Praha?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Slavia Praha won 1, Sparta Praha won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Slavia Praha vs Sparta Praha?
Slavia Praha score 2.10 goals per game on average and Sparta Praha 2.00. The First League average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Slavia Praha's matches and 58% of Sparta Praha's.
What form are Slavia Praha and Sparta Praha in?
Over the last 5 games Slavia Praha have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Sparta Praha 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Slavia Praha vs Sparta Praha?
The statistical background for Slavia Praha vs Sparta Praha — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.