Slovácko vs Hradec Králové: match statistics
Slovácko vs Hradec Králové: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Slovácko played Hradec Králové in First League (Czechia). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Slovácko: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Hradec Králové: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Slovácko scores 0.85 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Hradec Králové scores 1.37 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Slovácko 37%, Hradec Králové 44%. Over 2.5: Slovácko 41%, Hradec Králové 44%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Slovácko has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.32. Slovácko: 12.3 shots per match, Hradec Králové: 10.7.
Match halves
Slovácko: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.41. Hradec Králové: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Slovácko: 31-45+ (8 goals). Hradec Králové: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a Hradec Králové win — the visitors sit 6th with 11 wins this season, while Slovácko have 5 wins and are 14th. Hradec shows better recent form: 3 wins in their last 5 matches and an average of 2.0 points per game, versus Slovácko’s 2 wins and 1.4 points per game in the same period. At home Slovácko create more chances — home xG is 1.58 with 53% possession and 13.85 shots per game, compared to Hradec’s away xG of 1.30, 44% possession and 10.62 shots on the road. Efficiency favors the visitors: Slovácko convert at 8% and score 1.15 goals at home on average, while Hradec have a 12% conversion and 1.31 goals away; over the season Hradec have scored 37 goals versus Slovácko’s 23. Slovácko’s defense concedes less at home (1.23 goals per game and 31% clean sheets) than Hradec do away (1.62 and 15% clean sheets), but the visitors’ edge in conversion and form leads me to estimate a 45% chance of a Hradec win, 30% for Slovácko and 25% for a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The home side have a season BTTS rate of 36% and as many as 57% of matches with a clean sheet, while the visitors record a season BTTS of 54% and only 15% clean sheets. In their last 5 matches Slovácko scored 9 and conceded 9 (avg. 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded) and have a 60% BTTS rate, whereas Hradec in their last 5 scored 4 and conceded 3 (avg. 0.8 and 0.6) and have 0% BTTS. xG figures are similar (1.33 for the home side vs 1.30 for the visitors), combined xG 2.63 is almost identical to the league average 2.59, and on-target shots 3.71 vs 4.38 indicate the visitors create slightly more opportunities. Given the high clean sheet rate of the home team (57%) and the league clean sheet frequency of 61%, I consider a no-BTTS scenario more likely and rate it 60% for 'No' vs 40% for 'BTTS - Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Modeling xG values: Slovácko has xG_for 1.33 versus Hradec’s defense xG_against 1.82, yielding an expected ~1.58 goals for the home side, while Hradec xG_for 1.30 against Slovácko xG_against 1.58 gives ~1.44; total xG = 3.02 (1.58+1.44). With λ=3.02 the Poisson distribution produces probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) of about 80%, at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) about 58%, and four or more goals (Over 3.5) about 36%. Season data corroborate this trend: Slovácko have 71% of matches Over 1.5, Hradec 69%, and both teams average 1.43 (Slovácko) and 1.31 (Hradec) goals per game. In the last 5 matches Slovácko scored 9 goals (avg. 1.8), Hradec 4 goals (avg. 0.8), and Hradec has BTTS 54% vs Slovácko 36%, therefore the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The first half favors Slovácko: the hosts led at the break in 7 of 14 matches (50%), scoring on average 0.79 goals by half-time and conceding only 0.36, while Hradec averages 0.62 scored and 0.62 conceded by half-time. Over full matches Slovácko posts superior figures: average points per game 1.79 versus 1.15, win percentage 50% versus 31% and a lower average goals conceded 0.79 versus 1.62 for Hradec. The hosts also have a defensive edge — a clean sheet in 57% of season matches versus 15% for Hradec and xG 1.33 versus 1.30 with xG against 1.58 versus 1.82, which increases the chances of maintaining a lead. Hradec, however, scores more often after the break (average second-half goals 1.69 and 85% of matches with a goal after half-time), so an equalizer is possible, but the statistical balance leads me to choose the 1/1 scenario (lead at the break and Half-Time/Full-Time win for Slovácko).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Slovácko | Hradec Králové | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hradec Králové is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Slovácko · 2 pts / match - Hradec Králové
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hradec Králové is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
0.85 goals / match - Slovácko · 1.37 goals / match - Hradec Králové
Hradec Králové is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.41 goals / match - Slovácko · 1.19 goals / match - Hradec Králové
Slovácko scores in 52% of matches (14 of 27 matches), while Hradec Králové keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).
Hradec Králové scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Slovácko keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Slovácko
Over / Under - Hradec Králové
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hradec Králové is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Slovácko · 1.59 pts / match - Hradec Králové
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Slovácko - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hradec Králové - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Slovácko
Hradec Králové
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Slovácko | Liga | Hradec Králové | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.26 | 2.61 | • 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 49% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 46% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 30% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Slovácko 0 - 0 - 1 Hradec Králové. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Slovácko vs Hradec Králové?
The First League match finished Slovácko 1:3 Hradec Králové. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Slovácko vs Hradec Králové?
Slovácko score 0.85 goals per game on average and Hradec Králové 1.37. The First League average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Slovácko's matches and 44% of Hradec Králové's.
What form are Slovácko and Hradec Králové in?
Over the last 5 games Slovácko have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Hradec Králové 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Slovácko vs Hradec Králové?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.