Smiltene vs Skanste: match statistics
Smiltene vs Skanste: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Smiltene played Skanste in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 28 June 2026. Venue: Tepera stadions. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Smiltene: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Skanste: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Smiltene scores 0.90 and concedes 2.70 goals per match. Skanste scores 1.67 and concedes 1.78. League average: 3.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Smiltene 40%, Skanste 44%. Over 2.5: Smiltene 50%, Skanste 56%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 69%.
xG, shots and style
Skanste has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.04. Smiltene: 7.9 shots per match, Skanste: 9.7.
Match halves
Smiltene: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.80. Skanste: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Smiltene: 76-90+ (4 goals). Skanste: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.50 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 69%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite appears to be Skanste: they sit 9th versus Smiltene’s 13th and have 3 wins this season while the hosts have 0. In the last 5 matches Skanste recorded 2 wins and 3 losses (PPG 1.2), while Smiltene posted 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses (PPG 0.8). Offensively Skanste averages 1.75 goals away compared to Smiltene’s 1.25 at home, but Skanste also concedes 2.75 goals on average away versus Smiltene’s 2.00 at home. The quality-of-chances model confirms a slight edge for the visitors: xG 1.32 for Skanste away versus 1.08 for Smiltene at home, with xG against 2.17 versus 2.04, indicating many clear chances for both sides. Smiltene has more shots on target (3.0) and a higher conversion rate (16% vs 4%), but Skanste attempts more shots overall (9.33 vs 7.75) and has a better win record, so I give a small advantage to the visitors, although a draw and an open, high-scoring game are realistic.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis indicates a higher probability of BTTS - Yes. Both teams average goals per season of 1.6 (Smiltene) and 1.75 (Skanste), and the league BTTS rate is 61%. Skanste have recorded 0 clean sheets this season (0%) and conceded 16 goals, while Smiltene have conceded 27 goals, highlighting defensive vulnerability on both sides. In the last 5 matches Skanste generated an average xG of 1.71 versus Smiltene 0.89, with xG against for both teams around 1.8, so the visitors have created more expected chances and the hosts often allow danger. Smiltene also show better shooting efficiency: on average 5.0 shots on target and a 13% conversion rate versus 2.67 shots on target and 4% for Skanste, which increases the likelihood both teams will score. Considering Skanste’s 0% clean sheets, Smiltene’s 27 goals conceded and the high league BTTS 61%, I assess BTTS Yes at 70% vs 30% No and recommend the Yes selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals are 1.86 for Smiltene and 1.44 for Skanste, total 3.30 goals. The forecast is based on xG: Smiltene has xG_for 1.54 versus Skanste xG_against 2.17, and Skanste xG_for 1.32 versus Smiltene xG_against 1.55, indicating stronger offensive activity from the home side and overall high goal potential. Smiltene averages 5.0 SOT with a conversion rate of 13%, while Skanste has 2.67 SOT and a 4% conversion, and Skanste additionally concedes 2.75 goals on average this season. Both teams have 100% of matches over 1.5 goals, the league averages 3.46 goals and 68% of fixtures exceed 2.5, and individual Over2.5 rates are 40% (home) and 75% (away), so the combined signal favors Over 2.5. For these reasons I recommend backing Over at the 2.5 line as the strongest signal (estimated Over2.5 70%), whereas the 3.5 line is less reliable (Over 44% / Under 56%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win (X/1): Smiltene were level at the break in 3 of their 5 home matches (60%) and were not leading at half-time in any of them (0%), so a half-time draw is the most plausible. After the break Smiltene score an average of 1.4 goals and win the second half in 60% of cases, while Skanste concede an average of 2.0 goals in the second half and have not recorded a win after the break (0%). The hosts have higher xG (1.54 vs 1.32), average 5.0 shots on target compared to 2.67 for their opponents and a better shot conversion rate 13% vs 4%, suggesting a quality and chance‑conversion advantage. Over the whole season Smiltene score 1.6 goals and average 1.4 points per game, whereas Skanste score 1.75 but concede as many as 2.75 per game and average 0.75 points per match, which undermines their ability to hold a lead. Therefore I predict a draw at half-time with a turnaround after the break in favor of Smiltene. Given the hosts’ strength in second halves, the scenario in which the visitors lead at the break and Smiltene overturn the result after the break (2/1) also has a notable chance as a secondary option.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Smiltene | Skanste | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Skanste is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Smiltene · 1.2 pts / match - Skanste
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Skanste is 86% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - Smiltene · 1.67 goals / match - Skanste
Skanste is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.7 goals / match - Smiltene · 1.78 goals / match - Skanste
Smiltene scores in 40% of matches (4 of 10 matches), while Skanste keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
Skanste scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Smiltene keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Smiltene
Over / Under - Skanste
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Skanste is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.4 pts / match - Smiltene · 0.44 pts / match - Skanste
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Smiltene - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Skanste - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Smiltene
Skanste
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Smiltene | Liga | Skanste | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.60 | 3.50 | • 3.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 62% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 69% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 22% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 84% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Smiltene 0 - 1 - 1 Skanste. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Smiltene vs Skanste?
The 1. Liga match finished Smiltene 2:4 Skanste. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Smiltene and Skanste?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Smiltene won 0, Skanste won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Smiltene vs Skanste?
Smiltene score 0.90 goals per game on average and Skanste 1.67. The 1. Liga average is 3.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Smiltene's matches and 44% of Skanste's.
What form are Smiltene and Skanste in?
Over the last 5 games Smiltene have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Skanste 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Smiltene vs Skanste?
The statistical background for Smiltene vs Skanste — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.