Latvia - 1. LigaTepera stadionsData current as of 05 August 2026

Smiltene vs Valmiera / BSS: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Smiltene vs Valmiera / BSS: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Smiltene play Valmiera / BSS in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match date is 8 August 2026. Venue: Tepera stadions.

Current form

Smiltene: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Valmiera / BSS: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Smiltene scores 1.20 and concedes 2.60 goals per match. Valmiera / BSS scores 2.67 and concedes 0.87. League average: 3.49 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Smiltene 53%, Valmiera / BSS 67%. Over 2.5: Smiltene 60%, Valmiera / BSS 80%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 70%.

xG, shots and style

Valmiera / BSS has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.22. Smiltene: 8.9 shots per match, Valmiera / BSS: 13.5.

Match halves

Smiltene: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.87. Valmiera / BSS: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.93.

Goals by minute

Smiltene: 76-90+ (6 goals). Valmiera / BSS: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1. Liga: 3.49 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 70%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

SmilteneValmiera / BSS
1.2Goals scored / match2.67
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
2.6Goals conceded / match0.87
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
43%Average possession56%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
4.2Shots on target / match7.47
SmilteneValmiera / BSS

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.87Shots per match13.47
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
4.2Shots on target7.47
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
13.5%Shot conversion19.8%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
43%Possession56%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
1.22xG for1.86
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
2.02xG against1.5
SmilteneValmiera / BSS

Shooting quality

Smiltene: Counter-attackingValmiera / BSS: Efficient finishing
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
Accuracy (shots on target)47%55%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Valmiera / BSS is 150% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Smiltene · 3 pts / match - Valmiera / BSS

Smiltene
LLWLW
Season result split
13% W27% R60% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-9
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-4
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Valmiera / BSS
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
80% W13% R7% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-2-1
2.53 pts / match · goal difference +27
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-1-1
Last 5 away
3-1-1
LDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.72Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Valmiera / BSS is 123% better for: goals scored per match.

1.2 goals / match - Smiltene · 2.67 goals / match - Valmiera / BSS

Valmiera / BSS is 199% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.6 goals / match - Smiltene · 0.87 goals / match - Valmiera / BSS

Smiltene scoring profile: strong

Smiltene scores in 60% of matches (9 of 15 matches), while Valmiera / BSS keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).

Valmiera / BSS scoring profile: very strong

Valmiera / BSS scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Smiltene keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).

18Goals scored (season)40
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
39Goals conceded (season)13
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
3.8Average goals in match3.53
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
9Goals scored (last 5)14
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
12Goals conceded (last 5)2
SmilteneValmiera / BSS

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal93%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
40%2 goals80%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
20%3 goals60%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
0%4 goals27%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS

How often they concede at least...

87%1 goal67%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
67%2 goals13%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
47%3 goals7%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
27%4 goals0%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time13%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
7%BTTS in both halves0%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
20%Scored in both halves47%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
80%BTTS - last 540%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time87%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time87%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
40%Min. 3 goals after half-time53%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Valmiera / BSS is 174% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.73 pts / match - Smiltene · 2 pts / match - Valmiera / BSS

Smiltene - half-time state
13% leading33% draw53% trailing
Valmiera / BSS - half-time state
53% leading40% draw7% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.73Points per match (1st half)2
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.73
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
1.13Goals conceded (1st half)0.2
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
1.47Average goals (1st half)0.93
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
40%Clean sheet before half-time80%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
67%No goal before half-time40%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)2.27
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
0.87Goals scored (2nd half)1.93
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
1.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
2.33Average goals (2nd half)2.6
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
27%Clean sheet after half-time53%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
53%No goal after half-time20%
SmilteneValmiera / BSS

Smiltene - second-half results

27% W20% R53% P
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Valmiera / BSS - second-half results

67% W27% R7% P
30
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+19
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding151%

Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Smiltene - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.6
Average goals in match1.62.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Valmiera / BSS - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.602.60
Goals scored / match1.21.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+5+7
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Smiltene
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
2
5
16-30
2
7
31-45
5
9
46-60
2
5
61-75
6
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Valmiera / BSS
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
11
3
46-60
6
3
61-75
12
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 2.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Smiltene

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.80
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.60
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
163%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Valmiera / BSS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.81
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.63
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
167%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
46%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.2
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).

Teams vs league

SmilteneLigaValmiera / BSS
Average goals in match 3.803.49 3.53
Both teams scored 53%63% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%70% 80%
Clean sheets 13%21% 33%
Goal before half-time 73%74% 67%
Goal after half-time 87%85% 87%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.49
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.89
Home goals / match
1.60
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
63%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Smiltene 0 - 0 - 1 Valmiera / BSS. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Smiltene and Valmiera / BSS play?

Smiltene face Valmiera / BSS on 8 August 2026 in 1. Liga at Tepera stadions. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Smiltene vs Valmiera / BSS?

Smiltene score 1.20 goals per game on average and Valmiera / BSS 2.67. The 1. Liga average is 3.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Smiltene's matches and 67% of Valmiera / BSS's.

What form are Smiltene and Valmiera / BSS in?

Over the last 5 games Smiltene have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Valmiera / BSS 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Smiltene vs Valmiera / BSS?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.