Smouha SC vs Al Ahly: match statistics
Al Ahly demonstrates significantly higher quality and efficiency this season, confirmed by a record of 9 wins with only 1 loss and 27 goals scored. The visitors dominate in terms of possession (68% on average away) and generate more chances (18 shots per match vs 12.75 for the hosts), translating to a higher xG (1.96 vs 1.48). Smouha SC has a solid home record (50% wins), but the recent form of both teams is comparable (1.8 PPG), and Al Ahly remains unbeaten in the last 5 matches. Al Ahly's high percentage of away draws (71%) suggests a cautious game, yet the visitors' qualitative and offensive advantage points towards their victory. I expect a difficult match for the hosts, with the advantage going to Al Ahly, although a draw is also a realistic scenario due to Smouha's defensive solidity at home.
Smouha SC vs Al Ahly: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Smouha SC played Al Ahly in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The match was played on 23 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Smouha SC: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Al Ahly: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Smouha SC scores 0.88 and concedes 0.65 goals per match. Al Ahly scores 1.69 and concedes 0.94. League average: 1.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Smouha SC 41%, Al Ahly 63%. Over 2.5: Smouha SC 18%, Al Ahly 44%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Al Ahly has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.27. Smouha SC: 10.6 shots per match, Al Ahly: 16.4.
Match halves
Smouha SC: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.41. Al Ahly: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Smouha SC: 0-15 (3 goals). Al Ahly: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Egyptian Premier League: 1.99 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ahly demonstrates significantly higher quality and efficiency this season, confirmed by a record of 9 wins with only 1 loss and 27 goals scored. The visitors dominate in terms of possession (68% on average away) and generate more chances (18 shots per match vs 12.75 for the hosts), translating to a higher xG (1.96 vs 1.48). Smouha SC has a solid home record (50% wins), but the recent form of both teams is comparable (1.8 PPG), and Al Ahly remains unbeaten in the last 5 matches. Al Ahly's high percentage of away draws (71%) suggests a cautious game, yet the visitors' qualitative and offensive advantage points towards their victory. I expect a difficult match for the hosts, with the advantage going to Al Ahly, although a draw is also a realistic scenario due to Smouha's defensive solidity at home.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Smouha SC | Al Ahly | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ahly is 22% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Smouha SC · 2.2 pts / match - Al Ahly
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahly is 92% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Smouha SC · 1.69 goals / match - Al Ahly
Smouha SC is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.65 goals / match - Smouha SC · 0.94 goals / match - Al Ahly
Smouha SC scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Al Ahly keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
Al Ahly scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Smouha SC keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Smouha SC
Over / Under - Al Ahly
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ahly is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Smouha SC · 1.88 pts / match - Al Ahly
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Smouha SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Ahly - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Smouha SC
Al Ahly
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Smouha SC | Liga | Al Ahly | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.53 | 1.99 | ▲ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 46% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 33% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | • 35% | 35% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 56% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 69% | • 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Smouha SC vs Al Ahly?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished Smouha SC 0:1 Al Ahly. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Smouha SC vs Al Ahly?
Smouha SC score 0.88 goals per game on average and Al Ahly 1.69. The Egyptian Premier League average is 1.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Smouha SC's matches and 63% of Al Ahly's.
What form are Smouha SC and Al Ahly in?
Over the last 5 games Smouha SC have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Al Ahly 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Smouha SC vs Al Ahly?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Smouha SC vs Al Ahly: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.