Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra: match statistics
Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Smouha SC played Ceramica Cleopatra in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The match was played on 22 April 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Smouha SC: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Ceramica Cleopatra: 0-5-0, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Smouha SC scores 1.00 and concedes 0.77 goals per match. Ceramica Cleopatra scores 1.41 and concedes 0.82. League average: 2.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Smouha SC 41%, Ceramica Cleopatra 45%. Over 2.5: Smouha SC 27%, Ceramica Cleopatra 27%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Smouha SC has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.22. Smouha SC: 10.7 shots per match, Ceramica Cleopatra: 10.1.
Match halves
Smouha SC: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.41. Ceramica Cleopatra: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Smouha SC: 31-45+ (5 goals). Ceramica Cleopatra: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Egyptian Premier League: 2.00 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Smouha has a clear advantage in chance creation at home: average xG is 1.42 versus 1.08 xG for Ceramica away, and the hosts average 12.27 shots (4.0 on target) per match versus 8.73 (3.36 on target) for the visitors. Defensively Smouha is slightly more stable at home — conceding just 0.64 goals per match, compared to 0.73 conceded by Ceramica away, and keeping a clean sheet in 45% of home games. On the other hand Ceramica has the better season record (11 wins and 31 goals versus 8 wins and 22 goals for Smouha) and higher possession on the road (56% vs 51%), and in their last 5 matches the visitors have recorded 5 draws. In last-5 form Smouha scored 7 goals and averages 1.2 points per match, while Ceramica scored 5 goals and averages 1.0 points per match, which suggests greater offensive vitality from the hosts despite lower efficiency (9% conversion vs 13% for Ceramica). Considering Smouha’s superior xG and greater chance volume plus their solid home defense, I give a slight edge to the hosts, but expect an even match with a moderate risk of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Signals favor BTTS - Yes: Smouha scores on average 1.73 goals per match (xG 1.33) and has a home BTTS rate of 55%, while Ceramica registered BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, averaging 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded in that period. xG metrics indicate Smouha has xG 1.33 versus Ceramica’s expected 1.30, and the visitors have xG 1.08 versus 1.25 xG expected for Smouha, suggesting realistic, though asymmetric, scoring chances for both sides. Smouha averages 11.45 shots and 4.27 on target versus Ceramica’s 8.73 and 3.36, and with conversion rates of 15% vs 13% the hosts have an advantage in chance creation. Counterargument: Ceramica have 45% clean sheets away and a season BTTS for the visitors of 36%, versus the league average BTTS 47%, so no-goal outcomes are possible. Overall, considering the strong 80% BTTS signal for the visitors in the last 5 matches, the season 55% for Smouha, and the hosts’ edge in shots and xG, I assess BTTS probability at 62% vs 38% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG-based estimates: home xG is 1.33 and xG against Ceramica is 1.30, yielding about 1.32 goals for Smouha; away xG is 1.08 versus xG against Smouha 1.25, yielding about 1.17 goals for Ceramica, for a total of 2.49 expected goals. Historical rates support this projection — Smouha has 91% of matches with over 1.5 goals at home, Ceramica 55%, giving an average signal of ~73% for Over 1.5. A Poisson model with λ=2.49 gives ~71% probability for Over 1.5 and ~46% for Over 2.5, therefore the strongest and safest option is Over 1.5. Additionally, Smouha averages 1.73 goals and 4.27 shots on target per match, while Ceramica’s season average for goals conceded is 0.73 but a higher xG against of 1.30 — these figures reinforce the scenario of at least two goals in the match. Consequently, I recommend an Over 1.5 bet based on xG 1.32/1.17 and seasonal percentages 91%/55%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (Smouha leading at the break and winning) because the hosts have a clear offensive advantage: Smouha’s season goals per game 1.73 vs Ceramica 1.09, xG 1.33 vs 1.08, more shots 11.45 vs 8.73 and more shots on target 4.27 vs 3.36. At halftime Smouha led in 5 matches (45%) versus only 3 away leads (27%), and the average halftime goals are 0.64 vs 0.45 in favor of the hosts, boosting the probability of an HT lead. Smouha wins 64% of matches this season, Ceramica 36%, and in the last 5 fixtures the hosts have 2 wins (LWWLL) while the visitors recorded 5 draws (DDDDD), so maintaining and closing out a win is more likely. Additionally the hosts are stronger after the break: stats show Smouha averages 1.09 second-half goals vs Ceramica’s 0.64 and higher total second-half values 1.64 vs 1.09, which reduces the risk of surrendering the lead; although the visitors have a halftime clean sheet in 82% of cases, this more often translates into draws than full-time wins. Based on this the overall predicted chance of a home win is approximately 53%, draw 26% and loss 21%, hence 1/1 is the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Smouha SC | Ceramica Cleopatra | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Smouha SC is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Smouha SC · 1 pts / match - Ceramica Cleopatra
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ceramica Cleopatra is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Smouha SC · 1.41 goals / match - Ceramica Cleopatra
Smouha SC is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.77 goals / match - Smouha SC · 0.82 goals / match - Ceramica Cleopatra
Smouha SC scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Ceramica Cleopatra keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).
Ceramica Cleopatra scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Smouha SC keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Smouha SC
Over / Under - Ceramica Cleopatra
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Smouha SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ceramica Cleopatra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Smouha SC
Ceramica Cleopatra
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Smouha SC | Liga | Ceramica Cleopatra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.77 | 2.00 | ▲ 2.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 47% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 33% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 32% | 35% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 57% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Smouha SC 0 - 0 - 1 Ceramica Cleopatra. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished Smouha SC 0:2 Ceramica Cleopatra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra?
Smouha SC score 1.00 goals per game on average and Ceramica Cleopatra 1.41. The Egyptian Premier League average is 2.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Smouha SC's matches and 45% of Ceramica Cleopatra's.
What form are Smouha SC and Ceramica Cleopatra in?
Over the last 5 games Smouha SC have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Ceramica Cleopatra 0-5-0 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.