Smouha SC vs Zamalek: match statistics
Smouha SC vs Zamalek: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Smouha SC played Zamalek in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The match was played on 5 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Smouha SC: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Zamalek: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Smouha SC scores 0.92 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Zamalek scores 1.54 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Smouha SC 38%, Zamalek 42%. Over 2.5: Smouha SC 25%, Zamalek 38%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Zamalek has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.28. Smouha SC: 10.7 shots per match, Zamalek: 13.9.
Match halves
Smouha SC: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.38. Zamalek: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Smouha SC: 31-45+ (5 goals). Zamalek: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Egyptian Premier League: 2.00 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite is Zamalek: league leader with 15 wins and 37 goals this season, versus Smouhy with 8 wins and 22 goals. Away, Zamalek averages 1.91 goals per game with a 15% conversion rate and only 9% of matches without scoring, while Smouha at home records 0.92 goals per game, 8% conversion and fails to score in 46% of home matches. Smouha, however, has a solid home defense—conceding only 0.77 goals per game and keeping 38% clean sheets, whereas Zamalek concedes on average 1.0 goal away. In the last 5 matches Smouha scored 4 and conceded 7 (record 1-0-4, PPG 0.6), and Zamalek scored 2 and conceded 3 (record 2-2-1, PPG 1.6), showing better points form for the visitors despite recent lower finishing. Considering the seasonal advantage in goals (37 vs 22), conversion rate (15% vs 8%) and the visitors’ stability, I forecast a Zamalek win; estimated probabilities: away win 62%, draw 23%, home win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back 'No' (BTTS - No) as the more likely outcome. Smouha keeps a clean sheet in 69% of matches and concedes only 0.46 goals per game this season, a strong indicator against BTTS. Zamalek has 64% BTTS this season and averages 1.91 goals, but in the last 5 matches they have 0% BTTS and score just 0.4 goals on average, which significantly reduces their current BTTS probability. xG metrics show Smouha creates 1.66 xG versus 1.22 xG conceded by Zamalek, yet Smouha’s low finishing (8% conversion) and a high league clean sheet rate of 70% point toward a no-goal-for-one-side scenario being more likely. Therefore I assess 'No' at 70%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Smouha has xG_for 1.66 against Zamalek’s average xG_conceded 1.22, implying an expected ~1.44 goals for the home side; Zamalek has xG_for 1.36 versus Smouha’s xG_against 1.00, implying ~1.18 goals for the visitors, total ≈2.62. A Poisson model with λ=2.62 estimates over 1.5 ≈74%, over 2.5 ≈49% and over 3.5 ≈27% — values used in the forecast. Season indicators support an over 1.5 bias: Smouha at home records over 1.5 in 54% of matches, Zamalek away 82% (average 68%), while over 2.5 is only 23%/55% (avg ~39%), hence lower confidence in the 2.5 line. Smouha has 69% clean sheets at home and a low shot conversion of 8%, which limits goal volume, but Zamalek scores on average 1.91 goals and has BTTS 64%, increasing the likelihood of at least two goals. Therefore I recommend betting Over 1.5 — the strongest probabilistic signal: 74% vs 26%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
By half-time the statistics are mixed: Smouha averages 0.54 goals by the break, Zamalek 0.91, but Smouha keeps a clean sheet at half-time in 92% of home matches, while Zamalek leads at the break in 64% of their away games. In the second half the edge should lie with Zamalek – the visitors average 1.64 goals after the break versus 1.0 for the hosts and also have a higher goals-per-game average (1.91 versus Smouha’s 1.23). Although Smouha generate higher xG at home (1.66 versus Zamalek’s 1.36), their low shot conversion rate of 8% compared to Zamalek’s 15% means the visitors convert chances more efficiently. Considering the hosts’ defensive reliability to half-time (92%) and Zamalek’s superior efficiency and second-half form (last 5 matches: Smouha lllll, Zamalek wdwdl), the most probable scenario is a draw at half-time with the visitors winning after 90 minutes (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Smouha SC | Zamalek | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Zamalek is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Smouha SC · 1.4 pts / match - Zamalek
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zamalek is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Smouha SC · 1.54 goals / match - Zamalek
Zamalek is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - Smouha SC · 0.71 goals / match - Zamalek
Smouha SC scores in 54% of matches (13 of 24 matches), while Zamalek keeps a clean sheet in 50% (12 of 24 matches).
Zamalek scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while Smouha SC keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Smouha SC
Over / Under - Zamalek
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zamalek is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Smouha SC · 2 pts / match - Zamalek
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Smouha SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Zamalek - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Smouha SC
Zamalek
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Smouha SC | Liga | Zamalek | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.75 | 2.00 | ▲ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 47% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 33% | ▲ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 35% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | • 58% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Smouha SC 0 - 0 - 1 Zamalek. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Smouha SC vs Zamalek?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished Smouha SC 0:1 Zamalek. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Smouha SC vs Zamalek?
Smouha SC score 0.92 goals per game on average and Zamalek 1.54. The Egyptian Premier League average is 2.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Smouha SC's matches and 42% of Zamalek's.
What form are Smouha SC and Zamalek in?
Over the last 5 games Smouha SC have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Zamalek 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Smouha SC vs Zamalek?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Smouha SC vs Zamalek: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.