Sofapaka vs Leopards: match statistics
Leopards present significantly better form than Sofapaka, confirmed by recent results – the visitors have earned 2.2 points per match in their last 5 games, compared to just 0.4 for the hosts. Sofapaka has poor efficiency at home – only 13% wins in home matches and a staggering 63% of games without scoring a goal. Leopards stand out with a solid away defense (0.86 goals conceded on average) and 43% clean sheets, and have not lost any of their last 5 matches. The hosts' goal difference stands at -5 in home matches, while the visitors hold a positive +1 balance on the road. Considering Leopards' possession advantage (53% vs 47%), their superior form, and Sofapaka's offensive weakness, a victory for the visitors or a draw is most probable, with the edge going to Leopards.
Sofapaka vs Leopards: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sofapaka played Leopards in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 28 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Sofapaka: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Leopards: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sofapaka scores 0.67 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Leopards scores 1.28 and concedes 0.61. League average: 1.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sofapaka 28%, Leopards 39%. Over 2.5: Sofapaka 28%, Leopards 33%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Sofapaka has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.28. Sofapaka: 8.8 shots per match, Leopards: 7.7.
Match halves
Sofapaka: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.28. Leopards: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Sofapaka: 0-15 (4 goals). Leopards: 0-15 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 1.99 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leopards present significantly better form than Sofapaka, confirmed by recent results – the visitors have earned 2.2 points per match in their last 5 games, compared to just 0.4 for the hosts. Sofapaka has poor efficiency at home – only 13% wins in home matches and a staggering 63% of games without scoring a goal. Leopards stand out with a solid away defense (0.86 goals conceded on average) and 43% clean sheets, and have not lost any of their last 5 matches. The hosts' goal difference stands at -5 in home matches, while the visitors hold a positive +1 balance on the road. Considering Leopards' possession advantage (53% vs 47%), their superior form, and Sofapaka's offensive weakness, a victory for the visitors or a draw is most probable, with the edge going to Leopards.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sofapaka | Leopards | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.52 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leopards is 650% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Sofapaka · 3 pts / match - Leopards
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leopards is 91% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Sofapaka · 1.28 goals / match - Leopards
Leopards is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Sofapaka · 0.61 goals / match - Leopards
Sofapaka scores in 39% of matches (7 of 18 matches), while Leopards keeps a clean sheet in 50% (9 of 18 matches).
Leopards scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Sofapaka keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sofapaka
Over / Under - Leopards
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sofapaka is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Sofapaka · 1 pts / match - Leopards
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sofapaka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Leopards - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sofapaka
Leopards
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Sofapaka | Liga | Leopards | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.89 | 1.99 | ▼ 1.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 28% | 43% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 33% | • 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 36% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 44% | 30% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal after half-time | • 33% | 32% | ▲ 39% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sofapaka 0 - 1 - 0 Leopards. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sofapaka vs Leopards?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Sofapaka 0:1 Leopards. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sofapaka vs Leopards?
Sofapaka score 0.67 goals per game on average and Leopards 1.28. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 28% of Sofapaka's matches and 39% of Leopards's.
What form are Sofapaka and Leopards in?
Over the last 5 games Sofapaka have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Leopards 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sofapaka vs Leopards?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sofapaka vs Leopards: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.