Sofapaka vs Murang'a SEAL: match statistics
Murang'a SEAL is in significantly better form than Sofapaka, as evidenced by their points per match in the last 5 games (1.8 vs 0.4). The visitors are unbeaten in their last five matches (2 wins, 3 draws), while the hosts have recorded only draws and losses. Sofapaka has very poor scoring efficiency at home (0.63 goals per match, 63% of matches without a goal scored), while Murang'a SEAL averages 1.43 goals away with only 14% of matches failing to score. The positive goal difference of the visitors away (+2) contrasted with the negative goal difference of the hosts at home (-5), along with a clear advantage in possession (52% vs 47%), further support a Murang'a SEAL victory. Considering the visitors' tendency to draw away (57%), there is also a significant probability of a draw.
Sofapaka vs Murang'a SEAL: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sofapaka played Murang'a SEAL in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 8 February 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Sofapaka: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Murang'a SEAL: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sofapaka scores 0.63 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Murang'a SEAL scores 1.32 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sofapaka 26%, Murang'a SEAL 63%. Over 2.5: Sofapaka 26%, Murang'a SEAL 47%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Murang'a SEAL has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.35. Sofapaka: 9.1 shots per match, Murang'a SEAL: 11.2.
Match halves
Sofapaka: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.26. Murang'a SEAL: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Sofapaka: 0-15 (4 goals). Murang'a SEAL: 0-15 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Murang'a SEAL is in significantly better form than Sofapaka, as evidenced by their points per match in the last 5 games (1.8 vs 0.4). The visitors are unbeaten in their last five matches (2 wins, 3 draws), while the hosts have recorded only draws and losses. Sofapaka has very poor scoring efficiency at home (0.63 goals per match, 63% of matches without a goal scored), while Murang'a SEAL averages 1.43 goals away with only 14% of matches failing to score. The positive goal difference of the visitors away (+2) contrasted with the negative goal difference of the hosts at home (-5), along with a clear advantage in possession (52% vs 47%), further support a Murang'a SEAL victory. Considering the visitors' tendency to draw away (57%), there is also a significant probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sofapaka | Murang'a SEAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Murang'a SEAL is 650% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Sofapaka · 3 pts / match - Murang'a SEAL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Murang'a SEAL is 110% better for: goals scored per match.
0.63 goals / match - Sofapaka · 1.32 goals / match - Murang'a SEAL
Murang'a SEAL is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Sofapaka · 1.05 goals / match - Murang'a SEAL
Sofapaka scores in 37% of matches (7 of 19 matches), while Murang'a SEAL keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Murang'a SEAL scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Sofapaka keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sofapaka
Over / Under - Murang'a SEAL
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Murang'a SEAL is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Sofapaka · 1.16 pts / match - Murang'a SEAL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sofapaka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 16%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Murang'a SEAL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sofapaka
Murang'a SEAL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Sofapaka | Liga | Murang'a SEAL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.84 | 2.01 | ▲ 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 44% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 33% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 35% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 42% | 29% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | • 32% | 31% | ▲ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sofapaka 1 - 0 - 0 Murang'a SEAL. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sofapaka vs Murang'a SEAL?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Sofapaka 2:3 Murang'a SEAL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sofapaka vs Murang'a SEAL?
Sofapaka score 0.63 goals per game on average and Murang'a SEAL 1.32. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Sofapaka's matches and 63% of Murang'a SEAL's.
What form are Sofapaka and Murang'a SEAL in?
Over the last 5 games Sofapaka have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Murang'a SEAL 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sofapaka vs Murang'a SEAL?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.