Sofapaka vs Tusker: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sofapaka play Tusker in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 11 December 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 0:2.

Current form

Sofapaka: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Tusker: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sofapaka scores 0.54 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Tusker scores 0.83 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.01 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sofapaka 25%, Tusker 34%. Over 2.5: Sofapaka 25%, Tusker 28%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.

xG, shots and style

Tusker has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.35. Sofapaka: 9.4 shots per match, Tusker: 10.9.

Match halves

Sofapaka: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.18. Tusker: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.21.

Goals by minute

Sofapaka: 0-15 (7 goals). Tusker: 0-15 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
SofapakaTusker
7Shots9
SofapakaTusker
1Shots on target4
SofapakaTusker
1.09xG1.33
SofapakaTusker
8Corners4
SofapakaTusker
78Dangerous attacks66
SofapakaTusker
-1Fouls-1
SofapakaTusker
-1Cards-1
SofapakaTusker

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.54Goals scored / match0.83
SofapakaTusker
1.29Goals conceded / match0.93
SofapakaTusker
46%Average possession51%
SofapakaTusker
3.32Shots on target / match3.79
SofapakaTusker

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.43Shots per match10.93
SofapakaTusker
3.32Shots on target3.79
SofapakaTusker
5.7%Shot conversion7.6%
SofapakaTusker
46%Possession51%
SofapakaTusker
1.35xG for1.42
SofapakaTusker
1.52xG against1.4
SofapakaTusker

Shooting quality

Sofapaka: BalancedTusker: Balanced
SofapakaTusker
Accuracy (shots on target)35%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.160.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tusker is 33% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Sofapaka · 0.8 pts / match - Tusker

Sofapaka
LDLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
11% W29% R61% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-8-17
0.61 pts / match · goal difference -21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-5-8
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
LLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Tusker
LWLDL
Season result split
41% W17% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-5-12
1.41 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-1-7
Last 5 away
1-0-4
WLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tusker is 54% better for: goals scored per match.

0.54 goals / match - Sofapaka · 0.83 goals / match - Tusker

Tusker is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.29 goals / match - Sofapaka · 0.93 goals / match - Tusker

Sofapaka scoring profile: more difficult

Sofapaka scores in 32% of matches (9 of 28 matches), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).

Tusker scoring profile: strong

Tusker scores in 66% of matches (19 of 29 matches), while Sofapaka keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).

15Goals scored (season)24
SofapakaTusker
36Goals conceded (season)27
SofapakaTusker
1.82Average goals in match1.76
SofapakaTusker
0Goals scored (last 5)1
SofapakaTusker
3Goals conceded (last 5)3
SofapakaTusker

How often they score at least...

32%1 goal66%
SofapakaTusker
18%2 goals17%
SofapakaTusker
4%3 goals0%
SofapakaTusker
0%4 goals0%
SofapakaTusker

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal62%
SofapakaTusker
39%2 goals21%
SofapakaTusker
14%3 goals7%
SofapakaTusker
0%4 goals3%
SofapakaTusker

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

4%BTTS at half-time3%
SofapakaTusker
0%BTTS in both halves0%
SofapakaTusker
7%Scored in both halves3%
SofapakaTusker

BTTS and goal count

18%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
SofapakaTusker
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
SofapakaTusker
0%BTTS - last 50%
SofapakaTusker

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

29%Min. 1 goal before half-time31%
SofapakaTusker
11%Min. 2 goals before half-time10%
SofapakaTusker
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
SofapakaTusker

2nd half

21%Min. 1 goal after half-time21%
SofapakaTusker
7%Min. 2 goals after half-time7%
SofapakaTusker
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
SofapakaTusker

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sofapaka - half-time state
11% leading75% draw14% trailing
Tusker - half-time state
14% leading69% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.07Points per match (1st half)1.1
SofapakaTusker
0.18Goals scored (1st half)0.17
SofapakaTusker
0.21Goals conceded (1st half)0.28
SofapakaTusker
0.39Average goals (1st half)0.45
SofapakaTusker
82%Clean sheet before half-time83%
SofapakaTusker
86%No goal before half-time83%
SofapakaTusker

After half-time (2nd half)

1.04Points per match (2nd half)1.28
SofapakaTusker
0.18Goals scored (2nd half)0.21
SofapakaTusker
0.18Goals conceded (2nd half)0.07
SofapakaTusker
0.36Average goals (2nd half)0.28
SofapakaTusker
86%Clean sheet after half-time93%
SofapakaTusker
89%No goal after half-time79%
SofapakaTusker

Sofapaka - second-half results

7% W82% R11% P
30
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.07
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tusker - second-half results

14% W86% R0% P
32
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.10
PPG before half-time
Lead holding293%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Sofapaka - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.00.0
1 goal0%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Tusker - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.00.0
1 goal0%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sofapaka
ScoredConceded
7
28
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (28). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Tusker
ScoredConceded
14
20
0-15
1
4
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (14 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.80
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.7 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
30%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
21%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
23%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sofapaka

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.81
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
53%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
130%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 47% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Tusker

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.59
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.61
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 58% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

SofapakaLigaTusker
Average goals in match 1.822.01 1.76
Both teams scored 25%43% 34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 25%33% 28%
Clean sheets 25%36% 38%
Goal before half-time 29%21% 31%
Goal after half-time 21%22% 21%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.01
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
36%
Clean sheets
1.02
Home goals / match
0.99
Away goals / match
+3%
Home attack advantage
+3%
Home defence advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
21%
1 goal
8%
2 goals
2%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
22%
1 goal
11%
2 goals
2%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Sofapaka 0 - 1 - 0 Tusker. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Sofapaka vs Tusker?

The Kenyan Premier League match finished Sofapaka 0:2 Tusker. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Sofapaka vs Tusker?

Sofapaka score 0.54 goals per game on average and Tusker 0.83. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Sofapaka's matches and 34% of Tusker's.

What form are Sofapaka and Tusker in?

Over the last 5 games Sofapaka have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Tusker 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sofapaka vs Tusker?

The statistical background for Sofapaka vs Tusker — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.