Sogdiana vs Bunyodkor: match statistics
Sogdiana vs Bunyodkor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sogdiana played Bunyodkor in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Sogdiana: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Bunyodkor: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sogdiana scores 1.43 and concedes 2.43 goals per match. Bunyodkor scores 1.00 and concedes 0.57. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sogdiana 71%, Bunyodkor 29%. Over 2.5: Sogdiana 86%, Bunyodkor 29%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Sogdiana has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.08. Sogdiana: 10.7 shots per match, Bunyodkor: 8.9.
Match halves
Sogdiana: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.57. Bunyodkor: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Sogdiana: 31-45+ (3 goals). Bunyodkor: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sogdiana sits 15th with only 1 win this season; at home they have a 0% win rate, score on average 1.33 goals but concede as many as 2.67 per match and have conceded 17 goals in the season. Bunyodkor are 5th with 4 wins this season; away they concede only 0.25 goals on average, keep 75% clean sheets and have conceded 4 goals all season. In the last 5 matches Sogdiana have scored 10 goals with a 1-2-2 record but conceded 11, while Bunyodkor in their last 5 have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, scoring 5 and conceding 2. The hosts create more chances (on average 11.67 shots and 5.33 shots on target at home versus 9 shots and 3.25 on target for the visitors away) and have higher xG at home (1.46 vs 1.08), but similar xG conceded (1.52 vs 1.5) indicates the goal difference stems from Sogdiana’s poorer defensive organization. Considering Bunyodkor’s markedly better defense, 2 points per match on average in the last 5 and 75% clean sheets away, I predict an away win as the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The main argument for the “No” scenario is Bunyodkor’s defense: only 4 goals conceded this season (0.25 per match) and 75% clean sheets season-to-date. Sogdiana has 100% BTTS in the last 5 matches and averages 2.0 goals per match in that period, but seasonally has scored 10 and conceded 17 goals (1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded per match), and in the last 5 matches concedes on average 2.2 goals. From a chance-creation perspective Sogdiana posts xG of 1.09 and 2.33 shots on target at home, while Bunyodkor as the away side records 3.25 shots on target and despite an xG against of 1.5 maintains a very low goals-conceded rate. Additionally, season BTTS rates for both teams are low (33% for Sogdiana vs 25% for Bunyodkor), and league-wide BTTS is 49% with 54% clean sheets, which further favors No Goal. Based on these contrasts I assign a 70% probability to the “No” outcome and 30% to “Yes” (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I calculated expected goals as the average of each team’s xG and the opponent’s susceptibility: Sogdiana has xG 1.09 and Bunyodkor concedes 1.50 xG on average, yielding roughly 1.30 goals for the home side; Bunyodkor has xG 1.08 and Sogdiana concedes 1.88 xG, yielding about 1.48 for the away side, totaling 2.78. With that total, a Poisson distribution gives ~77% chance of Over 1.5 goals, ~53% for Over 2.5 and ~30% for Over 3.5. Additionally, Sogdiana has averaged 2.0 goals in the last 5 matches and had 100% of those games Over 2.5, which strengthens the offensive signal; conversely Bunyodkor have 75% of away matches with a clean sheet and only 25% of away games Over 1.5, which suppresses the overall goal potential. Shot metrics confirm a moderate attacking output: Sogdiana 8.67 shots (2.33 on target, conversion 12%), Bunyodkor 9.0 shots (3.25 on target, conversion 11%). As a result the strongest play is Over 1.5, since a 77% probability provides the largest edge compared to the 2.5 and 3.5 lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Bunyodkor holds a clear statistical advantage: 75% win rate this season and an average of 2.5 points per match, whereas Sogdiana records a 33% win rate and 1.0 point per match. The visitors keep a clean sheet at half-time in 100% of their games and concede an average of 0.0 goals before the break; additionally, 75% of their matches see goals in the second half, indicating frequent turnarounds after the break. Sogdiana concedes on average 1.0 goal by half-time and have been leading at the break in 33% of matches but were losing at the break in 67%, which facilitates opponents mounting a comeback. The xG of both teams is similar (1.09 vs 1.08), yet Bunyodkor’s superior defence (an average of 0.25 goals conceded per game and 75% clean sheets) combined with the visitors’ form makes the most probable HT/FT scenario a draw at half-time and a Bunyodkor victory by full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sogdiana | Bunyodkor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bunyodkor is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Sogdiana · 2 pts / match - Bunyodkor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sogdiana is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Sogdiana · 1 goals / match - Bunyodkor
Bunyodkor is 326% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.43 goals / match - Sogdiana · 0.57 goals / match - Bunyodkor
Sogdiana scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Bunyodkor keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).
Bunyodkor scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Sogdiana keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sogdiana
Over / Under - Bunyodkor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sogdiana is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - Sogdiana · 1.29 pts / match - Bunyodkor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sogdiana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bunyodkor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sogdiana
Bunyodkor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Sogdiana | Liga | Bunyodkor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.86 | 2.50 | ▼ 1.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 50% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 86% | 48% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 27% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 69% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 81% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sogdiana 0 - 0 - 2 Bunyodkor. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sogdiana vs Bunyodkor?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Sogdiana 2:3 Bunyodkor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sogdiana and Bunyodkor?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sogdiana won 0, Bunyodkor won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sogdiana vs Bunyodkor?
Sogdiana score 1.43 goals per game on average and Bunyodkor 1.00. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Sogdiana's matches and 29% of Bunyodkor's.
What form are Sogdiana and Bunyodkor in?
Over the last 5 games Sogdiana have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bunyodkor 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sogdiana vs Bunyodkor?
The statistical background for Sogdiana vs Bunyodkor — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.