Sogdiana vs Termez Surkhon: match statistics
Sogdiana vs Termez Surkhon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sogdiana play Termez Surkhon in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 28 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 5:2.
Current form
Sogdiana: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Termez Surkhon: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sogdiana scores 1.69 and concedes 2.31 goals per match. Termez Surkhon scores 1.08 and concedes 1.62. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sogdiana 77%, Termez Surkhon 62%. Over 2.5: Sogdiana 77%, Termez Surkhon 54%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Sogdiana has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.25. Sogdiana: 11.5 shots per match, Termez Surkhon: 11.6.
Match halves
Sogdiana: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.77. Termez Surkhon: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Sogdiana: 16-30 (5 goals). Termez Surkhon: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict an away victory. The key argument is the home side's poor form: Sogdiana has 0% home wins and has lost 75% of home matches, conceding an average of 2.75 goals per game with a home goal difference of -5. Termez Surkhon shows greater stability over the last five fixtures (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses) and averages 1.4 points in that period; away they concede only 1.5 goals with xG against of 1.43. The hosts create more chances (13.25 shots and 5.75 on target at home, xG 1.63) and have a higher conversion rate 11% versus the visitors' 8%, yet this offensive edge does not translate into results due to poor defense and a lack of clean sheets (0% clean sheets for the hosts). Considering Sogdiana's 0% home wins, the difference in average goals conceded (2.75 vs 1.5) and recent goal figures (Sogdiana 9 goals in the last 5 vs Termez 6), I assess the probabilities as 55% for an away win, 30% for a draw and 15% for a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sogdiana | Termez Surkhon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sogdiana is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.69 goals / match - Sogdiana · 1.08 goals / match - Termez Surkhon
Termez Surkhon is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.31 goals / match - Sogdiana · 1.62 goals / match - Termez Surkhon
Sogdiana scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Termez Surkhon keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
Termez Surkhon scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Sogdiana keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sogdiana
Over / Under — Termez Surkhon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sogdiana is 91% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.62 pts / match - Sogdiana · 0.85 pts / match - Termez Surkhon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sogdiana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 23%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Termez Surkhon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sogdiana
Termez Surkhon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Sogdiana | Liga | Termez Surkhon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 2.63 | • 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 77% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 53% | • 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 25% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 69% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 78% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sogdiana 1 - 0 - 1 Termez Surkhon. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sogdiana vs Termez Surkhon?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Sogdiana 5:2 Termez Surkhon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sogdiana and Termez Surkhon?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sogdiana won 1, Termez Surkhon won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sogdiana vs Termez Surkhon?
Sogdiana score 1.69 goals per game on average and Termez Surkhon 1.08. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Sogdiana's matches and 62% of Termez Surkhon's.
What form are Sogdiana and Termez Surkhon in?
Over the last 5 games Sogdiana have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Termez Surkhon 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sogdiana vs Termez Surkhon?
The statistical background for Sogdiana vs Termez Surkhon — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.