Sogndal vs Moss: match statistics
Sogndal vs Moss: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sogndal played Moss in First Division (Norway). The match was played on 14 June 2026. Venue: Fosshaugane Campus. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Sogndal: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Moss: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sogndal scores 1.70 and concedes 2.20 goals per match. Moss scores 1.60 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sogndal 50%, Moss 80%. Over 2.5: Sogndal 80%, Moss 80%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 71%.
xG, shots and style
Sogndal has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.65. Sogndal: 14.9 shots per match, Moss: 14.3.
Match halves
Sogndal: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.10. Moss: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.10.
Goals by minute
Sogndal: 76-90+ (5 goals). Moss: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 3.55 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 71%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I favor a Sogndal home win. At home Sogndal averages 2.25 goals per game with 7.25 shots on target and 16.75 total shots, while Moss away manage only 1.6 goals per game and 5.8 shots on target from 14 attempts. Sogndal concede 1.5 goals at home versus Moss’s 2.6 conceded away; home goal difference is +3 compared to the visitors’ -5. Hosts also keep a clean sheet in 25% of matches, whereas Moss have 0%. In the last 5 games Sogndal scored 12 goals and average 1.6 points per game, while Moss scored 9 goals and only 1.0 point per game, highlighting Sogndal’s superior form and efficiency; xG also favors the hosts (1.98 vs 1.71). Considering the offensive edge, better home defence and favorable form trends, I give Sogndal the higher probability of victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show a very strong BTTS signal: season BTTS rate is 80% for both Sogndal and Moss, and in the last 5 matches it's 80% for Sogndal and 100% for Moss. The absence of clean sheets further reinforces this signal — Sogndal has 20% clean sheets, Moss 0% season clean sheets. Goal and xG metrics point to an exchange of chances: season average goals scored are 1.6 each, average goals conceded are 1.4 (Sogndal) vs 2.6 (Moss), xG for Sogndal is 1.59 vs 1.71 for Moss, and xG against is 1.73 and 1.8. In the last 5 matches Sogndal scores 2.4 and concedes 1.8 on average, while Moss scores 1.8 and concedes 2.2; Moss also has more shots on target (5.8 vs 4.4), increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides. Considering the 80%/80% season BTTS, Moss’s 100% BTTS form and low clean sheet percentages, I recommend BTTS - Yes with an 85% probability vs 15% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I calculated expected goals as the average of the team’s attack xG and the opponent’s defensive xG: Sogndal 1.70 ((1.59+1.80)/2) and Moss 1.72 ((1.71+1.73)/2), totaling 3.42. Both teams have an offensive profile — Sogndal averages 1.6 goals per season and 2.4 in the last 5 matches, Moss 1.6 per season and 1.8 in the last 5; both sides have BTTS at 80%. Season-long over statistics support this picture: Sogndal has Over 2.5 in 60% of matches, Moss in 100%, and the league averages 3.55 goals per game; additionally Moss has Over 1.5 in 100% of fixtures. Based on this I assign probabilities: Over 1.5 — 92% (Under 8%), Over 2.5 — 78% (Under 22%) and Over 3.5 — 45% (Under 55%). The strongest signal is Over 2.5 (ou_pred_side "over", ou_pred_line 2.5), because combined xG 3.42, the high BTTS rate of 80% and historical 60%/100% Over 2.5 point to a clear edge on that line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Sogndal led at the break in 60% of matches and has averaged 0.8 goals by half-time versus 0.2 for Moss; the home HTPPG is 2.0 compared to 0.4 for the visitors, indicating strong first-half control by the hosts. Although xG is similar (1.59 for Sogndal vs 1.71 for Moss), Moss concedes far more goals over the season (2.6 on average) than Sogndal (1.4) and has a higher xG against (1.8 vs 1.73), which undermines their ability to withstand a home lead. Both teams have a high BTTS rate at 80%, but HT BTTS is only 20%, while Moss have 100% of matches with >1.5 second-half goals, meaning their goals tend to come after the break. Therefore the most likely scenario is Sogndal leading at half-time and the hosts winning at full-time (1/1) — hence 39% for 1/1, with smaller probabilities for 1/X (15%) and a Moss turnaround (1/2 6%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sogndal | Moss | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sogndal is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Sogndal · 1 pts / match - Moss
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sogndal is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.7 goals / match - Sogndal · 1.6 goals / match - Moss
Moss is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.2 goals / match - Sogndal · 2 goals / match - Moss
Sogndal scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Moss keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
Moss scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Sogndal keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sogndal
Over / Under - Moss
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sogndal is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Sogndal · 1.2 pts / match - Moss
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sogndal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Moss - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sogndal
Moss
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Sogndal | Liga | Moss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.90 | 3.55 | • 3.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 23% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 79% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 88% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sogndal 1 - 0 - 1 Moss. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sogndal vs Moss?
The First Division match finished Sogndal 2:4 Moss. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sogndal and Moss?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sogndal won 1, Moss won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sogndal vs Moss?
Sogndal score 1.70 goals per game on average and Moss 1.60. The First Division average is 3.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Sogndal's matches and 80% of Moss's.
What form are Sogndal and Moss in?
Over the last 5 games Sogndal have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Moss 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sogndal vs Moss?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sogndal vs Moss: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.