Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg: match statistics

Siarka Tarnobrzeg have the stronger away record, averaging 2.5 goals per match and remaining unbeaten in both of their away fixtures so far, with one win and one draw. Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna, by contrast, lost their only home match to date, conceding 2 goals while scoring just 1 on average. The hosts are capable of creating chances, as shown by 14 shots, 6 shots on target and an xG of 1.61 at home, but they convert just 7% of their attempts. Sokół’s defence restricts opponents to an xG of only 0.91, yet they are still without a clean sheet and conceded 2 goals in their home fixture. Siarka have a weaker overall run, with 3 defeats in their last 5 matches and 12 goals conceded, but their away effectiveness so far gives the visitors a slight yet clear advantage.

Siarka have recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals while conceding as many as 2.4 goals per game. Over the same period, Sokół scored 1.2 goals per match and posted an xG of 1.30, providing a sufficient basis to exploit the visitors’ defensive issues, with their average xG against standing at 1.60. The visitors should also create chances against the hosts, as Sokół conceded an average of 1.2 goals in their last 5 appearances, while their season-long xG conceded figure is 1.71. Although Sokół’s season BTTS rate is 0%, the current numbers for both teams—particularly Siarka’s 11 goals scored and 12 conceded across five matches—provide stronger support for a goal from each side, making BTTS - Yes the preferred scenario.

In their last 5 matches, Siarka averaged 2.2 goals scored, while their games produced as many as 4.6 total goals, as they also conceded 2.4 goals per match. Over the same period, Sokół scored and conceded 1.2 goals per game, resulting in an average of 2.4 goals per match. The xG data is more moderate but still points to a realistic chance of goals: the hosts created chances worth 1.30 xG, while the visitors allowed their opponents 1.60 xG. The league average is 3.0 goals, and 56% of matches go over the 2.5 line, which is why the minimum threshold of 1.5 has the strongest support. Over 1.5 should benefit both from Siarka’s attacking form and from the fact that both teams have regularly conceded goals in their last five appearances.

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 50% of their last five matches. During this period, Sokół averaged 0.5 goals scored before the break and conceded the same number, while Siarka recorded a higher but balanced average of 1.25:1.25. After the interval, the arguments shift in favour of the home side: Sokół averaged 1.0 goal scored and conceded only 0.5, whereas Siarka conceded as many as 1.5 goals per second half while averaging 1.25 goals scored. The full-time results also favour the Kolbuszowa Dolna side, who won 40% of their last five matches, compared with Siarka’s 20% win rate and 60% defeat rate. The X/1 scenario is further supported by the fact that the hosts did not lose a single second half in this run, while the visitors lost the second half in 75% of their matches.