Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Wisła Kraków II: match statistics

A draw looks the most likely outcome, as Sokół have drawn 60% of their home matches and Wisła II 60% of their away fixtures. Both teams average 1.2 goals per match in these conditions, although the visitors create chances of slightly higher quality: their away xG is 1.47, compared with 1.16 for the hosts at home. Sokół have the edge defensively, conceding an average of 1 goal at home, while Wisła II have conceded 1.6 per away match. Both sides have scored 6 goals across their last five matches, but Sokół have conceded 6, while Wisła II have let in as many as 9. The hosts’ defensive advantage therefore offsets the visitors’ greater potential to create chances, pointing to the points being shared.

Both teams have a similar BTTS rate: Sokół at 57% and Wisła II at 60%, against a league average of 57%. In their last 5 matches, each averaged 1.2 goals scored and had BTTS in 60% of games, reinforcing the case for goals at both ends. The visitors’ defence is particularly conducive to this scenario: they have conceded an average of 1.8 goals in their last 5 matches, compared with 1.2 for Sokół. The visitors average 1.47 xG, while the hosts average 1.42 xG, so both teams are creating chances, although Wisła II have failed to score in 40% of their matches. This risk tempers confidence in the pick, but the overall picture gives a moderate edge to BTTS - Yes.

The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: this line has held in 86% of Sokół’s matches and 80% of Wisła II’s. In their last five appearances, the hosts scored and conceded 1.2 goals per game, while the visitors scored 1.2 and conceded 1.8, indicating goalscoring potential without necessarily pointing to a high-scoring game. The teams’ average xG figures are similar—1.42 for Sokół versus 1.47 for Wisła II—and the projected total of 2.70 goals remains below the selected line. Although Over 2.5 goals landed in 43% of the hosts’ matches and 60% of the visitors’, the historical frequency of Under 3.5 results is considerably higher, making this line the strongest value.

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Sokół went into the break level in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Wisła failed to score in the first half in 4 of 5. After the break, the balance shifts in favour of the hosts, who average 1.0 goals scored and 0.43 conceded in the second half, compared with 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded by the visitors. Sokół average 1.71 points per match in second halves, against Wisła’s 0.8, supporting the scenario of the match being decided after the break. In addition, Wisła concede an average of 1.6 goals per match overall, rising to 1.8 in their last 5 fixtures, so a half-time draw need not hold until the final whistle. However, the X/1 pick carries limited confidence, as Sokół were behind at the break in 57% of their matches to date.