Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Wisłoka Dębica: match statistics

Both teams have played only two league matches so far, so the data is limited, but Wisłoka Dębica remain unbeaten with 1 win and 1 draw, scoring 4 goals and conceding 2. Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna have scored 2 goals and conceded 4 during this period, but in their last five matches they recorded 2 wins and 2 draws, meaning just one defeat. The hosts also boast the more stable recent defensive record, having conceded 4 goals in their last five matches, compared with Wisłoka’s 10. Away from home, the visitors drew their only match to date, scoring and conceding 1 goal, which further points to a closely contested game. I assign a slightly higher probability to a draw, although home advantage and Sokół’s improved recent defensive solidity could help them secure points.

Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna and Wisłoka Dębica have both recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches this season, and neither side has kept a clean sheet yet. BTTS has landed in 40% of the hosts’ last five matches and as many as 80% of the visitors’ games, with Wisłoka conceding an average of 2.0 goals per match. At home, the hosts score an average of 3.0 goals and register 6.0 shots on target per game, which significantly increases the likelihood of them finding the net. Wisłoka have recently averaged 1.4 goals, with an xG of 1.30, while Sokół allow opponents an xG of 1.39. Despite the hosts’ stronger defensive record over their last five matches, the visitors’ defensive weakness and their consistent ability to score support the BTTS - Yes pick.

Data from the last five matches indicates an average of 2.6 goals in Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna games and 3.4 goals in Wisłoka Dębica games. Wisłoka conceded 2.0 goals per match during this period, while its average xG against was 1.73, which supports the prospect of the home side scoring. Sokół averaged 1.2 goals, compared with 1.4 for Wisłoka, and both sides scored at least once in 100% of the available season data. Over 1.5 is the strongest selection, as both teams had 100% of their matches finish above this line, while the signals for Over 2.5 are less conclusive: 40% for Sokół and 80% for Wisłoka in their last five appearances. The projected total of 2.40 goals gives a clear edge to the scenario of at least two goals being scored.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Sokół victory, as the hosts were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches and never went into half-time trailing. Wisłoka also tend to start cautiously, recording a half-time draw in 50% of their recent matches, but they conceded an average of 0.75 goals before the break, compared with just 0.20 for Sokół. After the interval, the hosts’ advantage should increase: Wisłoka conceded an average of 1.5 goals in their last five matches and lost the second half in 75% of cases. Sokół averaged 1.6 points per game during this period, compared with Wisłoka’s 1.0, while the visitors lost 40% of their matches and allowed their opponents an average of 2.0 goals. In addition, the competition is clearly more goal-heavy after the break, with at least one goal being scored in 92% of matches, which favours the hosts completing the turnaround from a half-time draw.