Solihull Moors vs Fylde: match statistics

Fylde are showing significantly better current form: they have collected 10 points from their last five matches, with 3 wins, a draw and a defeat, while Solihull Moors have taken just 3 points and lost 4 of their last 5 games. The visitors scored 14 goals during this period, exactly twice as many as the hosts, while their away average stands at 2 goals per match compared with Solihull’s home average of 0.5. Fylde’s advantage is also reflected in their finishing efficiency, converting almost 29% of their shots, compared with just 5% for the hosts, who have failed to score in 50% of their home appearances. Solihull have lost both home matches and concede an average of 2.5 goals there, without keeping a single clean sheet. Fylde’s defence is not impenetrable either, giving the hosts a chance to score, but the visitors’ stronger trend, greater attacking output and superior possession share—56% compared with 50%—all point towards a Fylde victory.

The seasonal data clearly points to goals: both teams have recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches, and neither has kept a clean sheet. In their last five matches, Solihull Moors averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.8 conceded, while Fylde scored as many as 2.8 goals and conceded 1.6. The hosts allowed opponents an xG of 1.93, which significantly strengthens the chances of an effective Fylde attack, while their own xG of 1.14 against a visiting defence allowing an xG of 1.30 provides a solid basis for a Solihull goal. Additionally, Fylde recorded BTTS in 80% of their last five appearances, compared with 60% for Solihull, while the league average stands at 61%. The BTTS - Yes scenario is the most likely outcome, although the hosts' weaker current attacking output prevents it from being rated as almost certain.

The match profile clearly favors goals: in their last five games, Solihull Moors averaged 4.2 total goals, while Fylde’s matches produced as many as 4.4 goals. Fylde scored 2.8 goals per game during this period, whereas Solihull Moors conceded as many as 2.8 goals, strengthening the prospects of an away goal. The hosts create an average of 1.89 xG and register 9 shots on target per game, while Fylde’s defense allows an average of 1.70 xG. Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% of Solihull’s and 100% of Fylde’s last five matches, but the safer Over 1.5 goals line offers the highest confidence. Additionally, both teams have scored and conceded at least once in 100% of their matches so far this season, so an open game with a minimum of two goals is expected.

Fylde are in clearly better current form: over their last five matches, they have averaged 2.8 goals, won 60% of their games and recorded 2.0 points per match, while Solihull have scored 1.4 goals, lost 80% of their matches and managed just 0.6 points per game. The visitors often start strongly, having led at the break in three of their last five matches, with an average of 1.0 goal scored before half-time and only 0.4 conceded. The hosts, by contrast, were trailing at half-time in 60% of their recent matches, and after the interval they scored just 0.4 goals while conceding 1.8. Fylde's advantage should be maintained after the break, as they averaged 1.8 goals in the second halves of their last five matches, while Solihull failed to win any of those periods. Although Solihull produce a higher average xG, 1.89 compared with 0.93, their defensive weakness and run of four defeats in five matches provide stronger support for an HT/FT scenario in which the visitors lead at half-time and go on to win (2/2).