Sonnenhof Großaspach vs Ingolstadt: match statistics

Sonnenhof Großaspach are showing clearly superior current form: they have collected 10 points from their last five matches, with 3 wins, a draw and a defeat, while Ingolstadt have managed only 5 points. The hosts have scored as many as 18 goals and conceded 4 during this period, whereas the visitors have scored 5 and conceded 8, strongly favouring the home side. Großaspach won their only home match so far, kept a clean sheet and limited their opponents to an xG of just 0.80. Ingolstadt are capable of creating chances away from home, as evidenced by 18 shots and an xG of 1.80 per match, but all of their away fixtures to date have ended in draws, while the team concedes an average of one goal per game. The hosts’ advantage in current efficiency and defensive solidity gives them the best chance of securing victory, although Ingolstadt’s attacking potential increases the likelihood of a closely contested match.

Seasonal data provides a strong signal for goals from both sides: Sonnenhof Großaspach and Ingolstadt have both recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches, while neither team has kept a clean sheet yet. The hosts score an average of 2.0 goals per match and register 5.0 shots on target, whereas Ingolstadt generate a high 1.80 xG and average 18.0 shots. The hosts’ defence concedes an average of 2.0 goals, which should favour an away goal, while Ingolstadt allow opponents 0.96 xG but have also failed to keep a clean sheet. Caution is warranted based on Sonnenhof’s last five matches, in which BTTS occurred only 20% of the time; however, the team scored as many as 18 goals during this period, so their goal remains highly likely. With the league BTTS average standing at 65%, the more likely scenario is that both teams will get on the scoresheet. BTTS - No means that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically mean a 0:0 result or that neither team will score.

Sonnenhof Großaspach are in excellent scoring form: they have averaged 3.6 goals across their last five matches, with average xG of 1.90. Ingolstadt conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game during this period, while the hosts have recorded 5 shots on target per match over the season. Both teams have scored and conceded at least one goal in 100% of matches in the available season sample, while the league average stands at a high 3.7 goals. Although Ingolstadt have scored just 1.0 goal per game recently, their seasonal xG of 1.80 indicates the potential to contribute to the scoreline. Over 1.5 goals is the strongest signal, as the hosts’ attacking tempo and the visitors’ defensive vulnerability clearly reduce the risk of a match ending with no more than one goal.

Sonnenhof Großaspach are showing clearly stronger current form: across their last five matches, they have scored an average of 3.6 goals and conceded 0.8, while Ingolstadt have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded. The hosts won 60% of those games, compared with just 20% for the visitors, strengthening the case for a home win at full time. Ingolstadt did not lead at the break in any of their recent matches, conceding an average of 1.2 goals before half-time while scoring 0.6; Sonnenhof scored 0.67 goals during the same period. The hosts also average 5 shots on target per match compared with Ingolstadt’s 3, and have a 17% finishing rate versus the visitors’ 6%. The most likely HT/FT scenario is therefore Sonnenhof Großaspach leading at the break and maintaining their advantage through to full time, although the relatively low average number of second-half goals also increases the likelihood of draws after the interval.