Soroksár SC vs Csákvári TK: match statistics

Soroksár SC are the league leaders at home and have won all 3 of their matches on home soil so far, scoring an average of 2.67 goals and conceding just 0.67. The hosts are also enjoying an excellent run of form: across their last 5 matches, they have recorded 4 wins and 1 draw, with a goal difference of 11:4. Csákvári TK have lost both of their away matches, conceding an average of as many as 3 goals in each, while their defence allows opponents chances worth 2.10 xG per match. The visitors are capable of creating opportunities, as shown by their 1.45 xG and 5 shots on target away from home, but they convert just 13% of their attempts, compared with 27% for Soroksár. The hosts’ clear advantage in finishing efficiency, defensive stability and current form strongly points to another victory.

The BTTS - Yes pick is primarily supported by Csákvári’s very weak defence, which concedes an average of 3.0 goals per match and has failed to keep a single clean sheet. Soroksár have averaged 2.2 goals in their last five matches and, with an xG of 1.23, should create enough chances to exploit their opponents’ defensive problems. The visitors score an average of 1.5 goals, register 5 shots on target per match and have an xG of 1.45, while the hosts concede an average of 1.33 goals. Csákvári’s season-long BTTS rate stands at 100%, although Soroksár’s is only 33%; the last five matches produce more moderate figures of 40% and 60%, respectively. The hosts’ superior form and stronger defence reduce confidence in the pick, but the visitors’ goal-scoring profile and their disastrous work without the ball make a scenario in which both teams score slightly more likely.

The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams have surpassed this line in 100% of their league matches so far. Csákvári concede as many as 3.0 goals per away game on average, while their average xG conceded stands at 2.10, clearly favouring the hosts, who have scored 2.2 goals per match over their last five games. Soroksár are also in good defensive form, conceding just 0.8 goals per game during this period, but the visitors still create an average of 1.35 xG and register 5.0 shots on target per match. The expected total of 2.60 goals also indicates a realistic chance of Over 2.5 goals, but this line is less reliable than a minimum of two goals. Over 1.5 goals is further supported by the fact that at least one goal was scored in 100% of both teams' matches, while the league average is 2.81 goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Soroksár win, as the hosts have been level at the break in 80% of their last five matches, compared with 40% for Csákvár. The full-time form clearly favours the hosts: they have won 80% of their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding just 0.8, while the visitors have lost 80% of their matches and conceded an average of 2.0 goals. After the break, Soroksár have averaged 1.2 goals scored and none conceded over their last five matches, whereas Csákvár have scored just 0.4 goals and conceded 0.8. Additionally, the hosts’ xG profile against the visitors’ defence is favourable, with Soroksár creating chances worth 1.30 xG, while Csákvár allow opponents 2.10 xG. The visitors can be dangerous before half-time, but the lack of even a single lead at the break in the current data, combined with a 100% losing record this season, limits their chances of maintaining a favourable result until full-time.