Soroksár SC vs Diósgyőr: match statistics

Soroksár SC have shown significantly more stable form in their last five matches, collecting 10 points from 3 wins, 1 draw and just 1 defeat, while Diósgyőr have won 2 and lost 3. The hosts have conceded only 4 goals during this period, compared with 15 for the visitors, highlighting a major difference in their current defensive organisation. At home, Soroksár won their only match so far without conceding, posting an xG against of 0.73, whereas Diósgyőr concede an average of 2 goals away from home and have yet to keep a clean sheet. However, the visitors pose a genuine attacking threat, averaging 3 goals, 6 shots on target and an xG of 1.45 away from home, compared with 1.07 for the hosts. Soroksár’s superior current form and considerably more reliable defence marginally favour a home win, although Diósgyőr’s attacking strength increases the likelihood of a closely contested match.

Soroksár have averaged 1.8 goals scored in their last 5 matches, while Diósgyőr have conceded as many as 3.0 goals per game over the same period, clearly strengthening the hosts’ chances of finding the net. The visitors have recently scored 1.2 goals per match, with an average xG of 1.09, while Soroksár have allowed opponents 1.15 xG per game, making an away goal a realistic scenario as well. BTTS - Yes occurred in 40% of Soroksár’s and 60% of Diósgyőr’s last five matches; however, the visitors’ only available season result ended 3:2, with both teams scoring. Diósgyőr currently have a very weak defensive record, conceding 15 goals in 5 matches, while the league records BTTS in 69% of games. Therefore, the BTTS - Yes outcome is more likely.

Soroksár averaged 1.8 goals scored across their last five matches, while Diósgyőr conceded as many as 3.0 goals per game during that period, clearly strengthening the hosts’ chances of scoring. At the same time, Soroksár’s xG from their last five matches stands at 1.33, while Diósgyőr generated only 1.09 xG, so the forecast does not point to an extremely open game. The hosts conceded just 4 goals in five appearances, or 0.8 per match, while their average xG against was 1.15. Diósgyőr did have 100% of their last five matches finish Over 2.5 goals, but this was primarily due to the 15 goals they conceded rather than exceptionally high attacking output of their own. The total projection of 2.65 goals provides the greatest safety margin on the Under 3.5 goals side, as at least four goals are required for this bet to lose.

Soroksár are showing better current form: they have won three of their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and conceding just 0.8, while Diósgyőr have suffered three defeats and conceded an average of 3.0 goals. The hosts led at the break in 40% of those matches, scoring an average of 1.2 goals before half-time, whereas the visitors were behind at half-time in as many as 60% of cases and conceded 1.8 goals per match before the interval. The strongest argument for Soroksár maintaining their lead lies in the second halves, when they conceded just 0.2 goals on average, while Diósgyőr allowed their opponents to score 1.2. The 1/1 scenario is therefore the most likely, although the high probability of a draw at half-time followed by a home win is supported by Diósgyőr's ability to score after the interval.