Sorrento Calcio vs Catania: match statistics
Catania is in significantly better form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches and an impressive record of 15 wins this season, while Sorrento has only 5 wins and just 1 victory in their last 5 games. The hosts have won only 8% of their home matches, whereas the visitors win 36% of their away games and have an excellent defensive record, conceding on average only 1 goal per away match. The goal difference is telling - Sorrento has -4 at home, while Catania has +2 away. Catania also boasts better xG statistics (1.42 vs 1.39) and defensive efficiency (1.17 xGA vs the hosts' 1.46 xGA). Considering Sorrento's poor home form (58% draws, only 17% clean sheets) and Catania's excellent run, the visitors are the clear favorites for this match.
Sorrento Calcio vs Catania: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sorrento Calcio played Catania in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Sorrento Calcio: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Catania: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sorrento Calcio scores 1.04 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Catania scores 1.70 and concedes 0.48. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sorrento Calcio 61%, Catania 26%. Over 2.5: Sorrento Calcio 57%, Catania 26%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Catania has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.22. Sorrento Calcio: 9.7 shots per match, Catania: 11.8.
Match halves
Sorrento Calcio: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.65. Catania: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.96.
Goals by minute
Sorrento Calcio: 76-90+ (9 goals). Catania: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Catania is in significantly better form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches and an impressive record of 15 wins this season, while Sorrento has only 5 wins and just 1 victory in their last 5 games. The hosts have won only 8% of their home matches, whereas the visitors win 36% of their away games and have an excellent defensive record, conceding on average only 1 goal per away match. The goal difference is telling - Sorrento has -4 at home, while Catania has +2 away. Catania also boasts better xG statistics (1.42 vs 1.39) and defensive efficiency (1.17 xGA vs the hosts' 1.46 xGA). Considering Sorrento's poor home form (58% draws, only 17% clean sheets) and Catania's excellent run, the visitors are the clear favorites for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sorrento Calcio | Catania | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Catania is 225% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Sorrento Calcio · 2.6 pts / match - Catania
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Catania is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
1.04 goals / match - Sorrento Calcio · 1.7 goals / match - Catania
Catania is 198% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Sorrento Calcio · 0.48 goals / match - Catania
Sorrento Calcio scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Catania keeps a clean sheet in 70% (16 of 23 matches).
Catania scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Sorrento Calcio keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sorrento Calcio
Over / Under - Catania
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Catania is 72% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Sorrento Calcio · 1.87 pts / match - Catania
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sorrento Calcio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Catania - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sorrento Calcio
Catania
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Sorrento Calcio | Liga | Catania | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.48 | 2.48 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 50% | ▼ 26% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 48% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 30% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 65% | • 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 78% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sorrento Calcio 0 - 1 - 0 Catania. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sorrento Calcio vs Catania?
The Serie C Group C match finished Sorrento Calcio 3:1 Catania. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sorrento Calcio vs Catania?
Sorrento Calcio score 1.04 goals per game on average and Catania 1.70. The Serie C Group C average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Sorrento Calcio's matches and 26% of Catania's.
What form are Sorrento Calcio and Catania in?
Over the last 5 games Sorrento Calcio have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Catania 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sorrento Calcio vs Catania?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.