Sorrento Calcio vs Virtus Casarano: match statistics
Sorrento Calcio vs Virtus Casarano: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sorrento Calcio played Virtus Casarano in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: Yüksek İrtifa Kamp Merkezi K1 Nolu Saha. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Sorrento Calcio: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Virtus Casarano: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sorrento Calcio scores 1.43 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Virtus Casarano scores 1.43 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sorrento Calcio 43%, Virtus Casarano 57%. Over 2.5: Sorrento Calcio 43%, Virtus Casarano 43%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Virtus Casarano has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.23. Sorrento Calcio: 9.9 shots per match, Virtus Casarano: 11.4.
Match halves
Sorrento Calcio: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.57. Virtus Casarano: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Sorrento Calcio: 31-45+ (4 goals). Virtus Casarano: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sorrento Calcio have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Virtus Casarano have won 2, although both teams have suffered 2 defeats. Home advantage favors the hosts: they have won 67% of their home matches and concede an average of 0.67 goals there, while the visitors have yet to win away and concede an average of 2 goals on the road. Sorrento score an average of 1 goal at home with an 11% shot conversion rate, while Virtus manage just 0.67 goals away from home with a 6% conversion rate. The visitors do take more shots, 12 compared with the hosts’ 9.33 at home, but they allow opponents chances worth an average xG of 2.20, whereas Sorrento concede an xG of 1.32 at home. These differences give the hosts a clear edge, although their 2 defeats in their last 5 matches mean a win cannot be considered certain.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Virtus Casarano’s away scoring record: the visitors average 0.67 goals and have failed to score in 33% of those matches. Their xG is 1.38, but a shot conversion rate of 6% shows they do not consistently turn chances into goals. Sorrento average 2.0 goals at home, while Virtus concede 2.0 away, making a home goal more likely. Although the rate of matches in which both teams score is 50% for Sorrento at home and 67% for Virtus away, it has fallen to 40% across the teams’ last five matches. Therefore, the marginally more likely scenario is that at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Sorrento average 2.0 goals at home, while Virtus Casarano concede 2.0 goals away, giving the hosts a clear attacking edge. However, the visitors score just 0.67 goals per away match and have failed to score at least twice in any of the away matches included in the data, which limits the projected total. The Over 2.5 goals line has been exceeded in 40% of Sorrento’s and 20% of Virtus Casarano’s last five matches, despite the league average standing at 2.87 goals. With a projected total of 2.55 goals, Under 3.5 goals is the most compelling option: it allows for a two- or three-goal result and carries a 75% probability in the forecast.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most likely outcome: Virtus Casarano were level at the break in all 3 analysed away matches and did not concede before half-time in any of them. Sorrento led at the break in 2 of 4 home matches, so an early lead for the hosts remains a strong alternative, but the visitors’ defensive record favours a more cautious selection. After the break, the advantage shifts to the hosts, who score an average of 1.25 goals, while the visitors concede an average of 2.0 goals in the second halves of their away matches. Sorrento won 75% of the analysed home matches, and Virtus failed to win any of the analysed away matches, strengthening the case for a home win at full-time. The X/1 pick therefore combines the visitors’ resilience before half-time with Sorrento’s clearly stronger overall results and Virtus’s weaker performances after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sorrento Calcio | Virtus Casarano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sorrento Calcio is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Sorrento Calcio · 1.4 pts / match - Virtus Casarano
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sorrento Calcio is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Sorrento Calcio · 1.57 goals / match - Virtus Casarano
Sorrento Calcio scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Virtus Casarano keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
Virtus Casarano scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Sorrento Calcio keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sorrento Calcio
Over / Under - Virtus Casarano
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sorrento Calcio is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - Sorrento Calcio · 1.57 pts / match - Virtus Casarano
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sorrento Calcio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Virtus Casarano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sorrento Calcio
Virtus Casarano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Sorrento Calcio | Liga | Virtus Casarano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.43 | 2.87 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 27% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 74% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 74% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sorrento Calcio 0 - 1 - 1 Virtus Casarano. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sorrento Calcio vs Virtus Casarano?
The Serie C Group C match finished Sorrento Calcio 2:0 Virtus Casarano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sorrento Calcio and Virtus Casarano?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sorrento Calcio won 0, Virtus Casarano won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sorrento Calcio vs Virtus Casarano?
Sorrento Calcio score 1.43 goals per game on average and Virtus Casarano 1.43. The Serie C Group C average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Sorrento Calcio's matches and 57% of Virtus Casarano's.
What form are Sorrento Calcio and Virtus Casarano in?
Over the last 5 games Sorrento Calcio have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Virtus Casarano 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sorrento Calcio vs Virtus Casarano?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sorrento Calcio vs Virtus Casarano: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.