Southampton vs Blackburn Rovers: match statistics
Southampton vs Blackburn Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Southampton played Blackburn Rovers in Championship (England). The match was played on 14 April 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Southampton: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Blackburn Rovers: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Southampton scores 1.71 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Blackburn Rovers scores 0.90 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Southampton 71%, Blackburn Rovers 48%. Over 2.5: Southampton 59%, Blackburn Rovers 38%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Southampton has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.33. Southampton: 14.4 shots per match, Blackburn Rovers: 11.7.
Match halves
Southampton: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.93. Blackburn Rovers: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Southampton: 16-30 (15 goals). Blackburn Rovers: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Southampton have scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches (2.4 per game) and won all 5 fixtures (3.0 points per game), whereas Blackburn have scored 4 goals in that period (0.8 per game) and recorded 2 wins and 3 draws (1.8 points per game). At home Southampton average 1.55 goals and only 0.75 conceded per match, with 5.4 shots on target and an average xG of 1.77, indicating the quality of chances created. Blackburn away average 0.95 goals scored and 1.19 conceded, just 3.05 shots on target per game and xG 1.30, and their offensive efficiency (8% conversion) is lower than Southampton’s (10%). The seasonal gap is clear: 70 goals for Southampton versus 38 for Blackburn and a positive home goal difference of +16 for the hosts compared to -5 on the road for the visitors. Considering form (Southampton 5/5 wins), a possession advantage (59% vs 48%), superior xG and more created opportunities, I forecast a home win as the most likely outcome, a moderate chance of a draw and a low probability of a Blackburn victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I favor the BTTS (60% vs 40%) scenario because Southampton possess a very strong attack: 70 goals this season and 12 in the last 5 matches (avg. 2.4), while Blackburn have conceded 50 this season and carry an away xG against of 1.43, which benefits the hosts scoring. Blackburn show weaker goal form: 38 goals this season and only 4 in the last 5 matches (0.8 per game), but their attacking xG of 1.30 exceeds Southampton’s defensive xG of 1.15, and a shot conversion rate of 8% indicates the visitors can capitalize on chances. Season and last-5 data are mixed — Southampton’s season BTTS rate 57% vs Blackburn 38%, and in the last 5 matches 60% vs 40%; additionally the league-wide BTTS at 56% increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Counterpoints are Blackburn’s higher clean sheet expected/actual rate (33% vs 24% for Southampton) and the fact Southampton have conceded only 0.6 goals on average in the last 5 matches, so I assign the ‘No Goal’ scenario 40%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Considering average xG and defensive metrics, the model projects expected goals: Southampton 1.40 (attack xG 1.36 vs Blackburn defense concedes 1.43), Blackburn 1.22 (attack xG 1.30 vs Southampton defense 1.15), total 2.62. From a Poisson distribution with λ=2.62 the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) ≈74%, at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) ≈49% and at least 4 goals (Over 3.5) ≈27%. Seasonal data confirm a tendency to a minimum of 2 goals: season Over 1.5 is 71% for Southampton and 67% for Blackburn (average ~69%), and in the last 5 matches Southampton scored 12 goals (2.4 per match) versus 4 (0.8) for Blackburn, which increases the chance of at least 2 goals. At the same time season Over 2.5 is less conclusive (Southampton 33%, Blackburn 43%, average ~38%), so the ~49% result for Over 2.5 is marginal and does not provide a clear edge. Consequently the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (I recommend backing the over at 1.5) — expected 2.62 goals, strong home form (2.4 g/m) and season Over1.5 ~69% give an edge with an estimated probability ~74%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Southampton have won all 5 of their last 5 matches (100%) and were leading at the break in 4 of those 5 games (80%), scoring 8 goals by half-time (an average of 1.6 goals at the break). Blackburn, in their last 5 away matches, led at the break only once (20%) and scored 1 goal by half-time (0.2 on average). Over the season Blackburn have led at the break more often (38% of matches) than Southampton (14%), but quality-of-chances metrics favor the home side: home xG 1.36 versus 1.30 for the visitors, and Blackburn concede a higher xG against (1.43 vs 1.15 for Southampton). Additionally, Southampton register slightly more shots on target (3.29 vs 3.05) and have better recent points form (3.0 points per game in the last 5 vs 1.8), which supports the hosts taking a lead and holding the result. Therefore the scenario of Southampton leading at half-time and winning the match (1/1) receives the highest probability at 37%, with significant support for a draw at half-time and Southampton winning (X/1 15%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Southampton | Blackburn Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Southampton is 67% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Southampton · 1.8 pts / match - Blackburn Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Southampton is 90% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Southampton · 0.9 goals / match - Blackburn Rovers
Southampton scores in 88% of matches (36 of 41 matches), while Blackburn Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 29% (12 of 42 matches).
Blackburn Rovers scores in 67% of matches (28 of 42 matches), while Southampton keeps a clean sheet in 24% (10 of 41 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Southampton
Over / Under - Blackburn Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Southampton is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Southampton · 1.26 pts / match - Blackburn Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Southampton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Blackburn Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Southampton
Blackburn Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Southampton | Liga | Blackburn Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.93 | 2.56 | ▼ 2.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 50% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 71% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Southampton 0 - 0 - 1 Blackburn Rovers. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Southampton vs Blackburn Rovers?
The Championship match finished Southampton 3:0 Blackburn Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Southampton vs Blackburn Rovers?
Southampton score 1.71 goals per game on average and Blackburn Rovers 0.90. The Championship average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Southampton's matches and 48% of Blackburn Rovers's.
What form are Southampton and Blackburn Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Southampton have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Blackburn Rovers 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Southampton vs Blackburn Rovers?
The statistical background for Southampton vs Blackburn Rovers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.