Southampton vs Bristol City: match statistics
Southampton vs Bristol City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Southampton played Bristol City in Championship (England). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: St. Mary's Stadium. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Southampton: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Bristol City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Southampton scores 2.33 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Bristol City scores 1.80 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Southampton 100%, Bristol City 80%. Over 2.5: Southampton 67%, Bristol City 80%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Southampton has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.26. Southampton: 16.8 shots per match, Bristol City: 11.8.
Match halves
Southampton: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.17. Bristol City: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.20.
Goals by minute
Southampton: 31-45+ (4 goals). Bristol City: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Southampton have a perfect home record across two matches, winning both and scoring an impressive average of 4 goals per game while conceding just 1. The hosts also create more chances, averaging 19.5 shots and 6 on target, with an xG of 1.99 compared to Bristol City’s 1.54. Bristol City are nevertheless in good form, having won 3 of their last 5 matches, and remain unbeaten away from home, averaging 2.33 goals per game. Neither team’s defence has kept a clean sheet, while Southampton have conceded 8 goals in their last five matches, so the visitors should create chances of their own. However, home advantage, greater possession at 56%, and the higher quality of chances created give Southampton a slight edge to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS signal is clear, as both teams have scored in 100% of Bristol City’s matches this season and in 50% of Southampton’s, compared with a league average of 67%. Over the last 5 matches, this figure has risen to 100% for Southampton and 80% for Bristol City, with the teams averaging 2.2 and 1.8 goals respectively. The hosts conceded 1.6 goals per match during this period, while the visitors conceded 1.4, and their average xG against stood at 1.65 and 1.49, supporting the attacking potential of both sides. Southampton have kept a clean sheet in none of their matches this season, and neither have Bristol City, while the visitors average 5.67 shots on target compared with just 1.5 for the hosts. Despite Southampton’s weaker full-season attacking statistics, their current scoring form and both teams’ defensive vulnerability make a BTTS - Yes scenario more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Neither team has kept a clean sheet in the current competition, while Southampton concede an average of 1.50 goals, compared with 1.33 goals conceded by Bristol City. In their last five matches, the hosts scored an average of 2.2 goals and conceded 1.6, whereas Bristol City scored 1.8 and conceded 1.4 goals. The visitors’ attacking potential is supported by 1.54 xG per match and an average of 5.67 shots on target, clearly higher than Southampton’s 0.83 xG and 1.50 shots on target. At least two goals have been scored in 100% of both teams’ matches so far, making Over 1.5 the strongest data-backed option, although the 2.5 and 3.5 lines carry greater volatility.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Bristol City have the stronger overall match potential: they average 2.33 goals compared with Southampton’s 1.00, while their average xG stands at 1.54 versus 0.83 for the hosts. The visitors are particularly dangerous after the break, averaging 1.67 goals, while Southampton average just 0.50; Bristol City have also won the second half in 67% of matches, whereas the hosts have not won a single one. A level score at half-time is supported by the fact that Bristol City were drawing after 45 minutes in 2 of 3 home matches in the seasonal data and in 40% of their last five appearances. Southampton can start strongly, leading at the break in 60% of their last five matches, but the hosts’ weaker defence, which allows 1.74 xG, increases the visitors’ chances of deciding the match after the interval. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time and a Bristol City win at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Southampton | Bristol City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.52 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Southampton is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Southampton · 2 pts / match - Bristol City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Southampton is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
2.33 goals / match - Southampton · 1.8 goals / match - Bristol City
Southampton is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Southampton · 1.4 goals / match - Bristol City
Southampton scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Bristol City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
Bristol City scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Southampton keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Southampton
Over / Under - Bristol City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Southampton is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.17 pts / match - Southampton · 1.6 pts / match - Bristol City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Southampton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bristol City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Southampton
Bristol City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Southampton | Liga | Bristol City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 2.84 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 67% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 21% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | • 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Southampton 0 - 1 - 1 Bristol City. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Southampton vs Bristol City?
The Championship match finished Southampton 4:1 Bristol City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Southampton and Bristol City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Southampton won 0, Bristol City won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Southampton vs Bristol City?
Southampton score 2.33 goals per game on average and Bristol City 1.80. The Championship average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Southampton's matches and 80% of Bristol City's.
What form are Southampton and Bristol City in?
Over the last 5 games Southampton have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Bristol City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Southampton vs Bristol City?
The statistical background for Southampton vs Bristol City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


