England - ChampionshipSt. Mary's StadiumData current as of 23 October 2026

Southampton vs Bristol City: match statistics

Southampton crest
Southampton
4 : 1half-time 1:0
Bristol City crest
Bristol City

Southampton vs Bristol City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Southampton played Bristol City in Championship (England). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: St. Mary's Stadium. Final score: 4:1.

Current form

Southampton: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Bristol City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Southampton scores 2.33 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Bristol City scores 1.80 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.84 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Southampton 100%, Bristol City 80%. Over 2.5: Southampton 67%, Bristol City 80%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Southampton has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.26. Southampton: 16.8 shots per match, Bristol City: 11.8.

Match halves

Southampton: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.17. Bristol City: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.20.

Goals by minute

Southampton: 31-45+ (4 goals). Bristol City: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Southampton have a perfect home record across two matches, winning both and scoring an impressive average of 4 goals per game while conceding just 1. The hosts also create more chances, averaging 19.5 shots and 6 on target, with an xG of 1.99 compared to Bristol City’s 1.54. Bristol City are nevertheless in good form, having won 3 of their last 5 matches, and remain unbeaten away from home, averaging 2.33 goals per game. Neither team’s defence has kept a clean sheet, while Southampton have conceded 8 goals in their last five matches, so the visitors should create chances of their own. However, home advantage, greater possession at 56%, and the higher quality of chances created give Southampton a slight edge to win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The BTTS signal is clear, as both teams have scored in 100% of Bristol City’s matches this season and in 50% of Southampton’s, compared with a league average of 67%. Over the last 5 matches, this figure has risen to 100% for Southampton and 80% for Bristol City, with the teams averaging 2.2 and 1.8 goals respectively. The hosts conceded 1.6 goals per match during this period, while the visitors conceded 1.4, and their average xG against stood at 1.65 and 1.49, supporting the attacking potential of both sides. Southampton have kept a clean sheet in none of their matches this season, and neither have Bristol City, while the visitors average 5.67 shots on target compared with just 1.5 for the hosts. Despite Southampton’s weaker full-season attacking statistics, their current scoring form and both teams’ defensive vulnerability make a BTTS - Yes scenario more likely.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Neither team has kept a clean sheet in the current competition, while Southampton concede an average of 1.50 goals, compared with 1.33 goals conceded by Bristol City. In their last five matches, the hosts scored an average of 2.2 goals and conceded 1.6, whereas Bristol City scored 1.8 and conceded 1.4 goals. The visitors’ attacking potential is supported by 1.54 xG per match and an average of 5.67 shots on target, clearly higher than Southampton’s 0.83 xG and 1.50 shots on target. At least two goals have been scored in 100% of both teams’ matches so far, making Over 1.5 the strongest data-backed option, although the 2.5 and 3.5 lines carry greater volatility.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Bristol City have the stronger overall match potential: they average 2.33 goals compared with Southampton’s 1.00, while their average xG stands at 1.54 versus 0.83 for the hosts. The visitors are particularly dangerous after the break, averaging 1.67 goals, while Southampton average just 0.50; Bristol City have also won the second half in 67% of matches, whereas the hosts have not won a single one. A level score at half-time is supported by the fact that Bristol City were drawing after 45 minutes in 2 of 3 home matches in the seasonal data and in 40% of their last five appearances. Southampton can start strongly, leading at the break in 60% of their last five matches, but the hosts’ weaker defence, which allows 1.74 xG, increases the visitors’ chances of deciding the match after the interval. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time and a Bristol City win at full-time.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
3 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
SouthamptonBristol City
10Shots21
SouthamptonBristol City
5Shots on target6
SouthamptonBristol City
1.22xG2.14
SouthamptonBristol City
2Corners5
SouthamptonBristol City
32Dangerous attacks58
SouthamptonBristol City
6Fouls14
SouthamptonBristol City
0Cards2
SouthamptonBristol City

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

SouthamptonBristol City
2.33Goals scored / match1.8
SouthamptonBristol City
1.17Goals conceded / match1.4
SouthamptonBristol City
58%Average possession42%
SouthamptonBristol City
4.5Shots on target / match4
SouthamptonBristol City

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.83Shots per match11.8
SouthamptonBristol City
4.5Shots on target4
SouthamptonBristol City
13.9%Shot conversion15.3%
SouthamptonBristol City
58%Possession42%
SouthamptonBristol City
1.7xG for1.26
SouthamptonBristol City
1.48xG against1.49
SouthamptonBristol City

Shooting quality

Southampton: DominantBristol City: Counter-attacking
SouthamptonBristol City
Accuracy (shots on target)27%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.520.45

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Southampton is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Southampton · 2 pts / match - Bristol City

Southampton
WWDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W33% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-1
1.83 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 at home
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%
Bristol City
LDWWW
Season result split
60% W20% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 away
2-1-0
DWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Southampton is 29% better for: goals scored per match.

2.33 goals / match - Southampton · 1.8 goals / match - Bristol City

Southampton is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.17 goals / match - Southampton · 1.4 goals / match - Bristol City

Southampton scoring profile: very strong

Southampton scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Bristol City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).

Bristol City scoring profile: very strong

Bristol City scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Southampton keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

14Goals scored (season)9
SouthamptonBristol City
7Goals conceded (season)7
SouthamptonBristol City
3.5Average goals in match3.2
SouthamptonBristol City
13Goals scored (last 5)9
SouthamptonBristol City
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
SouthamptonBristol City

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal80%
SouthamptonBristol City
50%2 goals80%
SouthamptonBristol City
50%3 goals20%
SouthamptonBristol City
17%4 goals0%
SouthamptonBristol City

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
SouthamptonBristol City
17%2 goals40%
SouthamptonBristol City
0%3 goals0%
SouthamptonBristol City
0%4 goals0%
SouthamptonBristol City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

67%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time20%
SouthamptonBristol City
0%BTTS in both halves20%
SouthamptonBristol City
50%Scored in both halves60%
SouthamptonBristol City

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS80%
SouthamptonBristol City
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
SouthamptonBristol City
100%BTTS - last 580%
SouthamptonBristol City

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
SouthamptonBristol City
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
SouthamptonBristol City
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
SouthamptonBristol City

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
SouthamptonBristol City
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time80%
SouthamptonBristol City
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
SouthamptonBristol City

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Southampton is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.17 pts / match - Southampton · 1.6 pts / match - Bristol City

Southampton - half-time state
67% leading17% draw17% trailing
Bristol City - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.17Points per match (1st half)1.6
SouthamptonBristol City
1.17Goals scored (1st half)0.6
SouthamptonBristol City
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
SouthamptonBristol City
1.83Average goals (1st half)1
SouthamptonBristol City
50%Clean sheet before half-time60%
SouthamptonBristol City
17%No goal before half-time40%
SouthamptonBristol City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)1.6
SouthamptonBristol City
1.17Goals scored (2nd half)1.2
SouthamptonBristol City
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)1
SouthamptonBristol City
1.67Average goals (2nd half)2.2
SouthamptonBristol City
50%Clean sheet after half-time0%
SouthamptonBristol City
33%No goal after half-time20%
SouthamptonBristol City

Southampton - second-half results

50% W17% D33% L
13
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bristol City - second-half results

40% W40% D20% L
8
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Southampton - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.40
Goals scored / match1.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.81.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+5+3
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7
Bristol City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.02.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Southampton
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
4
0
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
0
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Bristol City
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
0
0
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.35
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
118%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
90%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+19%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
80%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Southampton

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.94
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.63
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
146%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Bristol City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
146%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
56% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
56%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

SouthamptonLigaBristol City
Average goals in match▲ 3.502.84▲ 3.20
Both teams scored▲ 100%67%▲ 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%63%▲ 80%
Clean sheets▼ 0%21%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%81%• 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%74%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.84
Average goals per match
67%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. SouthamptonGoalCyle Christopher LarinAssist: Finn Azaz
  2. SouthamptonSubstitutionOn: Cameron BraggOff: Flynn Downes
  3. Bristol CityYellow cardLisav Naif Eissat
  4. SouthamptonGoalCyle Christopher Larin
  5. Bristol CityGoalLorent TolajAssist: Rio Cardines
  6. SouthamptonSubstitutionOn: Tom FellowsOff: Leonardo Weschenfelder-Scienza
  7. Bristol CitySubstitutionOn: Tomi HorvatOff: George Tanner
  8. Bristol CitySubstitutionOn: Cameron PringOff: Rio Cardines
  9. SouthamptonSubstitutionOn: Divin MubamaOff: Cyle Christopher Larin
  10. SouthamptonGoalKuryu MatsukiAssist: Finn Azaz
  11. Bristol CitySubstitutionOn: Elijah AdebayoOff: Lorent Tolaj
  12. SouthamptonGoalFinn AzazAssist: Divin Mubama
  13. Bristol CityYellow cardSam Greenwood

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Southampton 0 - 1 - 1 Bristol City. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Southampton FC
2 : 2
Bristol City FC
Bristol City FC
3 : 1
Southampton FC

FAQ

What was the result of Southampton vs Bristol City?

The Championship match finished Southampton 4:1 Bristol City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Southampton and Bristol City?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Southampton won 0, Bristol City won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Southampton vs Bristol City?

Southampton score 2.33 goals per game on average and Bristol City 1.80. The Championship average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Southampton's matches and 80% of Bristol City's.

What form are Southampton and Bristol City in?

Over the last 5 games Southampton have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Bristol City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Southampton vs Bristol City?

The statistical background for Southampton vs Bristol City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.