Southampton vs Hull City: match statistics
Southampton displays solid home form with 42% wins and only 17% losses at their own stadium, yet the last five matches overall have yielded just 1 point per match. Hull City shows better disposition in recent encounters (1.6 PPG) and impressive efficiency on the road (42% wins, 16% shot conversion). The hosts have the advantage in possession (59% vs 44%) and a higher xG value in home matches (1.73 vs 1.3 xG for the visitors away), suggesting greater game control. However, Hull City scores more goals away (1.75 on average) than Southampton does at home (1.42), and their low FTS% statistic (8%) indicates regularity in scoring goals. Given the even form of both teams, the high average of goals in the visitors' away matches (3.33), and Southampton's tendency to draw at home (42%), I expect a close encounter with a slight advantage for the hosts, likely ending in a sharing of points.
Southampton vs Hull City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Southampton played Hull City in Championship (England). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Southampton: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Hull City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Southampton scores 1.46 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Hull City scores 1.60 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Southampton 77%, Hull City 64%. Over 2.5: Southampton 65%, Hull City 64%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Southampton has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.27. Southampton: 14.7 shots per match, Hull City: 11.2.
Match halves
Southampton: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.65. Hull City: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Southampton: 16-30 (12 goals). Hull City: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Southampton displays solid home form with 42% wins and only 17% losses at their own stadium, yet the last five matches overall have yielded just 1 point per match. Hull City shows better disposition in recent encounters (1.6 PPG) and impressive efficiency on the road (42% wins, 16% shot conversion). The hosts have the advantage in possession (59% vs 44%) and a higher xG value in home matches (1.73 vs 1.3 xG for the visitors away), suggesting greater game control. However, Hull City scores more goals away (1.75 on average) than Southampton does at home (1.42), and their low FTS% statistic (8%) indicates regularity in scoring goals. Given the even form of both teams, the high average of goals in the visitors' away matches (3.33), and Southampton's tendency to draw at home (42%), I expect a close encounter with a slight advantage for the hosts, likely ending in a sharing of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Southampton | Hull City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hull City is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Southampton · 2 pts / match - Hull City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hull City is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.46 goals / match - Southampton · 1.6 goals / match - Hull City
Southampton scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Hull City keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
Hull City scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Southampton keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Southampton
Over / Under - Hull City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hull City is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Southampton · 1.44 pts / match - Hull City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Southampton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hull City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Southampton
Hull City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Southampton | Liga | Hull City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.92 | 2.62 | ▲ 3.12 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 77% | 58% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 52% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 24% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 73% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Southampton 0 - 0 - 1 Hull City. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Southampton vs Hull City?
The Championship match finished Southampton 1:2 Hull City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Southampton vs Hull City?
Southampton score 1.46 goals per game on average and Hull City 1.60. The Championship average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Southampton's matches and 64% of Hull City's.
What form are Southampton and Hull City in?
Over the last 5 games Southampton have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Hull City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Southampton vs Hull City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Southampton vs Hull City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.