Southampton vs Middlesbrough: match statistics
Southampton vs Middlesbrough: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Southampton play Middlesbrough in Championship (England). The match date is 12 May 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Southampton: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Middlesbrough: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Southampton scores 1.75 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Middlesbrough scores 1.49 and concedes 1.02. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Southampton 71%, Middlesbrough 55%. Over 2.5: Southampton 63%, Middlesbrough 53%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Middlesbrough has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.63. Southampton: 14.4 shots per match, Middlesbrough: 16.2.
Match halves
Southampton: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.98. Middlesbrough: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Southampton: 76-90+ (18 goals). Middlesbrough: 31-45+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-2-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Both teams have an almost identical season record (22 wins, 15 draws, 10 losses each), but Southampton holds a +10 goal difference across the season (82–72). Home defensive metrics favor Southampton: 0.83 goals conceded per home match versus 1.26 conceded by Middlesbrough away, and clean sheet rates of 43% vs 17% for the visitors. In attack xG values are comparable (1.75 Southampton vs 1.70 Middlesbrough) and both average 1.65 goals per game, although Southampton generates slightly more on-target shots (5.39 vs 4.78), increasing their chance to convert chances at home. Middlesbrough arrive in better form: 10 goals and an average of 1.8 points per game in the last 5 matches versus Southampton’s 8 goals and 1.2 points, so a draw or an away result remains a realistic threat. Considering the home side’s strong defensive profile at their stadium and Southampton’s seasonal goal advantage, I forecast a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Southampton | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Southampton is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Southampton · 1 pts / match - Middlesbrough
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Southampton is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.75 goals / match - Southampton · 1.49 goals / match - Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Southampton · 1.02 goals / match - Middlesbrough
Southampton scores in 88% of matches (42 of 48 matches), while Middlesbrough keeps a clean sheet in 29% (14 of 49 matches).
Middlesbrough scores in 73% of matches (36 of 49 matches), while Southampton keeps a clean sheet in 25% (12 of 48 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Southampton
Over / Under — Middlesbrough
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Southampton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Middlesbrough - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Southampton
Middlesbrough
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Southampton | Liga | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.94 | 2.59 | • 2.51 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 57% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 50% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 76% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Southampton 0 - 2 - 1 Middlesbrough. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Southampton vs Middlesbrough?
The Championship match finished Southampton 2:1 Middlesbrough. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Southampton and Middlesbrough?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Southampton won 0, Middlesbrough won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Southampton vs Middlesbrough?
Southampton score 1.75 goals per game on average and Middlesbrough 1.49. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Southampton's matches and 55% of Middlesbrough's.
What form are Southampton and Middlesbrough in?
Over the last 5 games Southampton have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Middlesbrough 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Southampton vs Middlesbrough?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Southampton vs Middlesbrough: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.