Southampton vs Watford: match statistics
Southampton is in significantly better form than Watford, having earned 10 points in their last 5 matches (3 wins) compared to the visitors' mere 3 points (0 wins). The hosts have a clear home advantage with a 43% win rate and a positive goal difference (+6), while Watford wins only 21% of their away matches with a negative goal difference (-3). Southampton scores an average of 1.36 goals per match at home with an xG of 1.77, indicating an underestimation of their offensive potential. Meanwhile, Watford scores only 1.07 goals per away match with an xG of 1.23. The visitors' form is alarmingly poor – in their last 5 matches they have scored only 2 goals and conceded 6. Combined with their weak away defense (14% clean sheets), this makes them highly susceptible to defeat. Considering all the statistics, Southampton should capitalize on their home advantage and secure all three points.
Southampton vs Watford: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Southampton played Watford in Championship (England). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Southampton: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Watford: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Southampton scores 1.43 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Watford scores 1.30 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Southampton 73%, Watford 63%. Over 2.5: Southampton 60%, Watford 47%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Southampton has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.49. Southampton: 14.5 shots per match, Watford: 13.9.
Match halves
Southampton: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.67. Watford: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Southampton: 16-30 (12 goals). Watford: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Southampton is in significantly better form than Watford, having earned 10 points in their last 5 matches (3 wins) compared to the visitors' mere 3 points (0 wins). The hosts have a clear home advantage with a 43% win rate and a positive goal difference (+6), while Watford wins only 21% of their away matches with a negative goal difference (-3). Southampton scores an average of 1.36 goals per match at home with an xG of 1.77, indicating an underestimation of their offensive potential. Meanwhile, Watford scores only 1.07 goals per away match with an xG of 1.23. The visitors' form is alarmingly poor – in their last 5 matches they have scored only 2 goals and conceded 6. Combined with their weak away defense (14% clean sheets), this makes them highly susceptible to defeat. Considering all the statistics, Southampton should capitalize on their home advantage and secure all three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Southampton | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Southampton is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Southampton · 0.6 pts / match - Watford
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Southampton is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Southampton · 1.3 goals / match - Watford
Watford is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Southampton · 1.17 goals / match - Watford
Southampton scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
Watford scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Southampton keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Southampton
Over / Under - Watford
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Southampton is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Southampton · 1.1 pts / match - Watford
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Southampton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Watford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Southampton
Watford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Southampton | Liga | Watford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.57 | • 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 57% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 72% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Southampton 0 - 1 - 0 Watford. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Southampton vs Watford?
The Championship match finished Southampton 1:0 Watford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Southampton vs Watford?
Southampton score 1.43 goals per game on average and Watford 1.30. The Championship average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Southampton's matches and 63% of Watford's.
What form are Southampton and Watford in?
Over the last 5 games Southampton have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Watford 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Southampton vs Watford?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Southampton vs Watford: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.