Southend United vs Forest Green Rovers: match statistics
Southend United shows an impressive advantage in home matches, boasting a 50% win rate and a +16 goal difference. The hosts average 1.75 goals scored per home game while conceding only 0.75, and their xG (2.19) significantly exceeds their opponents' xG (1.17). Forest Green Rovers presents solid away form with a 39% win rate, but their last five matches show instability (2 wins, 2 losses). Southend has a better shot conversion rate in home matches (9% vs the visitors' 11%) and a higher average ball possession (56% vs 51%). The recent form of both teams is evenly matched, but the hosts' home advantage, coupled with superior offensive and defensive stats at home, points towards their victory. I expect a tight encounter in which Southend will capitalize on their home-field advantage.
Southend United vs Forest Green Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Southend United played Forest Green Rovers in National League (England). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Southend United: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Forest Green Rovers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Southend United scores 1.65 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Forest Green Rovers scores 1.68 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Southend United 53%, Forest Green Rovers 70%. Over 2.5: Southend United 50%, Forest Green Rovers 51%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Forest Green Rovers has higher xG: 1.99 vs 1.88. Southend United: 15.7 shots per match, Forest Green Rovers: 16.5.
Match halves
Southend United: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.06. Forest Green Rovers: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
Southend United: 76-90+ (21 goals). Forest Green Rovers: 46-60 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Southend United shows an impressive advantage in home matches, boasting a 50% win rate and a +16 goal difference. The hosts average 1.75 goals scored per home game while conceding only 0.75, and their xG (2.19) significantly exceeds their opponents' xG (1.17). Forest Green Rovers presents solid away form with a 39% win rate, but their last five matches show instability (2 wins, 2 losses). Southend has a better shot conversion rate in home matches (9% vs the visitors' 11%) and a higher average ball possession (56% vs 51%). The recent form of both teams is evenly matched, but the hosts' home advantage, coupled with superior offensive and defensive stats at home, points towards their victory. I expect a tight encounter in which Southend will capitalize on their home-field advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Southend United | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forest Green Rovers is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Southend United · 1.4 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Southend United is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - Southend United · 1.16 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers
Southend United scores in 88% of matches (30 of 34 matches), while Forest Green Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 37 matches).
Forest Green Rovers scores in 89% of matches (33 of 37 matches), while Southend United keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Southend United
Over / Under - Forest Green Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Southend United is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Southend United · 1.38 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Southend United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Forest Green Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Southend United
Forest Green Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Southend United | Liga | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.62 | 2.94 | ▼ 2.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 57% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▼ 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 24% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 72% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 81% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Southend United 0 - 0 - 1 Forest Green Rovers. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Southend United vs Forest Green Rovers?
The National League match finished Southend United 2:0 Forest Green Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Southend United vs Forest Green Rovers?
Southend United score 1.65 goals per game on average and Forest Green Rovers 1.68. The National League average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Southend United's matches and 70% of Forest Green Rovers's.
What form are Southend United and Forest Green Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Southend United have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Forest Green Rovers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Southend United vs Forest Green Rovers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.